Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 5, 2018

ExxonMobil’s newly released Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 anticipates that global energy needs will rise about 25% over the period to 2040, led by non-OECD countries. The Outlook projects that global transportation-related energy demand will increase by close to 30% by 2040. l/100 km) now to close to 50 miles per gallon (4.7

Light 170

Light Oil Fuel Vehicles 170

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 31, 2014

Cumulative light-duty NGV sales by segment. In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that light-duty natural gas vehicle (LD NGV) sales will grow 119% between 2014 and 2024, culminating in 42.1 CAGR) than light trucks (5.6% CAGR) than light trucks (5.6% Forecasts Natural Gas' Source: Navigant.

Gas 244

Gas North America Global Vehicles 244

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. Forecasts SSVs' —“ Start-Stop Vehicles ”.

Light 150

Light North America Global Sale 150

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2013

In a new report , Navigant Research forecasts that the number of natural gas vehicles (NGVs) on roads worldwide will reach 34.9 Other factors, such as increased vehicle availability, a shortage of oil refining capabilities, tightening emissions restrictions, and increased energy security, are also fueling growth within specific countries.

2020 321

2020 Gas Fleet North America 321

Green Car Congress

MAY 20, 2014

million new light-duty vehicles (LDVs) will be sold globally in 2014, putting more than 1.2 The company forecasts that annual LDV sales will grow to 126.9 over the forecast period—i.e., over the forecast period—i.e., —“Transportation Forecast: Light Duty Vehicles”. Source: Navigant.

Plug-in 246

Plug-in Global Plug Vehicles 246

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts global annual sales of light duty vehicles will reach 122.6 Navigant expects sales of conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles will fall significantly over the forecast period, experiencing a CAGR of -6.6%. — Transportation Forecast: Light Duty Vehicles.

2015 150

2015 Global Sale PHEV 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 9, 2015

2015 forecast share by region. In its latest Global Auto Report , Scotiabank forecasts record global car sales in 2015, with the total market advancing 4% over 2014, reaching more than 74 million units. Global growth will mainly be driven by China, where Scotiabank expects auto demand to grow 7% in 2015 to 19.36

2015 150

2015 Global Auto Peru 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 25, 2016

A new study by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) forecasts that sales of electric vehicles will hit 41 million by 2040, representing 35% of new light duty vehicle sales worldwide. BNEF will discuss its EV forecast in detail at its upcoming annual BNEF Summit in New York in April. Although some 1.3 —Salim Morsy.

Cost Of 150

Cost Of Sale Global Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 12, 2012

Profound shifts in the regional distribution of oil demand and supply growth will redefine the refining industry and transform global oil trade over the next five years, according to the annual Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) released by the International Energy Agency (IEA). The oil market is at a crossroads.

Oil 255

Oil Oil-Sands Global Oil Prices 255

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 28, 2015

In its new Natural Gas Vehicles report, Navigant Research forecasts that global annual NGV sales—light-, medium- and heavy-duty—will grow 62.5% Navigant forecasts that the number of light-duty NGVs on the world’s roads will double by 2025 to 39.6 million vehicles in 2015 to 3.9 million in 2025.

2015 150

2015 Gas Global North America 150

Green Car Congress

MAY 24, 2017

As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. shale production will continue to grow along with global demand. shale production will continue to grow along with global demand. oil may not be able to fill.

Oil Prices 170

Oil Prices Oil Saudi Arabia Price 170

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2017

Electric vehicles will make up the majority of new car sales worldwide by 2040, and account for 33% of all the light-duty vehicles on the road, according to a new forecast published by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). This represents an aggressive jump compared to BNEF’s previous forecast of 35% EV new car market share by 2040.

PHEV 170

PHEV Sale Lithium Ion Cars 170

Green Car Congress

MARCH 27, 2020

Further, according to the latest IHS Markit forecasts, the global auto industry will exerience an unprecedented and almost instant stalling of demand in 2020, with global auto sales forecast to plummet more than 12% from 2019 to 78.8 during the global recession in 2008/2009. million units. year over year.

