Forecast: In 2030, gasoline will still power 7 out of 10 new U.S. vehicles

Green Car Reports

market forecasts Car SalesGiven the daily churn of electric-car announcements, major manufacturing investments, and battery supply-chain news, it could be a little hard to understand one reality-check projection: that even in 2030, a solid majority of vehicles sold could still burn fossil fuel. Last week, LMC Automotive, a consulting firm with a strong reputation for its.

2019 74

Juniper forecasts MaaS to replace 2.3B private car journeys annually by 2023; Europe to lead with 83%

Green Car Congress

The new research, Mobility-as-a-Service: Emerging Opportunities, Vendor Strategies & Market Forecasts 2018-2023 , found that West Europe will lead MaaS adoption, accounting for 83% of global MaaS trips in 2023. Forecasts Mobility services

2018 95

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

Electric vehicles will make up the majority of new car sales worldwide by 2040, and account for 33% of all the light-duty vehicles on the road, according to a new forecast published by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). Electric (Battery) Forecasts Plug-ins Sales

2017 85

IHS cuts 2015 light vehicle sales forecast in China to 23.4 million; deeper cut for 2016

Green Car Congress

IHS revised downward its forecast for light vehicle sales in China, projecting a decline of 3 to 4 percent from previous estimates for 2015. IHS Automotive has reduced its full year 2015 light vehicle sales forecast for China to 23.4 percent, compared with its previous forecast of 4.4

2015 111

Researchers forecast light-duty vehicle electricity use in 2050 considering electrification, autonomy and sharing: 13-26% of total demand

Green Car Congress

The conventional Kaya identity used in transport energy and emissions forecasting considers vehicle miles travelled (VMT) and average energy density in kWh/mile to calculate total energy use. Autonomous driving Car Sharing Electric (Battery) Forecasts Power Generation

2018 78

Honeywell Transportation Systems Forecast: turbocharged vehicles to account for 48% of annual global sales by 2021; electric boosting emerges

Green Car Congress

Honeywell’s Transportation Systems Forecast projects that turbocharged vehicles will acount for 48% of annual global sales by 2021, up 9 percentage points from 2016. 48V Engines Forecasts Fuel Efficiency Hybrids Sales

2016 110

Bloomberg NEF forecasts falling battery prices enabling surge in wind and solar to 50% of global generation by 2050

Green Car Congress

The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) from new PV plants is forecast to fall a further 71% by 2050, while that for onshore wind drops by a further 58%. BNEF forecasts the role of gas in the generation mix will evolve, with gas-fired power stations increasingly built and used to provide back-up for renewables rather than to produce base-load, or round-the-clock, electricity. Batteries Coal Emissions Forecasts Power Generation Solar Wind

2018 77

Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

Green Car Congress

In a new report ( Transportation Forecast: Global Fuel Consumption ), Navigant Research forecasts total road transportation energy consumption will grow from 81.1 gasoline and diesel) represent the bulk of energy consumption throughout the forecast period.

2014 111

BCG forecasts electrified vehicles to take half of global auto market by 2030; hybrids to dominate

Green Car Congress

In a new report (its fourth on electric car adoption) the Boston Consulting Group forecasts that a combination of hybrid and fully electric powertrains will cut the global market share of pure internal combustion engines (ICEs) by about 50% by 2030.

2017 78

Navigant forecasts global natural gas fleet of 34.9M by 2020

Green Car Congress

In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that the number of natural gas vehicles (NGVs) on roads worldwide will reach 34.9 Asia Pacific is the largest market for LNG trucks; Navigant forecasts a CAGR of 25%, reaching 11,245 units. Forecasts Natural Gas Cumulative natural gas vehicles in use by segment, world markets: 2013-2020. Source: Navigant Research. Click to enlarge.

2013 103

Navigant forecasts global annual sales of LDVs of 122.6M by 2035, up 38% from 2015

Green Car Congress

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts global annual sales of light duty vehicles will reach 122.6 Navigant expects sales of conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles will fall significantly over the forecast period, experiencing a CAGR of -6.6%.

