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EIA forecasts crude oil prices will decline through 2023

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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oil prices.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 million barrels per day in 2023—200,000 barrels per day more than in its July forecast. EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects global consumption of liquid fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, to set new record highs in 2024. EIA also expects oil production in Canada, Brazil, and Norway collectively to grow 12% from 2022 to 2024, and also expects growth from new sources such as Guyana.

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EIA forecasts rising global oil production will limit price increases

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In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

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EIA forecasts 2023 global production of liquid fuels to exceed 101 MMb/d for first time

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Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its forecast for the 2023 Brent crude oil price by 2.5% from its previous forecast. This change came after OPEC and its partner countries (OPEC+) announced crude oil production cuts for 2023. Despite OPEC+ announcing it would cut crude oil production by 1.2

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). and by 1.5% in summer 2021.

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IEA forecasts global oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023; non-OECD countries lead expansion

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The IEA June 2022 Oil Market Report (OMR) forecasts world oil demand to reach 101.6 While higher prices and a weaker economic outlook are moderating consumption increases, a resurgent China will drive gains next year, with growth accelerating from 1.8 mb/d in 2023, according to the forecast. mb/d in 2022 to 2.2

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