Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $112 per barrel in 2012, and EIA’s July 2013 Short-Term Energy Outlook projects averages of $105 per barrel in 2013 and $100 per barrel in 2014. In the Reference case, all the growth in liquids use is in the transportation and industrial sectors. Liquid fuels.

2010 317

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy 317

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. Tcf in the High Oil and Gas Resource case.

2020 150

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2022

The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) has released a report prepared by the consultancy Cerulogy that explores the potential market and environmental impacts of increased capacity for renewable diesel produced by hydrotreating oils and fats in the US. —from the report, “Animal, vegetable or mineral (oil)?”.

Renewable 243

Renewable Diesel Production Oil 243

Green Car Congress

JUNE 27, 2012

World oil production capacity to 2020 (crude oil and NGLs, excluding biofuels). Oil production capacity is surging in the United States and several other countries at such a fast pace that global oil output capacity could grow by nearly 20% from the current 93 million barrels per day to 110.6 Source: Maugeri 2012.

Oil 261

Oil Oil-Sands Price Production 261

Green Car Congress

JULY 18, 2020

More specifically, reliably projecting the oil demand, a critical leading indicator of the state of the US economy, is beneficial to related business activities and investment decisions. However, few studies have quantified and forecast the oil demands under multiple pandemic scenarios, and this research is desperately needed.

Gasoline 505

Gasoline Motors Motoring Motor 505

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

Oil 207

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation 207

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

The large decline in LDV energy consumption in AEO2014 shrinks the LDV modal share of total transportation energy consumption from 60% in 2012 to 47% in 2040. quadrillion Btu in AEO2013, and represents the largest growth among all transportation modes. Transportation energy consumption is considerably lower in AEO2014 (25.5

Oil 290

Oil Light Energy Vehicles 290

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 20, 2011

The transportation sector accounted for 27% of total world delivered energy consumption in 2008, and transportation energy use increases by 1.4% World oil prices remain high in the IEO2011 Reference case, but oil consumption continues to grow; both conventional and unconventional liquid supplies are used to meet rising demand.

Oil-Sands 220

Oil-Sands Oil 2008 Oil Prices 220

Green Car Congress

MAY 30, 2019

ExxonMobil expects to increase annual earnings potential by more than 140% and double potential annual cash flow from operations by 2025 from 2017 adjusted earnings, assuming a 2017 oil price of $60 per barrel adjusted for inflation and based on 2017 margins. billion barrels of discovered recoverable resource.

Papua New Guinea 191

Papua New Guinea Emissions Carbon Guyana 191

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2009

Perspective by Deron Lovaas, Federal Transportation Policy Director, Natural Resources Defense Council. Oil is a strategic commodity second to none—it underlies the global economy and even the American way of life. This means our economic stability is at stake because of our reliance on oil. Source: EIA.

Oil 255

Oil Transportation Congress Fuel Economy 255

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

The MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI) has released a report on the proceedings—and papers that informed those proceedings—of the 8 April 2010 symposium on The Electrification of the Transportation System: Issues and Opportunities. Currently, petroleum almost exclusively fuels the United States (US) transportation system.

Transportation 252

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil 252

Green Car Congress

APRIL 10, 2009

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

Oil 150

Oil Standards Price Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 3, 2022

Liquid organic hydrogen carriers are flexible media for the storage and transportation of renewable energy. The research project thus has the potential to allow for more efficient and economical transport of hydrogen, which can in turn contribute to the expansion of global hydrogen supply chains.

Singapore 150

Singapore Hydrogen Corporation Japan 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 22, 2013

According to the report, “ Forecast of On-Road Electric Transportation in the US (2010-2035) ”, this figure could increase to as high as 30 million EVs depending on advances in battery technology. IEE developed three general scenarios for electric transportation: low, medium, and high.

Oil Prices 294

Oil Prices Vehicles 2012 Light 294

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 15, 2010

Examples of emerging oil sands related technologies and trade-offs. The paper is an examination of how various choices about the scale of the life cycle analysis applied to oil sands (i.e., The source material is neither oil nor tar but bitumen, but is most generally described as an example of ultraheavy oil.”.

Oil-Sands 225

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions Coal 225

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

AEO2012 also projects that efficiency improvements mostly offset underlying drivers of growth in transportation services. It also assumed implementation of existing regulations that enable the building of new energy infrastructure and resource extraction. Over the next 10 years, continued development of tight oil (e.g.,

Oil 210

Oil 2005 Production 2010 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Transportation updates. Transportation projections.

Gas 199

Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 6, 2014

Among their findings were: RFS2 is satisfied at extreme oil prices (at least $215/barrel). This oil price encourages biofuel use in the RFS2 timeframe, but not in the long run. The simulation evolves the LDV parc, stepping through 2050, although most of the analysis in the paper focuses on simulations through 2022.

Oil Prices 246

Oil Prices Gasoline-Electric Gasoline Oil 246

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 25, 2010

Canadian Oil Sands Trust, the largest stakeholder (36.74%) in the Syncrude oil sands project, announced plans to increase the synthetic crude oil production capacity at Syncrude Mildred Lake upgrader to 425,000 barrels per day by 2020 from 350,000 now. Marcel Coutu, Canadian Oil Sands’ President and CEO. and Imperial Oil.

Oil-Sands 199

Oil-Sands Oil 2020 Canada 199

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

A new study by consultancy Roland Berger defines an integrated roadmap for European road transport decarbonization to 2030 and beyond; the current regulatory framework for vehicle emissions, carbon intensity of fuels and use of renewable fuels covers only up to 2020/2021. GHG abatement in road transport sector will cost approx.