2015 99

Honeywell Global Turbo Forecast projects 49M turbocharged vehicle sales, $12B revenue per year by 2019

Green Car Congress

The automotive turbocharging industry will generate $12 billion in revenue by equipping 49 million vehicles with turbochargers annually by 2019, according to Honeywell Turbo Technologies’ 2014 Global Turbo Forecast. Engines Forecasts Fuel Efficiency Vehicle Systems

2014 114

IHS Automotive forecasts global production of plug-in vehicles to rise by 67% this year

Green Car Congress

Global electric vehicle production forecast for 2014. Electric (Battery) Forecasts Hybrids Manufacturing Plug-ins Source: IHS Automotive. Click to enlarge.

2014 134

Scotiabank forecasts 4% growth in global auto market in 2015 to 74M units, led by China

Green Car Congress

2015 forecast share by region. In its latest Global Auto Report , Scotiabank forecasts record global car sales in 2015, with the total market advancing 4% over 2014, reaching more than 74 million units. Under the forecast, China will thus represent 26% of global auto sales in 2015.

2015 98

Another day, another positive electric-car adoption rate forecast

Green Car Reports

While the fossil-fuel industry is notably skeptical of the long-term prospects of electric cars, a growing number of studies and forecasts predict the adoption rate will grow rapidly in the coming decades. If only success could be guaranteed by positive predictions. Electric cars still face numerous challenges, but analyses from a variety of. sales New car sales plug-in cars

2017 72

Navigant forecasts 40% of new vehicles in 2030 will have some form of autonomous driving capability; 75% by 2035

Green Car Congress

In a new research report (“ Autonomous Vehicles ”), Navigant Research forecasts that by 2030, about 40% of new vehicles sold will have some form of autonomous driving capability installed. Navigant Research forecasts that 94.7

2014 117

Lux forecasts global driver assist market to grow to $102B market by 2030

Green Car Congress

Autonomous driving Driver Assistance Systems Forecasts In a new research report, “ The $102 Billion Opportunity in Partial Automation for Cars ”, Lux Research calculates that the revenue opportunity from advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) features will grow from $2.4

2015 105

EIA forecasts US crude oil production rate to break record high in 2018 and again in 2019; 10.3 and 10.8 million b/d

Green Car Congress

In its latest edition of the Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 10.3 EIA also forecasts that 2019 crude oil production will rise further to an average of 10.8 million b/d of the forecast 1.2 Other regional forecasts are: Production from the Eagle Ford region is expected to be between 1.2 Gulf of Mexico production is forecast to average 1.7 Forecasts Fuels Oil

2018 73

Tractica forecasts ADAS component shipments to hit 1.2B units by 2025, $89.3B annual revenue by 2025

Green Car Congress

By that time, the market intelligence firm forecasts that the ADAS component market will reach $89.3 Tractica’s report, “Advanced Driver Assistance System Market Forecasts”, provides market sizing and forecasts for 27 types of advanced driver assistance systems, as well as 9 component types.

2016 95

BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

Green Car Congress

A new study by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) forecasts that sales of electric vehicles will hit 41 million by 2040, representing 35% of new light duty vehicle sales worldwide. BNEF will discuss its EV forecast in detail at its upcoming annual BNEF Summit in New York in April.

2016 104

Navigant Research forecasts new EV global sales of > 346,000 units in 2014; 10 predictions for the year

Green Car Congress

in North America between 2014 and 2022, according to data from Navigant Research’s Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts report. Data from Navigant Research’s Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts report shows that by the end of 2014, the United States will have just over 304,000 PEVs on its roads.

2014 145

Juniper forecasts HEV & EV sales to total 17M by 2020; Tesla ranked leading EV manufacturer

Green Car Congress

A new study from Juniper Research forecasts that nearly 17 million hybrid and electric vehicles will be on the road by 2020, up from an estimated 12 million last year. Electric (Battery) Forecasts Hybrids Plug-ins Vehicle Manufacturers

2016 78

Navigant forecasts global 6% CAGR for biofuels to 2023

Green Car Congress

Navigant Research forecasts global biofuels production will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% between 2013 and 2023, despite slower than expected development of advanced biofuels pathways (such as cellulosic biofuels); an expected expansion in unconventional oil production in key markets such as the United States; and a decline in global investment for biofuels in recent years. over the forecast period. CAGR over the forecast period.

