Green Car Congress

JULY 5, 2016

According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. A major factor has always been the cost of battery packs.

Global 150

Global Sale North America Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 25, 2016

A new study by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) forecasts that sales of electric vehicles will hit 41 million by 2040, representing 35% of new light duty vehicle sales worldwide. BNEF will discuss its EV forecast in detail at its upcoming annual BNEF Summit in New York in April.

Cost Of 150

Cost Of Sale Global Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2020

GlobalData research shows that lower oil prices as a result of the COVID-19 crisis could reduce electric vehicle demand and impair EU efforts to significantly reduce average new vehicle CO 2 emissions in the European car market.

CO2 353

CO2 Fleet Emissions Oil Prices 353

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 7, 2021

Renewables will be the primary source for new electricity generation, but natural gas, coal, and increasingly batteries will be used to help meet load and support grid reliability. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies. —Stephen Nalley.

Global 259

Global Energy Emissions Asia 259

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.

Light 150

Light North America Global Sale 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

In developing its projections, the EIA implemented a new approach to forecasting VMT, based on an analysis of VMT by age cohorts and the aging of the driving population over the course of the projection. Domestic crude oil production increases sharply in the AEO2014 Reference case, with annual growth averaging 0.8 Tcf in 2012 to 2.1

Oil 290

Oil Light Energy Vehicles 290

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation 250

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric 250

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

Oil 207

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation 207

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

million kWh of Li-ion batteries and revenue of $4.1 Two key drivers of EV adoption include climate concerns and oil prices. The vast majority of China’s PEV fleet will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs), driven by a strong push behind this category by the central government. billion in 2015.

Asia 236

Asia 2015 China Sale 236

Green Car Congress

MARCH 14, 2019

In 2019, multiple deployments of long-range battery EVs (BEVs) in crossover classes, as well as Tesla reaching full-scale production on the Model 3 and expanding its vehicle shipments to markets abroad, are setting the stage for continued market growth, Navigant says. —Scott Shepard, senior research analyst with Navigant Research.

Alternative Fuels 207

Alternative Fuels Future Plug-in Fuel 207

Green Car Congress

MAY 12, 2011

Energy executives expect continued volatility in the price-per-barrel of oil for the remainder of the year, with 64% predicting crude prices to exceed $121 per barrel. Only 35% think current crude prices are near the high they expect for oil this year, predicting the peak will be between $111 and $120 per barrel.

Oil 225

Oil Energy Wind 2011 225

Green Car Reports

MARCH 29, 2015

When oil prices drop, the knee-jerk response of many analysts is to forecast doom for sales of electric cars, plug-in hybrids, and other green cars. It plans to to forge ahead with an expansion of its electrified-vehicle range, regardless of how low oil prices get. DON''T MISS.

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Plug-in GM Plug General Motors 60

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. Since the previous survey, forecasts for vehicle production in Germany, France and South Korea have experienced positive development but remain at comparably low levels.

South Korea 239

South Korea Sale France Plug-in 239

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Such economic benefits could be realized earlier through effective policies which reduce first mover costs in the short term and promote rapid take-up once non-ICE vehicle price premiums reduce to levels that make them affordable to. Victorian Metropolitan Region and electric vehicle service stations that offer quick charge or battery.

PHEV 210

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price 210

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

EV penetration with a battery swap model in three scenarios. In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Becker (2009). Click to enlarge.

Electric Cars 150

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 11, 2010

The fortunes of alternative energy have historically waxed and waned with the price levels of oil, gas, and other energy sources, rising when prices are high only to fall once they retreat. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost.

Solar 295

Solar Boston Consulting Group Power Powered 295

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

Shortly after releasing the Roadmap, the Coalition commissioned the Interindustry Forecasting Project at the University of Maryland and Keybridge Research to study the long-term economic effects of their policy proposals. Oil Imports. US crude oil and petroleum product imports would fall sharply, by 3.2 Global Demand for Oil.

Grid 186

Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil 186

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 13, 2011

The study is not a forecast sales of electric vehicles; rather, it estimates electric vehicle deployment by state, using other forecasts of total electric vehicle sales in the US to generate a reasonable approximation of what electric vehicle sales might look like for the period 2012 to 2015.

2015 236

2015 Electric Vehicles Vehicles Sale 236

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Representative battery pack size is below each segment. In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009.

