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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023. per gallon.

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How crude-oil prices influence gasoline prices

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Gasoline is one of the products refined from crude oil. Thus, the price of crude oil should have a strong influence on the price of gasoline. However, the retail price of gasoline includes other costs as well. Gasoline prices are also influenced by gasoline demand relative to gasoline supply.

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DOE: Adjusted for inflation, the price of gasoline in 2019 was similar to the price in 1929

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The average annual price of gasoline has fluctuated greatly over the past several decades, but when adjusted for inflation (constant dollars), the price of gasoline in 2019 was only nine cents higher than in 1929, according to the US Department of Energy (DOE). Note: Retail price includes Federal and State Taxes.

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EIA: China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 but exported less gasoline and diesel

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China processed record amounts of crude oil in 2021 to meet rising domestic consumption of petroleum products, according to analysis by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). According to China’s National Bureau of Statistics, China processed a record 14 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil in 2021, a 4.6%

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EIA expects summer US real gasoline and diesel prices to be the highest since 2014

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that retail gasoline prices will average $3.84 per gallon this summer driving season—April through September—compared with last summer’s average price of $3.06/gal. US gasoline and diesel consumption continue to remain below their 2019 averages.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). million barrels per day set in 2019.

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