Miles, Oil Prices and Resource

EIA: US Permian Basin oil production and resource assessments continue to increase

Green Car Congress

APRIL 27, 2017

Between January 2016 and March 2017, oil production in the Permian Basin increased in all but three months, even as domestic crude oil prices fell. As production in other regions fell throughout most of 2015 and 2016, the Permian provided a growing share of US crude oil production.

Oil

Oil Production New Mexico Oil Prices

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

Study estimates fuel economy improvements to US light-duty vehicles from 1975–2018 saved 2T gallons of fuel, 17B tons of CO2

Green Car Congress

MAY 3, 2020

Second, they estimated fuel savings using the FHWA data on vehicle miles, fuel use and miles per gallon (mpg). gasoline demand would have put upward pressure on world oil prices. Two indirect effects were considered. First, had fuel economy not improved, the higher level of U.S. Greene, Charles B. 2020.111517.

Fuel Economy

Fuel Economy Economy Light 2018

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

Green Car Congress

JULY 18, 2020

The Motor Gasoline Demand Estimation Module estimates vehicle miles traveled on pandemic days while it considers the dynamic indices of travel mobility, and it quantifies motor gasoline demands by coupling the gasoline demands and vehicle miles travelled. Nat Energy doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-0662-1.

Gasoline

Gasoline Motor Motors Motoring

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Energy consumption for light-duty vehicles grows from 16.7

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

BP approves revamped $9B Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico; down from original $20B cost

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 4, 2016

BP has sanctioned the $9-billion Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the United States, despite the current low oil price environment. Today, the leaner $9-billion project, which also includes capacity for water injection, is projected to be profitable at or below current oil prices. Earlier post.).

Mexico

Mexico Chevron Oil Oil Prices

ADB approves $240M to help Kazakhstan modernize transport, improve connectivity

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 29, 2016

The project will reconstruct and upgrade about 299 km (186 miles) of a deteriorated section of the Aktobe–Makat road in the western part of the country, and introduce a modern transport information system to increase road traffic safety and logistics effectiveness.

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Connect Connected Transportation

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

Green Car Congress

APRIL 22, 2013

improved battery chemistry that allows for faster and deeper charging and reductions in battery cell and other component costs), and oil prices increasing to $200 per barrel: Low. The high electric transportation scenario combines the advanced battery scenario with high oil prices ($200/barrel in 2035).

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Vehicles 2012 Light

ICCT updates US airline fuel efficiency rankings; Alaska stays on top, American on bottom

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 22, 2015

on an RPM (revenue passenger miles) per fuel basis, due in large part to a 1% increase in average passenger load factor to 84% in 2014and higher seating densities (and greater passenger discomfort) on domestic flights. years old, weighted by passenger-miles flown) than in 2013, while previous years showed an aging fleet.

Alaska

Alaska Fuel 2014 2013

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Green Car Congress

MAY 11, 2010

TGC plans to tap into its 1,000-mile utility pipeline system at key locations to separate the hydrogen from the stream through Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) technology for use by local fueling stations for fuel cell vehicles. High percentage of renewable energy resources, with accompanying challenges for grid stability. Earlier post.)

Hawaii

Hawaii Hydrogen GM Gas

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2015

Because they make driving safer and more comfortable, because they conserve resources and protect the environment, and because they bring together the mobile and the digital worlds. Winterkorn stressed that “ at Volkswagen, technology is never an end in itself. All these technologies serve people, our customers.

2014

2014 Vehicles Automobile Climate

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

By 2040, the report proposed, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles. Global Demand for Oil. World demand for oil would fall, leading to lower world oil prices. Resilience to Future Price Shocks. Trade Deficit. Economic Impact of the Electrification Roadmap.

Grid

Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

produced more detailed analyses, but none combines the sectoral granularity, physical and resource constraints, and geographic scale needed for developing realistic technology and policy roadmaps. policies; long term rates of technology introduction were constrained by physical feasibility, resource availability, and historical uptake rates.