2013 79

Navigant Research forecasts battery-electric to be leading type of electric powertrain for buses through 2026

Green Car Congress

In a new report, “ Medium and Heavy Duty Buses with Hybrid, Plug-In Hybrid, Battery Electric, and Fuel Cell Powertrains: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts ”, Navigant Research forecasts that the battery EV (BEV) will be the leading type of electric powertrain for buses through 2026.

2016 103

Navigant now forecasting slower growth for 48V systems

Green Car Congress

In January 2014, Navigant Research forecast a slow start through the end of this decade but then a quick ramp from 2020 to 2023 for light-duty vehicles with 48V electrical subsystems, with sales reaching nearly 13.5 2014 forecast. 2015 forecast.

2015 95

Navigant forecasts annual plug-in electric vehicle sales in N America to exceed 1.1M by 2024

Green Car Congress

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that North American plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) sales will exceed 1.1 The report, Electric Vehicle Geographic Forecasts , provides data and forecasts for LD PEV sales in North America, including US states, MSAs, and utility service territories and Canadian provinces and cities. Electric (Battery) Forecasts Hybrids Plug-ins Sales

2015 75

Navigant Research forecasts plug-ins will be 2.4% of global new vehicle sales by 2023; luxury brands to represent about 50% of that

Green Car Congress

Navigant Research forecasts that plug-in EVs (which include plug-in hybrids and battery EVs), will represent 2.4% —“Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts”. Navigant forecasts the global light duty EV market—including conventional hybrids—will surpass 2.7

2014 120

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Green Car Congress

In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., Under a conservative scenario, Navigant forecasts more than 5.8 Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts”.

2015 78

Navigant forecasts LD natural gas vehicles to account for 2.8% of global vehicle parc by 2024

Green Car Congress

In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that light-duty natural gas vehicle (LD NGV) sales will grow 119% between 2014 and 2024, culminating in 42.1 Navigant forecasts only 56,251 LD NGV sales in 2014 in North America. Forecasts Natural Gas Cumulative light-duty NGV sales by segment. Source: Navigant. Click to enlarge. million NGVs on the world’s roads and accounting for 2.8% of all vehicles on the roads.

2014 83

Navigant forecasts 29.3% CAGR growth for electric-drive and electric-assisted commercial vehicles to nearly 160K units in 2023

Green Car Congress

In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that global sales of electric drive and electric-assisted medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles (MHDV, Classes 3 to 8) will grow from less than 16,000 in 2014 to nearly 160,000 in 2023, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.3%. Navigant expects the highest sales penetration rate for an individual country to be in Japan, with a forecast 21.2% Electric (Battery) Fleets Forecasts Heavy-duty Hybrids Plug-ins

2015 92

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

Green Car Congress

Forecast by LDV scenario (millions). Under its most conservative of scenarios, more than 5 million light-duty electric-drive vehicles will be on the road in the US by 2035, according to a new forecast by IEE , an institue of the Edison Foundation. Source: IEE. Click to enlarge.

2013 124

Roskill forecasts increasing dependence of Li market on batteries; switch from portable electronics to hybrids

Green Car Congress

In a forecast of the Lithium market through 2017, Roskill Information Services estimates that rechargeable batteries will, in the base-case growth scenario, contribute 75% of the growth in forecast lithium demand to 2017, when total demand for lithium is expected to reach slightly more than 238,000t lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). Combined, this additional capacity totals just under 100,000 tpy LCE, enough to meet forecast demand to 2017.

2013 97

International Energy Agency forecasts 125 million electric cars on road by 2030

Green Car Reports

The International Energy Agency, an advisory council to energy-consuming countries, released a new report forecasting that by 2030, the world will have 125 million electric cars on the road. That would amount to 10 to 12 percent of the world's cars running on electricity in a little over a decade. The report, publicized by CNBC, says that while

2018 62

Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

Green Car Congress

The number of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs) in use worldwide will nearly double between 2014 and 2035, according to a new forecast report by Navigant Research. —“Transportation Forecast: Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles”.

