Green Car Congress

JUNE 2, 2010

World markets for HEV/PHEV/BEV medium- and heavy-duty trucks 2010–2015. Pike Research forecasts that worldwide sales of medium- (MD) and heavy-duty (HD) hybrid, plug-in hybrid and battery electric trucks are will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 63%, with sales of almost 300,000 vehicles during the period from 2010 to 2015.

2015 170

2015 Hybrid Plug-in Plug 170

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 8, 2014

Possibilities include dramatic reductions in the cost of EV batteries that lead to more cost- competitive vehicles, greater state or federal incentives, or increasing taxes on fossil fuels. in North America between 2014 and 2022, according to data from Navigant Research’s Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts report.

2014 346

2014 Global Sale Motorcycles 346

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 14, 2015

According to the latest annual life-cycle study from the Automotive Science Group ( ASG ), the all-new lightweight aluminum 2015 Ford F-150 leads the full-size light-duty truck competition in all environmental and economic performance areas; accordingly, ASG selected the F-150 as its Best Full-size Truck of 2015.

F-150 150

F-150 2015 Ford Colorado 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2012

Pike Research forecasts that annual sales of electric two-wheel vehicles (e-scooters, e-motorcycles, and e-bicycles) will show robust growth and reach more than 65 million units in 2018. On a cumulative basis, forecasts Pike, sales in. Electric two-wheel vehicle sales by country, Asia Pacific: 2012-2018. Source: Pike Research.

Asia 244

Asia 2018 Li-ion China 244

Green Car Congress

MAY 26, 2014

According to a new forecast by Lux Research, the likely 48 V micro-hybrid market will exceed 7 million vehicles in 2024, with the first adoption year beginning in 2015 and more focused on premium vehicles, in which cost sensitivity in order to reach regulation targets without sacrificing performance is lower. Click to enlarge.

Li-ion 265

Li-ion Hybrid Nickel Metal Hydride Market 265

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 11, 2014

The program’s 2012-2014 plan calls for investing $330 million between 2014 and 2015 in innovative technologies that provide benefits to electric ratepayers served by Pacific Gas and Electric Co., 1 million to use high-fidelity solar forecasting to predict load impacts on California’s electricity grid and reduce solar integration costs.

California 271

California San Diego Energy Solar 271

Green Car Congress

JULY 26, 2013

The project has an estimated cost of $1.3 billion, of which 50% is Enbridge’s capital contribution, and a planned in service date in the third quarter of 2015. These projects are forecasted to come into service between 2013 and 2015. billion to service the increasing requirements of the Alberta oil sands producers.

Oil-Sands 210

Oil-Sands Oil Building 2015 210

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 30, 2018

The report shows that projected global ZEV adoption from 2015 to 2039 (based on the BNEF 2017 forecast) may follow an s-curve, similar to that of smartphone adoption in the US from 2005 to 2015. The new target, which is to be supported by as yet undefined state action, represents an aggressive 3.5-million ZEV sales increased 29.1%

California 199

California 2017 2016 Los Angeles 199

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 7, 2019

Investors are imposing capital discipline on E&P’s by pushing down equity prices and pushing up the cost of capital on debt markets. It all represents the strongest headwinds for shale producers since the oil price collapse in 2015. —Raoul LeBlanc. These financial trends will impact operations in turn. —Raoul LeBlanc.

Oil 170

Oil Price Oil Prices Production 170

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2015

In addition, autonomous driving and the associated costs will dramatically lower the cost of mobility services as a whole. IHS Automotive currently forecasts that nearly 12 million self-driving and driverless cars will be sold globally in 2035, which will reflect about 10% of total global light vehicle sales. million in 2022.

Google 150

Google Re-Charge 2015 Global 150

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 29, 2014

In the new study—“Russian automotive market update: what would be the real cost of sanctions?”—Roland The forecasted market volume of 2.2 million new cars for 2015 would see only a slight drop. This scenario would see almost 110,000 fewer vehicles sold on the Russian market in 2015. —Uwe Kumm.

