Alternative Fuels, Forecast, Gas-Electric and Light

Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

Green Car Congress

JULY 7, 2014

The number of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs) in use worldwide will nearly double between 2014 and 2035, according to a new forecast report by Navigant Research. Navigant projects that annual MHDV sales will grow throughout the forecast period at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.4%. of the market in 2014 to 11.2%

Market

Market Alternative Fuels Engine Gas-Electric

Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

Green Car Congress

JULY 28, 2014

In a new report ( Transportation Forecast: Global Fuel Consumption ), Navigant Research forecasts total road transportation energy consumption will grow from 81.1 Approximately 84% of that will be provided by conventional fuels. Annual road transportation sector energy consumption by fuel type, world markets: 2015-2035.

Transportation

Transportation Global Fuel Alternative Fuels

Navigant forecasts plug-in and fuel cell vehicles to be 2.5% of all vehicles in use in 2035; global parc of >2B vehicles

Green Car Congress

MAY 20, 2014

million new light-duty vehicles (LDVs) will be sold globally in 2014, putting more than 1.2 The company forecasts that annual LDV sales will grow to 126.9 over the forecast period—i.e., over the forecast period—i.e., By 2035, more than 4% of vehicles will be fueled by natural gas and less than 1% by hydrogen.

Plug-in

Plug-in Global Plug Vehicles

Navigant forecasts global annual sales of LDVs of 122.6M by 2035, up 38% from 2015

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts global annual sales of light duty vehicles will reach 122.6 Navigant expects sales of conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles will fall significantly over the forecast period, experiencing a CAGR of -6.6%. Vehicles fueled exclusively by electricity will represent 1.3%

2015

2015 Global Sale PHEV

Navigant: sales of light duty vehicles to total more than 2.1 billion from 2015 to 2035

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 10, 2015

Navigant forecasts global annual LDV sales to grow from 88.8 Navigant expects the vast majority of growth in the LDV market over the forecast period to come from developing countries in Asia Pacific, specifically China and India. According to a recent report from Navigant Research, total sales of LDVs are expected to total more than 2.1

2015

2015 Light Sale PHEV

NPC report to Energy Secretary finds light-, medium- and heavy-duty vehicles could reduce per-mile GHG at least 40% by 2050; additional strategies required for further reductions

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 2, 2012

Projected range of impact of demand, fuel efficiency improvements, and alternative fuel-vehicle systems on light-duty fleet GHG emissions. On a stand-alone basis, all light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles have the potential to reduce per-mile GHG emissions by at least 40% in 2050, relative to 2005 average fleet levels.

Light

Light Miles Energy Lithium Ion

MITEI releases report on 3-year study of future mobility; technological innovation, policies, and behavioral changes all needed; “car pride” an issue

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 24, 2019

The researchers ultimately find that continued technological innovation is necessary and must be accompanied by cross-sector policies and changes to consumer behavior in order to meet Paris Agreement targets for greenhouse gas emissions reductions. From Insights into Future Mobility.

Future

Future MIT Climate Change Alternative Fuels

ICF report finds California Low Carbon Fuel Standard can be achieved with modest changes in diversity of fuels

Green Car Congress

JUNE 13, 2013

Each colored stacked bar represents credits generated via low carbon fuels; the red line represents the deficits from forecasted CARBOB and ultra low sulfur diesel (ULSD) consumption. The LCFS requires a 10% reduction in the carbon intensity (in gCO 2 e/MJ) of transportation fuels by 2020, as measured on a lifecycle basis.

California

California Carbon Fuel Standards

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2019 projects continued robust growth in US energy production, emergence of the United States as an energy exporter, and a cleaner S electric power generation mix. Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9 trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5

Transportation

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018

DOE TEF project finds US can eliminate petroleum and reduce GHG by more than 80% in transportation by 2050; less use, more biofuels, expansion of electricity and hydrogen

Green Car Congress

MARCH 15, 2013

The US Department of Energy (DOE) released findings from a new project—Transportation Energy Futures (TEF)—that concludes the United States has the potential to eliminate petroleum use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by more than 80% in the transportation sector by 2050. Using less fuel in vehicles. Click to enlarge.

Transportation

Transportation Hydrogen Fuel Light

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles. quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0 million, or less than one-half the 2.9

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

California Energy Roadmap Targets Outlines Activities to Support Electrified Transportation; Sufficient Charging Stations to Support 1M Plug-ins by 2020

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 22, 2010

Four California state agencies and the independent power grid operator have released a new plan and vision for California’s energy future in advance of the Air Resources Board consideration of a first-in-the-nation rule requiring that a third of California electricity come from renewable sources by 2020.

Plug-in

Plug-in California 2020 Transportation

Study suggests China urban passenger transport emissions could peak in 2030

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 9, 2019

This study sheds light on the urban passenger transport sector in China, which accounted for around 20% (188 MtCO 2 ) of the total carbon emissions of the transport sector in 2016, and aims to answer whether the CO 2 emissions from the urban passenger transport sector can reach its peak before 2030 and how to reach the peak.

