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Saudi Arabia has long enjoyed the status of being the top crude oil exporter in the world. With record production of 10.564 million barrels per day in June 2015, Saudi Arabia has been one of the major driving forces behind the current oilprice slump. Is Saudi Arabia losing the oilprice war? “It
As oilprices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. With this kind of impending discrepancy between supply and demand, the industry needs to start looking for new sources of oil, and quickly. by Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com.
in 2014 as a result of industrial overcapacity and weakness in the real estate sector. However, IHS Automotive analysts still expect light vehicle sales in China to grow by 7% in 2015 to 25.2 —Lin Huaibin, manager, China light vehicle sales forecast, IHS Automotive. North America. from last year. million units.
The Center for Automotive Research’s (CAR’s) updated automotive sales outlook forecasts US light-duty vehicle sales at 16.8 US Light Vehicle Sales, 2015-2018, and CAR’s Forecast, 2019-2025. US Light Vehicle Sales, 2015-2018, and CAR’s Forecast, 2019-2025. million units for 2019. million units in 2021.
The impact of rising oilprices on North American light tight oil (LTO) production is said to be a “Catch 22”, the title of Joseph Heller’s popular 1961 novel set in WWII. Too many analysts continue to believe drilling and service has the same problem with rising oilprices. by David Yager for Oilprice.com.
Under its most conservative of scenarios, more than 5 million light-duty electric-drive vehicles will be on the road in the US by 2035, according to a new forecast by IEE , an institue of the Edison Foundation. In this, electric light duty vehicles (LDVs) represent 2% of the registered vehicle stock (5.3 Source: IEE. Click to enlarge.
Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). Some other key findings of the AEO2014 Reference case include: Low natural gas prices boost natural gas-intensive industries. Industrial shipments are expected to grow at 3.0% quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1
In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., These include the dive in oilprices that began in mid-2014, as well as the phasing out of some local government purchase incentives. million in 2024.
The Pacific Northwest has the diverse feedstocks, fuel-delivery infrastructure and political will needed to create a viable biofuels industry capable of reducing greenhouse gases and meeting the future fuel demands of the aviation industry, according to a newly-released study by Sustainable Aviation Fuels Northwest (SAFN).
The rapidly industrializing economies of China and India fueled much of Asia’s demand increase, growing 2.8 If China’s use of petroleum continues to grow as projected, it is expected to replace the United States as the world’s largest net oil importer this fall. Between 2008 and 2012, Asia’s consumption increased by 4.4 million bbl/d.
High oilprices, a global economic rebound, and new laws and mandates in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, China, and the United States, among other countries, are all factors behind the surge in production, according to research conducted by the Worldwatch Institute’s Climate and Energy Program for the website Vital Signs Online.
Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA).
Instead it pursued a strategy of fighting for market share, contributing to an immediate rout in oilprices. OPEC is widely expected to continue its current strategy at its next meeting, and as such, no rebound in oilprices is expected, at least not because of the results of the group’s meeting in Vienna.
High oilprices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy. However, this does not imply a new era of oil abundance, the report cautions.
AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High OilPrice, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oilprices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low OilPrice case to 13.1
” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oilprices in the $90/bbl region. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth. gallon gasoline.
Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oilprices and. than in AEO2012.
Argentina offers one of the few places on earth where oil companies are not suffering from the full force of the collapse in prices. Argentina regulates oilprices, a policy originally intended to insulate the public from the whims of the market, protecting people from triple-digit crude prices.
Further, according to the latest IHS Markit forecasts, the global auto industry will exerience an unprecedented and almost instant stalling of demand in 2020, with global auto sales forecast to plummet more than 12% from 2019 to 78.8 million units for 2020, with light vehicle sales forecast to post 22.4 million units.
United States M&A activity for upstream oil and gas deals set records in 2011 for both deal values and deal counts, according to PLS, Inc., a provider of information, marketing and advisory services for the oil and gas industry. billion in October, creating North America’s largest midstream company.
The production costs for most chemicals via microbial fermentation are currently high compared to oil-derived products primarily because of operating costs associated with feedstock and feedstock processing. The percentage of acetate labelled with 13 C is shown in light blue for each time point. Jones et al. Click to enlarge.
The Roadmap proposes completely transforming the US light-duty vehicle fleet into one in which grid-enabled mobility (grid-enabled vehicles, GEV) is the new conventional standard. By 2040, the report proposed, 75% of the light-duty vehicle miles traveled in the US should be electric miles. Global Demand for Oil. Trade Deficit.
The transportation sector thus represents a significant fraction of total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions both globally and in the US—light-duty vehicles (LDVs) are responsible for 17.5% Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oilprices and oilprice volatility.
World oilprices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oilprices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oilprices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.