Climate

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. lower on a per-mile basis than gasoline-powered cars, depending on the future price of oil.

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

As a result, annual increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) in LDVs average 0.9% Personal air travel (billion seat-miles) grows by an average of 0.7% Some other key findings of the AEO2014 Reference case include: Low natural gas prices boost natural gas-intensive industries. from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2%

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

As one example of factors contributing to that decision, a survey of projected oil prices returned values between $30 and $250 a barrel, he said.). PHEVs (blended 10-mile strategy), extended range electric vehicles (40-mile AER) and full EVs begin to make economic sense when gasoline is at about $10/gallon US.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

In the OPT scenario, estimated well-to-wheels GHG emissions from full-size BEVs with 100-mile range are 62 gCO 2 -e mi –1 in 2050, while those from full-size ICEVs are 121 gCO 2 -e mi –1. In the OPT scenario BEVs gain a LDV market share of about 15%—all from 100-mile range EVs (BEV100) by 2030. —Keshavarzmohammadian et al.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Despite the projected increase in LDV miles traveled, energy consumption for LDVs further decreases after 2025, to 13.0 Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. After 2015, the Brent price increases, reaching $163 per barrel in 2040, as growing demand leads to the development of more costly resources.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

The report considers two PHEV configurations: 10-mile all electric range (PHEV-10) and 40-mile all-electric range (PHEV-40). It has a 40-mile electric range, a larger electric motor, and a much larger battery than the PHEV-10. The other vehicle, the PHEV-40, is similar to the Chevrolet Volt ( earlier post ).

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Study Finds Government Mandates Superior to All Other Biofuels Policies, But Mixing With Subsidies Causes Adverse Effects; The Argument for a Direct CO2 Tax

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 17, 2010

While a mandate can potentially increase social welfare substantially, a consumption subsidy likely decreases welfare significantly, primarily because of the taxpayer burden but also because it encourages negative externalities related to vehicle miles traveled, local air pollution and CO 2 emissions. de Gorter and Just. Perspect.

Tax

Tax CO2 Renewable Standards

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Green Car Congress

MARCH 19, 2012

The modeling suggests that even in the most favorable cases, a pure EV must have a range below 300 km (186 miles) in order to compete on ownership costs with other powertrains. Using government oil price projections, pure electric vans will still have a 10% cost of ownership premium over diesel in 2030. —John Lewis.

Emissions

Emissions Manufacturer Market Price

Chevron leveraging information technology to optimize thermal production of heavy oil with increased recovery and reduced costs

Green Car Congress

JUNE 23, 2011

the steam required, represented by barrels of water, to produce one barrel of oil) from a peak of almost 8.5 for the first quarter of 2011, according to data from the California Department of Oil, Gas & Geothermal Resources (DOGGR). Worldwide heavy oil reserves by country. Oil production. Source: Chevron.

Chevron

Chevron Oil Oil-Sands Production

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The DOS SEIS accordingly takes a detailed look at life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions of petroleum products from Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) oil sands crudes compared with reference crudes and the potential impact the pipeline might have on climate change as well as on the future development of the oils sands resource in Canada.

Climate Change

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate

Perspective: US Needs to Transition to Hydrous Ethanol as the Primary Renewable Transportation Fuel

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 30, 2009

The oil price shocks of the 1970s led the Brazilian government to address the strain high prices were placing on its fragile economy. Brazil, the largest and most populous country in South America, was importing 80% of its oil and 40% of its foreign exchange was used to pay for that imported oil. by Brian J.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Renewable Gasoline-Electric

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Technologies that stretch today’s assets and resources. These are “no-regret” technologies, as they represent actions that can be made today to make a significant impact on CO 2 , energy security and the optimization of local resources.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

Study Finds Integrated Biorefinery Processes Could Be Highly Competitive With Petroleum Fuels on Efficiency and Costs, While Offering Substantial Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Green Car Congress