Transportation

Transportation Emissions China Taxi

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

Adam Brandt and his colleagues used historical relationships to project future demand for (a) transport services; (b) all liquid fuels; and (c) substitution with alternative energy carriers, including electricity. A) Demand for transport energy, including liquid fuels (dark tone) and non-liquid fuels (light tone). (B)

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Projected rates of fuel consumption improvement under different scenarios relative to past experience and the 2016 and 2025 CAFE standards. In addition, alternative fuels to petroleum must be readily available, cost-effective and produced with low emissions of greenhouse gases. Vehicles operating on electricity.

Hydrogen

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy

Study finds plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to modest increases in refinery CO2 emissions

Green Car Congress

MARCH 17, 2012

This framework includes electricity and natural gas used in the production of hydrogen. MMBbl/day from Western Canada (about 33% conventional crudes, 51% bitumen crudes, and 16% light synthetic crude oils (SCO) produced by upgrading bitumen crudes. MM Bbl/day (51%) were light and medium crudes and 2.5

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions CO2

Is A Tax On Electricity (kWh) Consumed The Best Way to Supplement the Fuel Tax for Electric Vehicles?

EV Adoption

JULY 4, 2022

As sales of electric vehicles begin to reach significant numbers across the US, states are exploring approaches to replace lost tax revenue since EV drivers don’t pay fuel taxes as drivers of gas-powered cars do at gas stations. Unfortunately there is currently no simple and agreed upon best replacement for the fuel tax.

Fuel Tax

Fuel Tax Tax Electric Vehicles Fuel

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Even until 2030 many alternative powertrain technologies such as PHEV, BEV and FCV lack relative cost competitiveness—but are important cornerstones in vehicle manufacturers’ CO 2 emission compliance strategies. PHEVs fueled with advanced biofuels and low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. Tcf in the High Oil and Gas Resource case.

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

How To Choose the Right EV Charging Equipment for Your Dealership

Blink Charging

MARCH 30, 2023

of all light-duty vehicles registered were all-electric, “a 74 percent increase year-over-year and a noticeable change, compared to a 4.3 While electric vehicle charging equipment is new for car dealerships, it does not need to be a mystery. In January 2023, 7.1% percent share in January 2022” according to InsideEVs.

Charging

Charging Tax Credit Re-Charge Installation

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 19, 2011

suppliers of batteries, fuel cells, motors, power electronics, etc.); fuels suppliers; electric utilities; independent power producers; industrial gas companies; state and local government; research laboratories; academics; and other public, private, or non-profit entities. Hybrid electric vehicles.

Cost Of

Cost Of Future Fuel Economy Vehicles

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Alternative technologies, such as hybrid and electric vehicles that use oil more efficiently or not at all, continue to advance but they take time to penetrate markets. Subsidies that encourage wasteful consumption of fossil fuels jumped to over $400 billion. per year on average, despite significant fuel-efficiency gains.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 19, 2010

The study—“A portfolio of powertrains for Europe: a fact-based analysis”—compares the economics, sustainability and performance of fuel cell, battery-electric, hybrid-electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles in achieving the decarbonization goal. Total Raffinage Marketing.

Plug-in

Plug-in PHEV Transportation Plug

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

Green Car Congress

MARCH 16, 2016

According to the report, “On the Road Toward 2050: Potential for Substantial Reductions in Light-Duty Vehicle Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions,” each element is separately important, but must collectively be pursued aggressively to achieve necessary emissions reductions.

MIT

MIT Transportation Climate Energy

EV Driven

Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

Navigant forecasts plug-in and fuel cell vehicles to be 2.5% of all vehicles in use in 2035; global parc of >2B vehicles

Navigant forecasts global annual sales of LDVs of 122.6M by 2035, up 38% from 2015

Navigant: sales of light duty vehicles to total more than 2.1 billion from 2015 to 2035

NPC report to Energy Secretary finds light-, medium- and heavy-duty vehicles could reduce per-mile GHG at least 40% by 2050; additional strategies required for further reductions

MITEI releases report on 3-year study of future mobility; technological innovation, policies, and behavioral changes all needed; “car pride” an issue

ICF report finds California Low Carbon Fuel Standard can be achieved with modest changes in diversity of fuels

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

DOE TEF project finds US can eliminate petroleum and reduce GHG by more than 80% in transportation by 2050; less use, more biofuels, expansion of electricity and hydrogen

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

California Energy Roadmap Targets Outlines Activities to Support Electrified Transportation; Sufficient Charging Stations to Support 1M Plug-ins by 2020

Study suggests China urban passenger transport emissions could peak in 2030

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Study finds plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to modest increases in refinery CO2 emissions

Is A Tax On Electricity (kWh) Consumed The Best Way to Supplement the Fuel Tax for Electric Vehicles?

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

How To Choose the Right EV Charging Equipment for Your Dealership

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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