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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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EIA expects sustained global demand for petroleum products and Saudi Arabia’s extended voluntary production cuts will contribute to oil prices rising through the year. The Brent crude oil price was near $75 per barrel at the beginning of July and increased throughout the month to surpass $86 per barrel on 4 August.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 per gallon this summer driving season—April through September—compared with last summer’s average price of $3.06/gal. EIA expects higher fuel prices this summer as a result of higher crude oil prices.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). in the United States this summer (June–August) compared with the summer of 2021. The Henry Hub natural gas price will average $8.59

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EIA forecasts rising global oil production will limit price increases

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In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

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EIA: US retail diesel prices increase to >$6 per gallon in the Northeast; nearly equal to California

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On 16 May 2022, the average US on-highway retail diesel fuel price was $5.61 Although retail diesel prices have increased across the entire United States, prices in the Northeast have increased the most and are now among the highest in the country. On 16 May, the average retail diesel price was $6.43/gal

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