Li-ion 150

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid 150

Get Electric Vehicle

MAY 29, 2021

One of the main reasons which limit the mass adaption of electric cars or EVs is its price difference in comparison with its IC engine counterpart. A study conducted by BloombergNEF forecasts that Electric vehicles will be cheaper than gasoline-powered vehicles in Europe. The Reduction in Battery cost. Battery Swapping.

Electric Vehicles 52

Electric Vehicles Engine Vehicles Gasoline-Electric 52

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Reductions in battery electric vehicles are offset by increased sales of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which grow to about 1.3 million, or less than one-half the 2.9

Fuel 225

Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

These powertrain mix forecasts are based on projected fuel and vehicle costs for conventional internal combustion engines (ICE); mild and full hybrids; and alternative powertrains such as plug-in hybrids (PHEV); battery electric vehicles (BEV); natural gas vehicles (CNG); and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCV).

Transportation 150

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 29, 2014

While LNG is expected to be an early success, the picture becomes more diversified over time, as more than 20% of shipping could adopt hybrid propulsion solutions featuring batteries or other energy storage technologies, according to the paper. Ship electrification and renewables.

Alternative Fuels 231

Alternative Fuels Fuel Gas-Electric Mariner 231

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

forecasts of population and gross state product, combined. generation forecasting, breakthroughs in storage technology, replacement of steam generation with fast-response gas. batteries; smart charging; building shell and appliances; cement manufacturing; electric industrial boilers; agriculture. 875 Mt CO 2 e. electricity.

Climate 262

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric 262

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. US crude oil production increases from 5.4 Transportation projections. Source: EIA.

Gas 199

Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

With electromobility, the automobile industry faces a fundamental technological upheaval.Our path leads away from oil, to emission-free mobility, and the electric car plays a key role.CO The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. 2 -neutral fuels play another key role.

2013 150

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

AECOM developed an economic model to assess viability and a vehicle choice model to forecast take-up of different engine configurations. Lifecycle Considerations : The lifecycle of batteries and associated electric-drive components will clearly be a determining factor for the overall sustainability of the plug-in vehicle industry.

Australia 199

Australia Market Plug-in Plug 199

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Under their optimistic scenario (OPT)—which is based on the assumption that EVs are market-competitive with gasoline vehicles, in particular after 2025—they find 15% and 47% adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2030 and 2050, respectively.

Emissions 150

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal 150

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Change in primary oil demand by sector and region in the central New Policies Scenario, 2010-2035. Under the WEO 2011 central scenario, oil demand rises from 87 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2010 to 99 mb/d in 2035, with all the net growth coming from the transport sector in emerging economies. Click to enlarge. billion in 2035.

Oil 247

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet 247

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

The report, Plug-In Electric Vehicles: A Practical Plan for Progress , examines public policies toward PEVs, taking into account the promise and limitations of PEVs, recent improvements in battery technology, market dynamics, and the proliferation of policies around the world that promote the use of PEVs.

Plug-in 218

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 12, 2016

All 85 buses will have a range of more than 160 miles on a single battery charge. Over the lifetime of the new electric bus fleet, the transit agency forecasts it could save more than $46 million compared to an all-diesel bus fleet, equivalent to $46,000 per bus per year in savings.

All-Electric 150

All-Electric Fleet BYD Los Angeles 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 7, 2019

By 2030, oil demand could hit a peak and then enter decline, according to a new report. For the next decade or so, oil demand should continue to grow, although at a slower and slower rate. According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the annual increase in global oil consumption slows dramatically in the years ahead.

Oil 306

Oil America Oil Prices South Africa 306

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Blog Archive ▼ 2009 (52) ▼ April (6) Waxman-Markey and REDD BlogRoll Review: Space Beams, Leaded Batteries, an. Several early models of passenger vehicles have enough energy stored in advanced batteries to power several homes for hours. Project Better Place plans to deploy a massive network of battery charging spots.

Grid 28

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands 28

Wallbox

JANUARY 4, 2021

Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, several conflicting reports about the future of EVs have emerged: some predict EVs to grow by 38% year-over-year, while others forecast a 43% drop. last month, but battery electric vehicle sales decreased by only 58.1%. EVs were experiencing rapid growth before the COVID-19 outbreak.

Economy 52

Economy Electric Vehicles Vehicles Electric 52