MARCH 8, 2009

The RBAEF involves experts from 12 institutions, and is jointly led by Dartmouth College and the Natural Resources Defense Council and sponsored by the US Department of Energy, the Energy Foundation and the National Commission on Energy Policy. miles/gallon); base case emissions are 349 g CO 2 /km; base case petroleum use is 4.31

Emissions

Emissions Gas Fuel 2009

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

Limited fossil fuel resources. The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. The current price of a battery pack for just a short-range electric vehicle is between €8,000 to €12,000 he noted. Currently, cars contribute. about 7% of global CO 2 emissions.

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

Antelope Valley Transit orders up to 85 electric buses from BYD; first US all-electric public transit fleet

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 12, 2016

All 85 buses will have a range of more than 160 miles on a single battery charge. And, by reducing dependence on foreign oil imports, AVTA will no longer be subject to oil price volatility for its bus fleet—helping to create greater stability for budget forecasting for the fleet manager.

All-Electric

All-Electric Fleet BYD Los Angeles

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., Automakers could ramp up PEV production if consumer demand proves to be larger than expected. their longest trips, such as weekend and holiday road trips).

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 30, 2009

Thehydrogen-powered car has a top speed of 105 miles per hour andtravels as far as 280 miles on electricity produced by its fuelcell stack. customers $600 a month to lease.Honda hasn’t revealed its production price. Oil prices are going to go up. In July, itopened an assembly line in Japan to build its FCX Clarity.

Obama

Obama Honda Plug-in Plug

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

Over the long term, lower-than-expected oil prices could affect the outlook for oil sands production, and in certain scenarios higher transportation costs resulting from pipeline constraints could exacerbate the impacts of low prices. Background.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. Building on the SHEV drivetrains, they assumed PHEVs with an electric range of 50 km (31 miles) and. BPEVs with a range of 250 km (15 miles). Resources. from 2015 onwards because higher efficiency of wheel motor drivetrains allows for smaller.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Very broadly, they found that an LCFS would buffer the economy against global oil price spikes, trim demand for petroleum, and lessen upward pressure on gas prices. Treat all crude oils as part of the overall pool of transportation fuels. Earlier post.). This is a template, not a finished product. There will be a process.

Carbon

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Revenge of the Electric Car

DECEMBER 3, 2008

Tuesday’s announcement follows earlier endorsements from Israel, Denmark, Australia, Renault-Nissan and a coalition of Northern California localities supporting the idea leading to the deployment of an electric vehicle with a range of greater than 100 miles, beginning at the end of 2010 in Israel. The state has about 1.2

Hawaii

Hawaii Renewable Energy San Francisco

EV Driven

EIA: US Permian Basin oil production and resource assessments continue to increase

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Study estimates fuel economy improvements to US light-duty vehicles from 1975–2018 saved 2T gallons of fuel, 17B tons of CO2

Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

BP approves revamped $9B Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico; down from original $20B cost

ADB approves $240M to help Kazakhstan modernize transport, improve connectivity

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

ICCT updates US airline fuel efficiency rankings; Alaska stays on top, American on bottom

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Volkswagen Group invested €11.5B (US$12.9B) in R&D in 2014; ongoing focus on electromobility and digitalization of vehicles

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Study Finds Government Mandates Superior to All Other Biofuels Policies, But Mixing With Subsidies Causes Adverse Effects; The Argument for a Direct CO2 Tax

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Chevron leveraging information technology to optimize thermal production of heavy oil with increased recovery and reduced costs

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Perspective: US Needs to Transition to Hydrous Ethanol as the Primary Renewable Transportation Fuel

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Study Finds Integrated Biorefinery Processes Could Be Highly Competitive With Petroleum Fuels on Efficiency and Costs, While Offering Substantial Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Antelope Valley Transit orders up to 85 electric buses from BYD; first US all-electric public transit fleet

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

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