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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2019 projects continued robust growth in US energy production, emergence of the United States as an energy exporter, and a cleaner S electric power generation mix. The Annual Energy Outlook 2019 (AEO2019) includes a Reference case and six side cases designed to examine the robustness of key assumptions.

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EIA 2035 reference case projects drop in US imports of petroleum due to modest economic growth, increased efficiency, growing domestic oil production, and biofuels

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EIA’s AEO2012 projects a continued decline in US imports of liquid fuels due to increased production of gas liquids and biofuels and greater fuel efficiency. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Reference case projections for US energy markets through 2035. Source: EIA. Click to enlarge.

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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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LDV energy consumption declines in AEO2014 Reference case from 16.0 quadrillion Btu in 2040 in the AEO2013 Reference case. The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case.

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IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

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Short-term oil demand is still growing strong and will continue to do so through the end of 2020 despite the market’s increasing focus on electric vehicles and the forecasted future plateau in oil demand, according to new analysis from IHS Markit, a global business information provider. Source: IHS Markit 2018.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. million FFV sales in the AEO2012 Reference case. Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs.

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IEA: improving efficiency of road-freight transport critical to reduce oil-demand growth; three areas of focus

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Improving the efficiency of road-freight transport is critical to reducing the growth in oil demand, carbon emissions and air pollution over the next decades, according to the International Energy Agency’s latest report, The Future of Trucks: Implications for energy and the environment.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2010 Reference Case Projects Moderate Growth in US Energy Consumption, Greater Use of Renewables, and Reduced Oil and Natural Gas Imports

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Assuming no new policies, growth in energy-related CO 2 is driven by electricity and transportation fuel use. The reference case projections do not include the effects of potential future policies that have not yet become law—e.g., As a result, reliance on imported oil declines significantly over the next 25 years.

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