Green Car Congress

MAY 16, 2019

BloombergNEF (BNEF) is out with an aggressive forecast that projects electric vehicles taking up 57% of the global passenger car sales by 2040—slightly higher than it forecast a year ago—and electric buses with 81% of municipal bus sales by the same date. A year ago, BNEF estimated their impact on road fuel demand at 7.3

Sale 341

Sale Global Cars Electric 341

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. Domestic crude oil production increases sharply in the AEO2014 Reference case, with annual growth averaging 0.8 per year, from 21.5

Oil 290

Oil Light Energy Vehicles 290

Green Car Congress

JULY 7, 2014

The number of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs) in use worldwide will nearly double between 2014 and 2035, according to a new forecast report by Navigant Research. Navigant projects that annual MHDV sales will grow throughout the forecast period at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.4%. of the market in 2014 to 11.2%

Market 273

Market Alternative Fuels Engine Gas-Electric 273

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2014

Lower fuel expenditures are attributable to a combination of falling retail gasoline prices and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks that reduce the number of gallons used to travel a given distance. Gasoline prices are forecast to go even lower in 2015. Similarly, the fuel economy for trucks has increased 19%, from 16.9

2015 210

2015 Gasoline Fuel Economy MPG 210

Green Car Congress

JUNE 2, 2022

The Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook outlines two scenarios for the uptake of electric transport to 2050, and examines impacts on demand for batteries, materials, oil, electricity, infrastructure and emissions. million barrels of oil demand per day. —Aleksandra O’Donovan, head of electric vehicles at BloombergNEF.

Transportation 473

Transportation Emissions Fleet Economy 473

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 5, 2018

As personal mobility increases, average new-car fuel economy (including SUVs and light trucks) will improve as well, rising from about 30 miles per gallon (7.83 However, oil will continue to play a leading role in the world’s energy mix, the report finds. l/100 km) now to close to 50 miles per gallon (4.7 l/100 km) in 2040.

Light 170

Light Oil Fuel Vehicles 170

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

For the Transportation sector, EIA projects that energy consumption will decline between 2019 and 2037 (in the Reference case) because increases in fuel economy more than offset growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT). Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9 trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5

Transportation 207

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018 207

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2016

Global energy demand will increase 25% between 2014 and 2040, driven by population growth and economic expansion, ExxonMobil forecasts in the 2016 edition of its annual The Outlook for Energy. The company forecasts modest gains for plug-in electric cars, with cost and functionality remaining barriers. Source: ExxonMobil.

2014 150

2014 Carbon Energy Fuel Economy 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.

Light 150

Light North America Global Sale 150

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. —Brandt et al.

Oil 207

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation 207

Green Car Congress

MARCH 9, 2013

Transportation fuel mix in millions of oil-equivalent barrels through 2020. Diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one transportation fuel worldwide by 2020 and continue to increase its share through 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s recently published Outlook For Energy: A View To 2040. Source: ExxonMobil Outlook.

Gasoline 383

Gasoline Transportation 2020 Diesel 383

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 28, 2010

Power forecast of hybrid-, plug-in hybrid- and battery-electric vehicle global sales through 2020. million passenger vehicles forecasted to be sold worldwide by that year. million passenger vehicles forecasted to be sold worldwide by that year. million HEVs, PHEVs and BEVs forecasted to be sold worldwide in 2020, some 3.9

2020 250

2020 Global Electric Vehicles Hybrid 250

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 14, 2021

Total refined products include all production from refineries such as gasoline, jet fuel, diesel, fuel oils, and includes biofuels—but excludes natural gas liquids (NGLs). —Sandeep Sayal, vice president, oil markets and downstream refining, IHS Markit. There will be closures to come. —Sandeep Sayal.

2019 170

2019 Global Production Oil 170

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2011

World energy growth over the next twenty years is expected to be dominated by emerging economies such as China, India, Russia and Brazil while improvements in energy efficiency measures are set to accelerate, according to BP’s latest projection of energy trends, the BP Energy Outlook 2030.

Energy 210

Energy Economy Global Oil-Sands 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2013

Driven by increasing population, urbanization and rising living standards, the world will require some 35% more energy in 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s annual forecast report: Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. billion, as the world’s population grows and more people in developing economies are able to afford cars. Click to enlarge.

Oil-Sands 309

Oil-Sands Energy Hybrid Sale 309

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. Tcf in the High Oil and Gas Resource case.

2020 150

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

Net petroleum imports as a share of total US liquid fuels consumed drop from 49% in 2010 to 38% in 2020 and 36% in 2035 in AEO2012. Under the Reference case, domestic crude oil production is expected to grow by more than 20% over the coming decade; already, domestic crude oil production increased from 5.1

Oil 210

Oil 2005 Production 2010 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2014

Significant growth in the global middle class, expansion of emerging economies and an additional 2 billion people in the world will contribute to a 35% increase in energy demand by 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s latest Outlook for Energy report. The OECD represents the developed economies. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

Energy 252

Energy Global 2010 Oil-Sands 252

Green Car Congress

MARCH 17, 2012

An analysis of the US refining sector, based on linear programming (LP) modeling, finds that refining plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to a modest increase in refinery CO 2 emissions (ranging between 5.4% to 9.3%) from a 2010 baseline, depending upon the supply scenario.