Russia 247

Russia Industrial Industry Tax 247

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 20, 2015

Both, it would seem, have incentive to do so, as each has lost over $100 billion in crude revenues in 2015—and Russia bears the extra burden of U.S. In the course of 2015, both have raised output and exports over 2014 levels—Saudi Arabia by ~500 and 550~ mbbls/day respectively and Russia by ~100 and ~150. and $65.65

Russia 150

Russia Saudi Arabia Oil Market 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 26, 2013

Planned cellulosic biofuel production by 2015. Additionally, several more plants with proposed aggregate nameplate capacity of around 250 million gallons could begin production by 2015, EIA said. Even despite this, EIA’s forecasts and projections to date have proven to be too optimistic, as volumes have been below expectations.

EPA 225

EPA Renewable 2007 2012 225

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 23, 2019

is the leading global environmental risk factor for mortality and disease burden, with associated annual global welfare costs of trillions of dollars, However, no one knows what city has the highest level of the pollution. levels on the ground, but would assist with air quality forecasting and help to improve atmospheric models.

St. Louis 220

St. Louis Pollution Low Cost Global 220

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 25, 2017

(In fact, we have been highlighting this threat to the energy industry in articles since 2015, for example here , here , here and here.) The second is that under the best of circumstances it will take the EV industry close to another decade to close this cost of ownership gap. Why the price of oil could spike before that.

Oil Prices 170

Oil Prices Oil Industrial Industry 170

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 1, 2020

GtCO 2 (28% of the projected 2015–2050 light-duty vehicle fleet emissions). 2015–2050 US light-duty fleet cumulative CO 2 emissions versus CO 2 budget under prospective future developments. The team estimated 2015–2050 LDV sectoral carbon budgets of 44–50 GtCO 2 between the SSPs. C global warming. —Milovanoff et al.

Climate Change 243

Climate Change Fleet Climate Vehicles 243

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

A new study sponsored by Indiana University concludes that President Obama’s vision of one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on US roads by 2015 will require concentrated efforts action from all stakeholders— the auto industry, federal government, the scientific community, and consumers—to be realized.

Plug-in 218

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 22, 2017

Between 2006 and 2015, California’s GDP per capita grew by almost $5,000 per person, nearly double the growth experienced by the US as a whole. Job growth between 2006 and 2015 in California outpaced rates experienced prior to 2006, and outpaced total US employment gains by 27%. in emissions from on-road vehicles. —Adam Fowler.

California 150

California Light Emissions Climate 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2015

By the end of 2015, there will be a total of about 50,000 electric cars and plug-in hybrids on the roads in Germany (about 75% below plan); nevertheless, structural transformation towards electromobility is continuing, according to the firm. The more than 50% decrease in Li-ion costs in the coming years will fuel structural change, Bain said.

2020 150

2020 Li-ion Electric Cars Germany 150

Teslarati

MAY 23, 2022

Four years later, it’s clear that Equidate’s position and forecast was a prescient one. and $9 billion since 2015, averaging about $1.3 It’s possible that some portion of SpaceX’s fundraising since 2015 has gone towards basic recurring expenses during years with few launches and relatively little revenue.

Seattle 98

Seattle 2018 2015 Building 98

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 18, 2012

The Report also explores the manufacturing status of battery producers and which ones are best positioned to succeed in the world market, with individual forecasts for each battery supplier. Roland Berger’s projections of xEV sales through 2015. Source: Roland Berger. Click to enlarge. Roland Berger: the Li-ion bubble bursts.

Li-ion 273

Li-ion Hybrid 2012 PHEV 273

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 20, 2012

Of 39,450,000 allowances for the Advance Auction (2015 Vintage), 5,576,000 were sold with a settlement price of $10 (same reserve price). 2015 (which will be 70% of 2013 emissions plus 100% of 2014 emissions.). allowance revenue to offset the Cap-and-Trade costs in small business electricity rates. reflect the cost of carbon.

CO2 244

CO2 Climate Change 2013 Gas-Electric 244

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 5, 2015

Working with a select group of BMW i3 drivers, BMW i ChargeForward will demonstrate how intelligent management of electric vehicle charging can contribute to improved electric power grid efficiency while reducing total cost of electric vehicle ownership. EV battery “second life” system using MINI E vehicle batteries.

Grid 150

Grid BMW Las Vegas Charging 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 11, 2011

as possible, but not later than 2015. is not high enough to keep the global average temperature rise below two degrees Celsius, based on forecasts. will be led by the climate science in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report and the global Review from 2013-2015. Governments acknowledged the “urgent. Green Climate Fund.

