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EIA forecasts crude oil prices will decline through 2023

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Global oil consumption outpaced oil production for the six consecutive quarters ending with the fourth quarter of 2021 (4Q21), which has led to persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories and significant increases in crude oil prices.

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EIA expects new production milestones for US crude oil amid sustained global petroleum demand and rising prices

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In its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA forecasts US crude oil production to average 12.8 million barrels per day in 2023—200,000 barrels per day more than in its July forecast. EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price to increase the rest of 2023 and to approach $90 per barrel in late 2023.

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EIA expects record global petroleum consumption in 2024, with lower crude oil prices

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EIA expects crude oil prices to decrease through 2023 and 2024, even as petroleum consumption increases, largely because growth in crude oil production in the United States and abroad will continue to increase over the next two years. Areas of uncertainty include Russian oil supply and OPEC production. per gallon in 2024.

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EIA forecasts rising global oil production will limit price increases

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In the June Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that rising global production of petroleum and other liquid fuels (driven by OPEC, Russia, and the United States) will limit price increases for global crude oil benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI).

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EIA forecasts US fossil fuel production to reach new highs in 2023

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After declining in 2020, the combined production of US fossil fuels (including natural gas, crude oil, and coal) increased by 2% in 2021 to 77.14 In the EIA forecast, improvements in drilling efficiency and new-well production will contribute to production increases of 3% in 2022 and 2% in 2023. quadrillion British thermal units.

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EIA: US crude oil production will increase to new records in 2023 and 2024

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In its January 2023 Short-Term Energy Outlook , the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that crude oil production in the United States will average 12.4 In 2022, US crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.9 EIA based the forecast on expectations of crude oil prices and infrastructure capacity additions.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that US crude oil production will average 11.9 Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). and by 1.5% in summer 2021.

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