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Navigant forecasts global natural gas fleet of 34.9M by 2020

Green Car Congress

In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that the number of natural gas vehicles (NGVs) on roads worldwide will reach 34.9 Light duty vehicles (LDVs) account for almost 95% of NGVs on roads today, but trucks and buses are growing at a faster rate and are anticipated to account for 9% of the total fleet by 2020. Click to enlarge.

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IDTechEx forecasts global production of electric LCVs to exceed 2.4M units annually by 2030

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In a new report, “ Electric Vans 2020-2030 ”, UK-based IDTechEx forecasts that global production of electric LCVs will exceed 2.4 European Light Commercial Vehicle Sales 2018. Forecast eLCV share of total global LCV market revenue. million units annually by 2030. Source: IDTechEx Electric Vans 2020-2030, ACEA.

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ABI Research forecasts EV mileage share to exceed 20% by 2030, driven by car-sharing fleets

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A new report by ABI research forecasts that a proportionately higher uptake of EVs in car-sharing fleets, and the higher utilization rates of those EVs, will result in global electric mileage share to exceed 20% by 2030.

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BNEF ups forecast for global investment in stationary energy storage, sees majority of capacity likely to be grid-scale

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Energy storage installations around the world will multiply exponentially, from a modest 9GW/17GWh deployed as of 2018 to 1,095GW/2,850GWh by 2040, according to the latest forecast from research company BloombergNEF (BNEF). —Logan Goldie-Scot, head of energy storage at BNEF.

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U of Toronto study finds US electrification of LDV fleet not a silver bullet for tackling climate change in vehicle sector

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GtCO 2 (28% of the projected 2015–2050 light-duty vehicle fleet emissions). 2015–2050 US light-duty fleet cumulative CO 2 emissions versus CO 2 budget under prospective future developments. C global warming. Current policies will create a mitigation gap of up to 19?GtCO Milovanoff et al.

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BloombergNEF: electrics to take 57% of global passenger car sales, 81% of municipal bus sales by 2040

Green Car Congress

BloombergNEF (BNEF) is out with an aggressive forecast that projects electric vehicles taking up 57% of the global passenger car sales by 2040—slightly higher than it forecast a year ago—and electric buses with 81% of municipal bus sales by the same date. Our conclusions are stark for fossil fuel use in road transport.

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Researchers forecast light-duty vehicle electricity use in 2050 considering electrification, autonomy and sharing: 13-26% of total demand

Green Car Congress

The conventional Kaya identity used in transport energy and emissions forecasting considers vehicle miles travelled (VMT) and average energy density in kWh/mile to calculate total energy use. Autonomy is expected to greatly disrupt these forecasts, possibly along with new preferences for walkable urbanism, ridesharing, and other changes.

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