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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects US crude oil production to surpass 12.9 In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023. per gallon.

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EIA forecasts crude oil prices will decline through 2023

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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oil prices.

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EIA: Crude oil demand returns faster than supply, increasing prices and reducing inventories

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The price of US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is near its highest level since 2014, increasing rapidly from low prices in mid-2020 as demand returns faster than supply, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). US crude oil inventories were 440.3 million barrels per day (b/d).

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EIA expects continued high prices for diesel and home heating oils

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that low inventories of distillate fuels, which are primarily consumed as diesel fuel and heating oil, will lead to high prices through early 2023. million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products in 2023, down 14% from estimated 2022 production.

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EIA: US crude oil production will increase to new records in 2023 and 2024

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In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 EIA based the forecast on expectations of crude oil prices and infrastructure capacity additions.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). million barrels per day set in 2019.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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EIA expects crude oil prices to decrease through 2023 and 2024, even as petroleum consumption increases, largely because growth in crude oil production in the United States and abroad will continue to increase over the next two years. Areas of uncertainty include Russian oil supply and OPEC production. per gallon in 2024.