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DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

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DOE conducted a preliminary analysis for several fuel/vehicle pathways for present day (2011) and future (2016 and 2030) mid-size cars to examine the potential for technology improvement to reduce the total costs of ownership of advanced powertrain vehicles and fuels to levels comparable to conventional powertrain vehicles and fuels.

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MITEI releases report on 3-year study of future mobility; technological innovation, policies, and behavioral changes all needed; “car pride” an issue

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In all scenarios, they used an enhanced version of the MIT Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model to explore changes in LDV fleet composition, fuel consumption, electricity production, CO 2 emissions, and macroeconomic impacts (including the cost of avoided CO 2 emissions). From Insights into Future Mobility.

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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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For the Transportation sector, EIA projects that energy consumption will decline between 2019 and 2037 (in the Reference case) because increases in fuel economy more than offset growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT). This growth arises from increases in air transportation outpacing increases in aircraft fuel efficiency.

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EIA AEO2012 projects potential impacts of significant breakthroughs in battery technology

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The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 2012 (AEO2012) includes a High Technology Battery case that examines the potential impacts of significant breakthroughs in battery electric vehicle technology on the cost and price of all types of battery powered electric vehicles.

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SEAT pushes forward with CNG line-up

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As well as ecological and tax benefits, TGI technology offers exceptionally low costs per kilometer—up to 50% cheaper than a gasoline equivalent model and 30% cheaper than a diesel—and with the further improvements SEAT has made to the technology, now it can go even further before needing to be refueled. SEAT Ibiza TGI.

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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. year from 2013 through 2040 in the Reference case, far below the rates of economic growth (2.4%/year)

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U Toronto LCA suggests that with CNG as primary vehicle energy source, EVs best targeted at non-attainment areas

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Among their findings, published in a paper in the ACS journal Environmental Science & Technology , are that policies should for the foreseeable future focus on the niche adoption of plug-in vehicles in non-attainment regions, as CNG vehicles are likely more cost-effective at providing overall life cycle air emissions impact benefits.