Battery, Forecast, Gasoline and Oil Prices

Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2019

Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oil prices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Gasoline-Electric Gasoline Oil

BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 25, 2016

A new study by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) forecasts that sales of electric vehicles will hit 41 million by 2040, representing 35% of new light duty vehicle sales worldwide. BNEF will discuss its EV forecast in detail at its upcoming annual BNEF Summit in New York in April.

Cost Of

Cost Of Sale Global Vehicles

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

GlobalData: COVID-19 puts EV sales and CO2 fleet emission targets at risk

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2020

GlobalData research shows that lower oil prices as a result of the COVID-19 crisis could reduce electric vehicle demand and impair EU efforts to significantly reduce average new vehicle CO 2 emissions in the European car market.

CO2

CO2 Fleet Emissions Oil Prices

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 2, 2015

The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales. Lux on the price of oil.

Plug-in

Plug-in Oil Cheap Plug

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

EV penetration with a battery swap model in three scenarios. In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Becker (2009). Click to enlarge.

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Representative battery pack size is below each segment. In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Such economic benefits could be realized earlier through effective policies which reduce first mover costs in the short term and promote rapid take-up once non-ICE vehicle price premiums reduce to levels that make them affordable to. Victorian Metropolitan Region and electric vehicle service stations that offer quick charge or battery.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

Soon an Electric Vehicle Will Cost Less Than An IC Engine Vehicle !!!

Get Electric Vehicle

MAY 29, 2021

One of the main reasons which limit the mass adaption of electric cars or EVs is its price difference in comparison with its IC engine counterpart. A study conducted by BloombergNEF forecasts that Electric vehicles will be cheaper than gasoline-powered vehicles in Europe. The Reduction in Battery cost. Battery Swapping.

Electric Vehicles

Electric Vehicles Engine Vehicles Gasoline-Electric

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

Among the more detailed transportation projections in AEO2014 are: LDVs powered by gasoline remain the dominant vehicle type in the AEO2014 Reference case, retaining a 78% share of new LDV sales in 2040, down from their 82% share in 2012. New vehicle sales shares are generally similar in AEO2014 and AEO2013 but with moderate variation.

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 11, 2010

BCG’s analysis finds that cellulosic ethanol is on the verge of becoming cost-competitive with gasoline at $3/gal US. Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost. Click to enlarge. Click to enlarge. BCG, November 2010).

Solar

Solar Boston Consulting Group Power Powered

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

From the GHG abatement cost perspective, the study found that the most efficient technologies are full deployment of the E10 grade, to reach the 7% energy cap of conventional biofuels; higher advanced ethanol blends for gasoline such as E20; drop-in advanced biofuels for diesel; and hybridized powertrains, such as mild hybrids and full hybrids.

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Under their optimistic scenario (OPT)—which is based on the assumption that EVs are market-competitive with gasoline vehicles, in particular after 2025—they find 15% and 47% adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2030 and 2050, respectively.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Domestic oil production will rise to 7.5 Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

gasoline in cars) to electricity in order to achieve the GHG reduction target. forecasts of population and gross state product, combined. generation forecasting, breakthroughs in storage technology, replacement of steam generation with fast-response gas. reduction in fuel costs even with electricity prices doubled.

Climate

Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Among the transportation-related updates going into AEO2011, the EIA increased the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10% to 15%, as a result of the waiver granted by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010. Transportation projections. quadrillion Btu in 2009 to 31.8

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

The report, Plug-In Electric Vehicles: A Practical Plan for Progress , examines public policies toward PEVs, taking into account the promise and limitations of PEVs, recent improvements in battery technology, market dynamics, and the proliferation of policies around the world that promote the use of PEVs.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. VW, Daimler subsidiary Daug and Varta developed a NimH battery in the early 90s, and the VW group put the Audi duo hybrid on the road in 1997. Experts, consultants and politicians tumble over one another with forecasts.

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Click to enlarge. Electric vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Bank of America: Oil Demand Growth to Hit Zero Within a Decade, EVs the Culprit

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 7, 2019

Any major disruption to cobalt today would likely curb EV proliferation in the early 2020s, in turn supporting long dated crude oil prices,” Bank of America Merrill Lynch warned. There are a long list of other uncertainties that complicate such medium- and long-term forecasting. That has mostly run its course.

Oil

Oil America Oil Prices South Africa

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Blog Archive ▼ 2009 (52) ▼ April (6) Waxman-Markey and REDD BlogRoll Review: Space Beams, Leaded Batteries, an. Several early models of passenger vehicles have enough energy stored in advanced batteries to power several homes for hours. Project Better Place plans to deploy a massive network of battery charging spots.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

BNEF forecasts EVs to be 35% of global new car sales by 2040; cost of ownership below conventional-fuel vehicles by 2025

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

GlobalData: COVID-19 puts EV sales and CO2 fleet emission targets at risk

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Soon an Electric Vehicle Will Cost Less Than An IC Engine Vehicle !!!

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Study finds no alternative to widespread switching of direct fuel uses to electricity to meet 2050 California GHG targets; putting detail in climate wedges

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Bank of America: Oil Demand Growth to Hit Zero Within a Decade, EVs the Culprit

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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