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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023. per gallon.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). million barrels per day set in 2019.

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EIA forecasts rising global oil production will limit price increases

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In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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After adjusting for inflation, this summer’s forecast national average price would mark the highest retail gasoline and diesel prices since 2014. EIA expects higher fuel prices this summer as a result of higher crude oil prices. Greater demand will contribute to higher crude oil prices.

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EIA: US retail diesel prices increase to >$6 per gallon in the Northeast; nearly equal to California

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On 16 May 2022, the average US on-highway retail diesel fuel price was $5.61 Although retail diesel prices have increased across the entire United States, prices in the Northeast have increased the most and are now among the highest in the country. gal, according to EIA’s Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update.

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