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EIA projects nearly 50% increase in world energy usage by 2050, led by growth in Asia

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A few countries, including China and India, have particularly large populations, and their energy consumption for both personal travel and freight movement grows much more rapidly than in many OECD countries. Light-duty vehicles. OECD electric light-duty vehicle stocks increase from 3.5

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UMTRI study finds US and China could turnover more than 90% of LDV fleet to alternative powertrains by 2050 under very aggressive penetration scenarios

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Turnover of the US fleet under the three models of penetration. A less aggressive approach yielded fleet turnover rates of 60% or more for most countries, while a moderately aggressive approach yielded fleet turnover rates of more than 80% for most countries. Turnover of the Chinese fleet. Source: Belzowski and McManus.

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BNEF: E-buses to surge even faster than EVs; supply of cobalt potential risk to the pace of growth

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The electrification of road transport will move into top gear in the second half of the 2020s, due to tumbling battery costs and larger-scale manufacturing, with sales of electric cars surging to 28%, and those of electric buses to 84%, of their respective global markets by 2030. Annual global light duty vehicle sales.

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IHS Markit: vehicle miles traveled to increase 65% in key markets by 2040, while vehicle sales slow

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In a new study, IHS Markit forecasts that vehicle miles traveled (VMT) will by 2040 grow to an all-time high of around 11 billion miles per year (a 65% increase since 2017) in China, Europe, India and the United States—the key markets examined for the study—and will keep growing. IHS Markit, “Reinventing the Wheel.”

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New report finds global CO2 vehicle emission reduction measures falter; dropping diesels, increasing SUVs

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Average new LDV fuel economy (liters gasoline equivalent per 100 km (L ge /100 km) by country or region (2005-17) and new registrations (2017). A total of 27 countries—including Sweden, Canada and the United Kingdom—saw the fuel economy of their fleets stagnate or worsen from 2015 to 2017. Source: GFEI. L ge /100 km.

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MIT and IEA reports take different views of the future of natural gas in transportation

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While compressed natural gas (CNG) will play a role, particularly for high-mileage fleets, the report suggests that the chemical conversion of gas into some form of liquid fuel may be the best pathway to significant market penetration. emissions are reduced by around 25% relative to the use of gasoline for the same engine efficiency.

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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

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By 2040, hybrids are expected to account for about 35% of the global light-duty vehicle fleet, up from less than 1% in 2010. The growth reflects an expected 90% increase in electricity use, led by developing countries where 1.3 billion people are currently without access to electricity. Source: ExxonMobil. Transportation.

Oil-Sands 309