With its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, one of the mandates of 12-member OPEC is to “ensure the stabilization of oil markets in order to secure an efficient, economic and regular supply of petroleum to consumers, a steady income to producers, and a fair return on capital for those investing in the petroleum industry.”
It also updated the costs and sizes of electric and plug-in hybrid electric batteries and revised downward light-duty vehicle travel demand due to the adoption of a new estimation technique. Beyond 2020, CAFE standards for both passenger cars and light-duty trucks are held constant. Transportation projections.
The first volume of the report, the World Oil Review, is devoted to oil reserves, supply, demand, trade and prices with a special focus on crude oil quality and on refining industry. In 2018, global oil reserves rose slightly (+0.4%), mainly due to growth in the US. recorded in 2013-2017.
travelled (high, medium and low), and vehicle type (passenger, light commercial, or taxi). The analysis is based on central forecasts of oilprice, electricity. price and carbon pollution reduction scheme (CPRS)/carbon tax policy, and known information about the historic drivers for consumers in the vehicle.
of vehicle miles traveled—including almost all light duty. improvements in building shell, HVAC systems, lighting, and. batteries; smart charging; building shell and appliances; cement manufacturing; electric industrial boilers; agriculture. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled. appliances.
Following nearly two years of declines, observed global oil inventories increased by 77 mb in April. OECD industry stocks also rose, by 42.5 At 2,669 mb, OECD industry stocks were nevertheless 290.3 Higher oilprices and a weaker economic outlook continue to temper IEA’s oil demand growth expectations.
The expected influx of large amounts of alcohol-based fuels and fuels derived from unconventional petroleum over the next decade may cause long-term world oilprices to be between 5 and 12% lower than they would be in the absence of those fuels. Alternative jet fuels will have a limited impact on fuel price volatility.
The DOE-QTR defines six key strategies: increase vehicle efficiency; electrification of the light duty fleet; deploy alternative fuels; increase building and industrial efficiency; modernize the electrical grid; and deploy clean electricity. DOE’s most significant role in transport research is here.
But once you are at a two-carbon molecule with a double bond, you can go anywhere in the chemical industry. Today this molecule is made from oil, by a process known as steam cracking. That’s the chemical industry’s largest energy consumer and largest CO 2 producer, because that chemistry is endothermic.
The 450 Scenario works back from the international goal of limiting the long-term increase in the global mean temperature to two degrees Celsius (2 °C) above pre-industrial levels, in order to trace a plausible pathway to that goal. But the average oilprice remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035.
Conventional oil production continues to reverse its previous long decline because of the continuing use of horizontal and multi-fracturing drilling techniques. Increased drilling in liquids-rich areas has also reversed a declining production trend for condensates, a lightoil often used as diluent in the oil sands.
In two other scenarios considered, a high oilprice scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Electric vehicles will overhaul the US light-vehicle transportation network over the next two decades.
“NEB and GNWT study finds 200 billion barrels of oil in the Sahtu,” gushed CBC News , referring to a region of the sprawling territory that cuts across three provinces and touches the Arctic Ocean. Knowledgeable oilmen like Hogg say that the Canol, while highly prospective, is a long-term game that will have to wait until oilprices rise.
Electric vehicles will make up the majority of new car sales worldwide by 2040, and account for 33% of all the light-duty vehicles on the road, according to a new forecast published by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). We see a momentous inflection point for the global auto industry in the second half of the 2020s.
Using government oilprice projections, pure electric vans will still have a 10% cost of ownership premium over diesel in 2030. Ultra low emission vehicles in the light commercial vehicle market have strong potential in the medium-term, as rising fuel costs and falling battery and fuel cell costs cause ownership costs to converge.
The IMO fuel sulfur content regulation will have a significant global impact on both the refining and the shipping industries. As a result, both industries will experience rapid change and significant cost and operational impacts, according to new analysis from IHS Markit. The two industries are vastly unprepared.
Expanding into an area outside of the oil supermajors’ expertise is risky—batteries are a hard business to win even for industry veterans—but action is key as transportation and the grid increasingly march toward more electrification, Lux suggests. —Cosmin Laslau, Lux Research Senior Analyst and lead author.
The study examined eleven market segments: Passenger Vehicles by vehicle size (small, medium, large) and by distance travelled (low, medium and high vehicle kilometers travelled (VKT)); Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV); and Taxis. Early efforts to characterize the lifecycle of electric-drive vehicles are revealing some positive indications.
A new study by researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder projects the emission impacts of the widespread introduction of inexpensive and efficient electric vehicles into the US light duty vehicle (LDV) sector. power plants and refineries) and in turn to the transportation, residential, industrial, and commercial end-use sectors.
Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Questions for the industry, Kurani said, include how do we get from where households currently are to where PHEVs provide the most benefit?
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