Gasoline 269

Gasoline 2020 Gasoline-Electric 2008 269

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 8, 2014

During 2014, the global plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) industry is poised to grow by 86% and will surpass more than 346,000 new vehicles sold, according to a new white paper—“ Electric Vehicles: 10 Predictions for 2014 ”—published by Navigant Research. Mature automotive markets—i.e., More than 2.2 More than 1.9

2014 346

2014 Global Sale Motorcycles 346

Green Car Congress

MARCH 9, 2013

Transportation fuel mix in millions of oil-equivalent barrels through 2020. The relative shift away from motor gasoline to diesel is driven by improving light-duty vehicle fuel economy and the growth in commercial transportation activity. Mix of the global vehicle fleet. Sources for fuel economy gains in light-duty vehicles.

Gasoline 383

Gasoline Transportation 2020 Diesel 383

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 11, 2009

A new report from Pike Research forecasts that the global natural gas vehicle (NGV) sector is poised for a new period of growth. The cleantech market intelligence firm forecasts that the number of NGVs on the road worldwide will grow to 17 million vehicles by 2015, up from 9.7 million in 2008. Energy security. Availability.

2015 268

2015 Gas Fleet Global 268

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 20, 2011

million unit global NGV market which we forecast will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.9% The growth in vehicles will lead to growth in usage of natural gas for transportation fuel, which Pike expects to reach 19,123 million cubic meters of gas globally (6.7% million vehicles per year in 2010 to more than 3.2

2016 218

2016 Global Iran Sale 218

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 22, 2012

Pike Research forecasts that biorefineries globally will attract $170 billion in new capital investment between 2012 and 2022, reaching 81 billion gallons per year (BGY) of installed capacity. thermochemical and hybrid conversion pathways are expected to increase over the remainder of the forecast period. Source: Pike Research.

Brazil 236

Brazil Italy Stimulus 2012 236

Green Car Congress

MAY 21, 2018

The electrification of road transport will move into top gear in the second half of the 2020s, due to tumbling battery costs and larger-scale manufacturing, with sales of electric cars surging to 28%, and those of electric buses to 84%, of their respective global markets by 2030. Annual global light duty vehicle sales.

Supplies 210

Supplies China Financing Global 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2014

As the world population increases by the estimated 30% from 2010 to 2040, ExxonMobil sees global GDP rising by about 140%, but energy demand by only about 35% due to greater efficiency. The Outlook for Energy provides ExxonMobil’s long-term view of global energy demand and supply. Click to enlarge. Outlook for Energy.

Energy 252

Energy Global 2010 Oil-Sands 252

Green Car Congress

MAY 20, 2020

BloombergNEF (BNEF) forecasts that sales of electric passenger vehicles will fall 18% in 2020 to 1.7 BNEF’s latest annual Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook shows electric models accounting for 58% of new passenger car sales globally by 2040, and 31% of the whole car fleet. to global electricity demand by 2040. million units.

2020 243

2020 Sale Market Cars 243

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2016

Global energy demand will increase 25% between 2014 and 2040, driven by population growth and economic expansion, ExxonMobil forecasts in the 2016 edition of its annual The Outlook for Energy. Light-duty vehicle fleet by type - projections. Global vehicle fuel efficiency - projections. Source: ExxonMobil.

2014 150

2014 Carbon Energy Fuel Economy 150

Green Car Congress

MARCH 17, 2012

An analysis of the US refining sector, based on linear programming (LP) modeling, finds that refining plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to a modest increase in refinery CO 2 emissions (ranging between 5.4% to 9.3%) from a 2010 baseline, depending upon the supply scenario.

Oil-Sands 247

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions CO2 247

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2013

By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. Hybrids are expected to account for about half of global new-car sales by 2040. Without the projected gains in efficiency, global energy demand could have risen by more than 100%. Click to enlarge.

