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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. barrel, while the gasoline prices peaked on July 16, 2008 at $4.103/gallon.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 per gallon this summer driving season—April through September—compared with last summer’s average price of $3.06/gal. US gasoline and diesel consumption continue to remain below their 2019 averages.

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EIA: China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 but exported less gasoline and diesel

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China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 to meet rising domestic consumption of petroleum products, according to analysis by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Beginning in August 2021, several COVID-19 outbreaks in China led to mobility restrictions, which in turn reduced domestic demand for petroleum products.

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EIA forecasts 2023 global production of liquid fuels to exceed 101 MMb/d for first time

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Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its forecast for the 2023 Brent crude oil price by 2.5% This change came after OPEC and its partner countries (OPEC+) announced crude oil production cuts for 2023. Despite OPEC+ announcing it would cut crude oil production by 1.2 from its previous forecast.

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Machine learning PODA model projects the impact of COVID-19 on US motor gasoline demand

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The PODA model is a machine-learning-based model to project the US gasoline demand using COVID-19 pandemic data, government policies and demographic information. The Motor Gasoline Demand Estimation Module quantifies motor gasoline demands due to the changes in travel mobility. —Ou et al.

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