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Scientists call for careful use of time scales, reference dates and statistical approaches in analyzing climate change trends to avoid distortion and hampering of response

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Demonstrating that the use of different time scales, reference dates, and statistical approaches can generate highly disparate results in climate reports, scientists at the University of Alaska Anchorage argue that careful use of these tools is critical for correctly interpreting and reporting climatic trends in Alaska and other polar regions.

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Study forecasts even with modest warming, global energy demand to increase by mid-century

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A new study published in Nature Communications by researchers from IIASA, Boston University, and the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice found that by mid-century, climate change will increase the demand for energy globally, even with modest warming.

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Study finds global carbon emissions reached 10 billion tonnes in 2010

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Published in the journal Nature Climate Change , the new analysis shows fossil fuel emissions increased by 5.9% Global CO 2 emissions since 2000 are tracking the high end of the projections used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which far exceed two degrees warming by 2100. parts per million.

2010 239
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Study using extreme value theory finds lack of uniform trends but increasing spatial variability in rainfall extremes in India

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These findings, published in Nature Climate Change , are contrary to results of some earlier work on this subject. Extreme value theory , used in science, engineering, insurance and risk management, provides a theoretical foundation for building statistical models describing extreme events. —Auroop Ganguly. Shih-Chieh Kao.

India 199
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New ORNL tool to assess global freshwater stress suggests that population growth could be a bigger factor in water availability than increasing temperatures

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An Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) paper published in Computers & Geosciences outlines a process that might help to determine the relative importance of population increases vs. climate change. Our work establishes a new method to couple geographic information system data with global climate outputs and statistical analysis.

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MIT researchers build model simulating atmospheric transport of PAHs; how chemicals get to the Arctic

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GEOS-Chem captures observed seasonal trends with no statistically significant difference between simulated and measured mean annual concentrations. Friedman’s work will provide a foundation for ongoing work in Selin’s research group at MIT, in collaboration with the University of Rhode Island and the Harvard School of Public Health.

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Measurements of CO2 and CO in China’s Air Indicate Sharply Improved Combustion Efficiency

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The findings, published in the 21 September issue of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics , are generally consistent with official Chinese government statistics and could bolster their credibility as international negotiations proceed on commitments of China and other nations to combat climate change. She completed her Ph.D.

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