Oil-Sands 247

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions CO2 247

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2017

The 2017 edition of the BP Energy Outlook , published today, forecasts that global demand for energy will increase by around 30% between 2015 and 2035, an average growth of 1.3% Oil demand grows at an average rate of 0.7% Oil demand grows at an average rate of 0.7% Oil: changing dynamics of demand and supply.

Global 150

Global Fuel Energy Oil 150

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 23, 2013

Do they receive HOV access for their improved fuel economy and ultra low emissions? In fact in 6 of the states, diesel fuel is penalized with additional state taxes. So diesel fuel gets taxed twice or penalized twice at the federal and state level. This helps us to make better fuel economy and good emissions.

Diesel 366

Diesel Audi Sale Fuel Economy 366

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Vehicle and fuel data were then used to forecast future LDV fleet energy use and GHG emissions using two models, as well comparing different policy-driven scenarios. Many of the vehicles on the road in 2030 will have been built by 2015, and these will lower the fuel economy of the on-road fleet. l/100 km) by 2050.

Hydrogen 244

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy 244

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Compared to the reference case, in which gasoline vehicles (ICEVs) remain dominant through 2050 (BAU), OPT results in 16% and 36% reductions in LDV greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for 2030 and 2050, respectively, corresponding to 5% and 9% reductions in economy-wide emissions. Credit: ACS, Keshavarzmohammadian et al. Click to enlarge.

Emissions 150

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy. Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles.

Fuel 225

Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Beyond 2020, CAFE standards for both passenger cars and light-duty trucks are held constant.

Gas 199

Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 2, 2012

Among the findings of the two-year study are that—if technology hurdles and infrastructure challenges can be overcome—economically competitive low-carbon fuels and improvements in fuel economy will result in substantial reductions in GHG emissions. For light-duty CNG, leveraging liquid ICE fuel economy technology.

Light 240

Light Miles Energy Lithium Ion 240

Green Car Congress

MARCH 29, 2015

The light-duty segment fell 34% from 2013, mostly related to a drop in orders from the gas and oil exploration and production (E&P) sector. However, sales growth in both the heavy- and medium-duty sectors will continue to be tempered by and dependent upon the price of oil and the demand for diesel fuel. Source: NGVAmerica.

2014 150

2014 Sale Light Gas 150

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 2, 2018

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and US Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) released their long-expected notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) to adjust the Congressionally-mandated Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) and Light-Duty Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards.

Fuel Economy 186

Fuel Economy Economy EPA MPG 186

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

The IEA said these changes will recast expectations about the role of different countries, regions and fuels in the global energy system over the coming decades. The WEO finds that the extraordinary growth in oil and natural gas output in the United States will mean a sea-change in global energy flows. Oil demand reaches 99.7

Global 225

Global 2012 Energy Oil 225

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2014

Additionally, lower viscosity transmission fluid is used resulting in improved transmission efficiency and fuel economy improvements especially during cold environments or vehicle start-up. The transmission also is “fill for life” not requiring oil changes during normal driving conditions.

Chrysler 199

Chrysler Dodge Indiana Durango 199

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 14, 2017

In a new study, IHS Markit forecasts that vehicle miles traveled (VMT) will by 2040 grow to an all-time high of around 11 billion miles per year (a 65% increase since 2017) in China, Europe, India and the United States—the key markets examined for the study—and will keep growing. IHS Markit, “Reinventing the Wheel.”

Sale 150

Sale Miles Market Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 11, 2010

Duratec I-4 unit while contributing to projected fuel economy gains of more than 10%. liter unit in Europe and a choice of advanced and improved Duratorq TDCi common-rail diesel engines—all of which offer reductions in fuel consumption of between 10 and 20% compared to the outgoing models. Fuel metering duties on the 2.0-liter

Ford 199

Ford Engine Global Market 199

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 21, 2014

Production of renewable fuels has been growing rapidly in recent years, while at the same time, advances in vehicle fuel economy and other economic factors have pushed gasoline consumption far lower than what was expected when Congress passed the Renewable Fuel Standard in 2007. billion gallons.

2014 225

2014 EPA Standards 2015 225

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2022

The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook 2022 (AEO2022) Reference case forecasts that US energy consumption will grow through 2050, primarily driven by population and economic growth. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2022 (AEO2022).

Gas 459

Gas Fuel Gas-Electric Gasoline-Electric 459

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 12, 2012

Worldwide, 208,000 million liters of fuel (gasoline and diesel) was used in 2009 to overcome friction in passenger cars. This equals 360 million tonne oil equivalent per year (Mtoe/a) or 7.3 million TJ/a.

Fuel 186

Fuel Exhaust MPH Finland 186

Revenge of the Electric Car

FEBRUARY 26, 2010

boost,&# said Mike Omotoso, senior manager of power train forecasting for. Environmental Protection Agency fuel economy tests and an estimate 833. emissions, doesn’t need regular oil changes or exhaust system repairs. But one analyst said the high price of the Roadster’s lease may not add. seconds.

Auto 162

Auto Tesla Gasoline-Electric Porsche 162

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 15, 2013

Heating Oil. Production of renewable fuels has been growing rapidly in recent years, while at the same time, advances in vehicle fuel economy and other economic factors have pushed gasoline consumption far lower than what was expected when Congress passed the Renewable Fuel Standard in 2007. 0 – 7.

2014 255

2014 EPA Renewable Standards 255