Climate 294

Climate Climate Change 2012 South Africa 294

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Transport will also deliver tank-to-wheel emissions savings of 191 Mt CO 2 e between 2015 and 2030 to reduce the total well-to-wheel GHG emission in 2030 to 862 Mt CO 2 e. The well-to wheel-emission savings represent a 23% reduction in tank-to-wheel emissions and a 22% reduction in well-to-tank emissions. 34 Mton CO 2 e (WTW).

Transportation 150

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles 150

Cars That Think

MARCH 24, 2022

A better understanding of this zone is crucial to both improving short-term weather and navigation forecasts as well as long-term climate models. Unfortunately, the cost of buying instruments commercially severely limited how many trackers we could deploy.

DIY 87

DIY Building Power Powered 87

Green Car Congress

JUNE 1, 2012

In addition to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, as these projects become commercial they have the potential to create more than 600 jobs by 2015. million as a share of the cost to install 101 new E85 (ethanol) fueling facilities at existing gas fueling stations statewide. Propel Biofuels, Inc. will receive $10.1

California 240

California Transportation Green Energy 240

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 24, 2016

A paper by a team from the University of Chicago and MIT suggests that technology-driven cost reductions in fossil fuels will lead to the continued use of fossil fuels—oil, gas, and coal—unless governments pass new taxes on carbon emissions. Currently battery costs for an electric vehicle are about $325 per kWh.

Chicago 150

Chicago MIT Tax Carbon 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand.

2020 150

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 3, 2017

In a new report (its fourth on electric car adoption) the Boston Consulting Group forecasts that a combination of hybrid and fully electric powertrains will cut the global market share of pure internal combustion engines (ICEs) by about 50% by 2030. The low cost of gasoline in the US will yield similar results.

Boston Consulting Group 199

Boston Consulting Group Market Hybrid Global 199

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 22, 2013

billion in 2015 and $9.2 The first two parameters (cost and life), in combination, represent the economic cost of an energy-storage system capable of providing the hybridization function over the vehicle’s life. Batteries Electric (Battery) Forecasts Hybrids Plug-ins' billion in 2020.

Li-ion 265

Li-ion Hybrid NiMH Batteries 265

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 17, 2010

during the years from 2010 to 2015, with vehicle sales surpassing 740,000 per year by the end of that period. However, the United States is expected to be the largest fleet market for light-duty HEVs through 2015, with sales reaching 233,454 vehicles in that year (an 8.1% Pike anticipates the strongest growth in China (61.3%

2015 225

2015 Fleet Light 2010 225

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2014

Even as demand increases, the world will continue to become more efficient in its energy use, according to the 2015 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. Without efficiency gains across economies worldwide, energy demand from 2010 to 2040 would be headed toward a 140% increase instead of the 35% forecast in the report. —Outlook.

Energy 252

Energy Global 2010 Oil-Sands 252

Cars That Think

APRIL 5, 2023

Moore is best known for his 1965 prediction, which would become known as Moore’s Law : the observation that the number of transistors on an integrated circuit would grow exponentially while the retail cost of computers would decrease. At the time I wrote the article, I thought I was just showing a local trend,” he told IEEE Spectrum in 2015.

Baltimore 86

Baltimore 2008 Personal 2002 86

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 4, 2020

IHS Markit forecasts that annual global investments in green hydrogen—hydrogen production powered by renewable sources—will exceed US$1 billion by 2023. The elevated investment outlook is attributed to falling costs and policy support from governments looking to shift towards low-carbon economies.

Hydrogen 305

Hydrogen Green Production Renewable 305

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 24, 2011

A new report from Pike Research forecasts that by 2017 more than 1.5 The firm had earlier forecast more than 5.1 By 2015, residential EVSE will make up 34% of the market, with nearly as many public charging spots added. Total EV charging station unit sales by region, world markets: 2011-2017. Source: Pike Research. Earlier post.)

2017 294

2017 Installation Electric Vehicles Charging 294

Green Cars News

OCTOBER 19, 2009

It has forecast a growth in natural gas vehicles on the road worldwide to 17million units by 2015 – that’s an increase from the 9.7million reported in 2008. It has also forecast that the market will grow globally at a rate of 5.5 per cent to reach just over three million vehicles by 2015. per cent between 2008 and 2015.

Gas 36

Gas Pakistan Iran Argentina 36