Oil-Sands 309

Oil-Sands Energy Hybrid Sale 309

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

Oil 207

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation 207

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 20, 2015

November 27, oil consuming countries will celebrate the first anniversary of the Saudi decision to let market forces determine prices. Between the April and the October forecasts in most of the data series, GDP deteriorates (blue font). Crude prices bear much of the responsibility: the April forecasts were based on $58.14

Russia 150

Russia Saudi Arabia Oil Market 150

Green Car Congress

MARCH 14, 2019

By 2030, annual PEV sales are estimated to be between 15% and 32% of the global light duty vehicle market, producing a global PEV population between 107 million and 190 million.

Alternative Fuels 207

Alternative Fuels Future Plug-in Fuel 207

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth. Click to enlarge.

Transportation 250

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric 250

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 19, 2009

Cleantech research firm Pike Research forecasts growth in natural gas vehicles (NGV) on the road worldwide to 17 million units by 2015, up from 9.7 Pike Research forecasts that the NGV market will grow globally at a CAGR of 5.5% million in 2008. to reach just over 3 million vehicles (including conversions) by 2015. Availability.

2015 170

2015 Gas Vehicles Pakistan 170

Green Car Congress

MAY 2, 2012

The Global Fuel Economy Initiative ( GFEI ) ( earlier post ) launched its second three-year effort to improve vehicle fuel economy around the world at the International Transport Forum in Leipzig. The latest GFEI research suggests that fuel economy in new light duty vehicles around the world improved between 2005 and 2008 from around 8.1

Fuel Economy 231

Fuel Economy Economy Global Fuel 231

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 25, 2019

This long-term trend of Asian energy consumption to support growing economies strongly influences the extraction, refining, and transport of oil, natural gas, and other fuels. Light-duty vehicles. OECD electric light-duty vehicle stocks increase from 3.5 —Linda Capuano, EIA Administrator.

Asia 220

Asia Energy 2018 India 220

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

Under the Reference case, domestic crude oil production is expected to grow by more than 20% over the coming decade; already, domestic crude oil production increased from 5.1 Over the next 10 years, continued development of tight oil (e.g., Over the next 10 years, continued development of tight oil (e.g.,

Oil 210

Oil 2005 Production 2010 210

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

Continued growth of on-road travel increases energy use later in the projection period because current fuel economy and greenhouse gas standards require no additional efficiency increases for new light-duty vehicles after 2025 and for new heavy-duty vehicles after 2027. trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5 Other findings.

Transportation 207

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018 207

Green Car Congress

JUNE 11, 2018

In 2016, the IMO confirmed that global refiners and shippers would have to comply with these new environmental regulations five years earlier than many anticipated, which sent tidal waves through two industries that typically take many years to adapt to such significant change. —Kurt Barrow.

Fuel 170

Fuel Mariner Oil 2020 170

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The US Department of State (DOS) has released its Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (SEIS) in response to TransCanada’s May 2012 application for the Keystone XL pipeline that would run from Canada’s oils sands in Alberta to Nebraska. The pipeline would primarily transport crude oil from the WCSB and Bakken regions.

Climate Change 250

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate 250

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 14, 2017

In a new study, IHS Markit forecasts that vehicle miles traveled (VMT) will by 2040 grow to an all-time high of around 11 billion miles per year (a 65% increase since 2017) in China, Europe, India and the United States—the key markets examined for the study—and will keep growing. IHS Markit, “Reinventing the Wheel.”

Sale 150

Sale Miles Market Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 11, 2010

The new Focus will be one of up to 10 unique models to be built from Ford’s new global C-car platform, which is expected to generate total sales in all regions of 2 million units annually by 2012—a doubling Ford’s 2008 C-car volumes. Duratec I-4 unit while contributing to projected fuel economy gains of more than 10%.

Ford 199

Ford Engine Global Market 199