2014 118

IHS Automotive forecasts 88.6M unit global light vehicle market in 2015; 2.4% growth

Green Car Congress

IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% —Lin Huaibin, manager, China light vehicle sales forecast, IHS Automotive. The IHS Automotive US light vehicle sales forecast for 2015 is 16.9 The Canadian light vehicle sales forecast from IHS Automotive for 2015 stands at 1.88 Forecasts Sales

2015 78

Pike Research forecasts automotive Li-ion battery prices to drop by more than 1/3 by 2017

Green Car Congress

billion by 2017, the market intelligence firm forecasts. billion and 28 million kWh market that Pike Research also forecasts by 2017. In its 2009 forecast on EV batteries, Pike forecast that Li-ion prices would drop to $470 per kWh in 2015. global transportation industry throughout the forecast period of this report (2011-2017), Pike noted, projecting that vehicles that use. Batteries Forecasts

2012 105

Advanced high-strength steel growth in automotive use exceeds forecast

Green Car Congress

Over the past three years, the amount of advanced high-strength steel (AHSS) used each year in automotive applications has been 10% higher than forecasted by Ducker Worldwide, the Steel Market Development Institute (SMDI) announced.

2016 78

Navigant forecasts plug-in and fuel cell vehicles to be 2.5% of all vehicles in use in 2035; global parc of >2B vehicles

Green Car Congress

The company forecasts that annual LDV sales will grow to 126.9 over the forecast period—i.e., —“Transportation Forecast: Light Duty Vehicles”. Electric (Battery) Forecasts Fuel Cells Hybrids Plug-ins In a new report , Navigant Research estimates that nearly 84.1

2014 108

Forecast: marine hybrid propulsion market to reach $4.5B by 2022

Green Car Congress

The research report, titled “ Marine Hybrid Propulsion Market - Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast 2014 - 2022 ”, signifies that the increasing investment for research and development of marine hybrid propulsion systems by shipping companies is fueling the growth of the marine hybrid propulsion market to a significant extent. This segment is expected to maintain its dominance over the forecast period.

2015 76

Pike Research forecasts hybrids and plug-ins to grow to 4% of European market in 2020

Green Car Congress

Pike Research forecasts that electric vehicles—conventional hybrids (HEVs), plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) and battery-electrics (BEVs)—will grow from 0.7% Pike Research forecasts that by 2020 more than 1.8 Electric (Battery) Europe Forecasts Hybrids Plug-ins SalesPike’s projected vehicle sales by electrified drivetrain, European markets: 2012–2020. Click to enlarge.

2013 99

Pike Research updates xEV forecasts; projects Ford to lead US PEV market, followed by GM

Green Car Congress

Pike Research has published an update to its earlier forecasts on xEVs: hybrid (HEVs); plug-in hybrid (PHEVs); and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). As a result of new assumptions, Pike Research has slightly reduced its forecasts for plug-in vehicles (PEVs: PHEVs and BEVs combined) from past forecasts. Highlights of the forecast include: HEVs will be the largest segment of xEVs through the period to 2020, with anticipated sales reaching 2.1

2012 89

IDTechEx forecasts $18B market for electric vehicle inverters in 2023

Green Car Congress

The wide range in power and performance requirements, from small low voltage inverters used in electric scooters to large high power inverters used in hybrid and electric trucks, buses and military vehicles, creates a large emerging market space and set of market requirements and thus an opportunity for large number of suppliers of electric vehicle power electronic systems and components to supply demand, IDTechEx forecasts. Electric (Battery) Forecasts Hybrids Plug-ins Power Electronics

2012 79

Navigant forecasts transportation demand for hydrogen to accelerate Power-to-Gas growth

Green Car Congress

Navigant Research forecasts that the transportation segment, with hydrogen demand as a catalyst, will jump-start power-to-gas (P2G) demand and further drive down electrolyzer and other infrastructure costs.

2017 85