Transportation 150

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 30, 2009

The oil price shocks of the 1970s led the Brazilian government to address the strain high prices were placing on its fragile economy. Brazil, the largest and most populous country in South America, was importing 80% of its oil and 40% of its foreign exchange was used to pay for that imported oil.

Transportation 317

Transportation Fuel Renewable Gasoline-Electric 317

Green Car Congress

MAY 24, 2009

Oil sands supply chain. A new report from the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)— The Canadian Oil Sands: Energy Security vs Climate Change — claims that prudent greenhouse gas regulations can limit emissions from Canadian oil sands while still enabling robust development of the energy resource. Source: Levi 2009.

Oil-Sands 150

Oil-Sands Climate Change Oil Climate 150

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Broad findings of the DOE-QTR include: DOE should give greater emphasis to the transport sector relative to the stationary sector. Among the transport strategies, DOE will devote its greatest effort to electrification of the vehicle fleet, a sweet spot for pre-competitive DOE R&D. DOE has particular capabilities in these areas.

Transportation 218

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel 218

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 7, 2010

CCTF most readily provides a significant climate benefit when coupled with large, point source emitters of CO 2 that are actively harming the atmosphere, but these are expected to be “scarce resources” in the post-CCS era. This raises the unusual possibility of the transportation sector becoming decarbonized before.

Transportation 231

Transportation Convert Waste CO2 231

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2012

However, the US military can play an important role in promoting stability in major oil producing regions and by helping protect the flow of energy through major transit corridors and on the high seas, the reports suggest. Earlier post.).

Price 225

Price Oil-Sands Turkey Fuel 225

Green Car Congress

APRIL 12, 2012

Transport GHG emissions in the “No New Policies” case (NNP) and the “Lowest” case (L). As deeper cuts are likely to be made in other sectors, this requires a cut of at least 60% in transportation GHG emissions, most notably CO 2 , by midcentury. The horizontal lines indicate 60% reduction from year-1990 levels. Credit: ACS, Dray et al.

Transportation 199

Transportation Europe Climate Change Emissions 199

Green Car Congress

MARCH 26, 2010

of first-generation, land-using biofuels in EU road transport fuels delivers a net greenhouse gas reduction benefit (13 Mt CO 2 savings in a 20-year horizon) even after factoring in indirect land use change (ILUC) effects. Renewable energy options for road transport included first- and second-generation biofuels and electricity.

Transportation 210

Transportation Emissions Fuel 2020 210

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The US Department of State (DOS) has released its Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (SEIS) in response to TransCanada’s May 2012 application for the Keystone XL pipeline that would run from Canada’s oils sands in Alberta to Nebraska. The pipeline would primarily transport crude oil from the WCSB and Bakken regions.

Climate Change 250

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate 250

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 6, 2015

Putin has highlighted on various occasions the contribution Russia’s mineral wealth, in particular oil and natural gas, must make for Russia to be able to sustain economic growth, promote industrial development, catch up with the developed economies, and modernize Russia’s military and military industry. percent of GDP in 2014.

Russia 150

Russia Saudi Arabia Iran Iraq 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Accenture has identified 12 technologies that it concludes have the potential to disrupt the current views of transport fuels supply, demand and GHG emissions over the next 10 years. Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Technologies that stretch today’s assets and resources.

Transportation 262

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel 262

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006 150

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 17, 2017

The UW team is the first to try converting the entire young tree—leaves, bark and stems—into bio oil and ethanol using two separate processes. We have the environmental incentives to produce fuels and chemicals from renewable resources, but right now, they aren’t enough to compete with low oil prices.

Washington 150

Washington Cheap Oil Universal 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 3, 2010

The California LCFS calls for at least a 10% reduction from 2006 levels in the carbon intensity (measured in gCO 2 e/MJ) of California’s transportation fuels by 2020. The California LCFS calls for at least a 10% reduction from 2006 levels in the carbon intensity (measured in gCO 2 e/MJ) of California’s transportation fuels by 2020.

California 199

California Oil-Sands Oil 2005 199

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 22, 2015

The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) has released its annual update on the fuel efficiency of US airlines. The Fuel Efficiency Score (FES) is a unitless fuel efficiency metric that indicates the transport service provided by an airline per unit fuel consumed relative to other airlines. Earlier post.)

Alaska 150

Alaska Fuel 2014 2013 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 23, 2017

The sectoral analysis of energy use suggested that previous data for liquid fuel use in China’s transportation sector were underestimated. China has abundant coal resources, and for more than a decade the country has increased its capacity to manufacture methanol using coal as a feedstock.

2000 150

2000 2016 Fuel China 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

The WEO finds that the extraordinary growth in oil and natural gas output in the United States will mean a sea-change in global energy flows. barely rises in OECD countries, although there is a pronounced shift away from oil, coal (and, in some countries, nuclear) towards natural gas and renewables. Oil demand reaches 99.7

Global 225

Global 2012 Energy Oil 225

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2013

The horizontal red lines show the comparable price of gasoline (before tax, refining margin 0.3 $/gal, exchange rate: 1 € = 1.326 $) with crude oil prices 100 $/bbl and 150 $/bbl. Converted into gasoline-equivalent price per liter, the estimated production cost would be 0.5–0.7 Source: VTT. 0.7 €/liter (app. 0.7 €/liter.

Carbon 218

Carbon Fuel Finland Gasoline 218