Green Car Congress

APRIL 7, 2021

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts an increase in demand for petroleum products during the 2021 summer driving season as the impacts of COVID-19 diminish in the United States. EIA also forecasts the Brent crude oil price will average $64 per barrel this summer, a 78% increase from last summer’s average of $36 per barrel.

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2019 Fuel Coal Motor 186

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 21, 2015

In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., Under a conservative scenario, Navigant forecasts more than 5.8 Under a conservative scenario, Navigant forecasts more than 5.8 Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts”.

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Light Sale Global Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

MARCH 27, 2020

Further, according to the latest IHS Markit forecasts, the global auto industry will exerience an unprecedented and almost instant stalling of demand in 2020, with global auto sales forecast to plummet more than 12% from 2019 to 78.8 million units for 2020, with light vehicle sales forecast to post 22.4 million units.

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Gasoline 2020 Gasoline-Electric 2008 269

Green Car Congress

JULY 5, 2016

According to a new forecast report from Navigant Research, global commercial alternative powertrain medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) sales will grow from about 347,000 vehicles in 2016 to more than 820,000 in 2026, representing a CAGR of about 9%. Medium- and heavy-trucks represent 4.3% of vehicles in the US, drive 9.3%

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Global Sale North America Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2014

Lower fuel expenditures are attributable to a combination of falling retail gasoline prices and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks that reduce the number of gallons used to travel a given distance. Household gasoline costs are forecast to average $1,962 next year, assuming that EIA’s price forecast, which is highly uncertain, is realized.

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2015 Gasoline Fuel Economy MPG 210

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 3, 2015

IHS Automotive forecasts global automotive sales for 2015 to reach 88.6 For the APAC region in 2015, IHS forecasts that China’s economic growth will decelerate further, to 6.5% The campaign is expected to have a long-lasting effect on premium parts/vehicle prices in China. million, an increase of 2.4% North America.

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2015 Light Market Global 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 8, 2015

In a new report, Navigant Research forecasts that total annual global light-duty start-stop vehicle (SSVs) sales will reach 59 million, accounting for 55% of all light duty vehicle sales. The other driver for SSV technology is consumer demand—present in Europe and some Asia Pacific countries for some time thanks to high fuel prices.

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Light North America Global Sale 150

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 7, 2021

In its International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021), EIA projects that strong economic growth, particularly with developing economies in Asia, will drive global increases in energy consumption despite pandemic-related declines and long-term improvements in energy efficiency. —Stephen Nalley.

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Global Energy Emissions Asia 259

Green Car Congress

JUNE 1, 2016

It might be that we see quite a dramatic reduction in replacing the capacity and of course that will have an impact, eventually, on price.”. Oil companies are making painful cuts to spending, which will translate into much lower production than expected in the years ahead. The price acts as a self-correcting mechanism.

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Oil Supplies Market Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

JULY 7, 2012

The Nikkei reports that the nationwide average price in Japan for regular gasoline was ¥139.8 Prices at the pump are falling in Japan not only due to lower crude oil prices, but also because the widespread popularity of fuel-efficient vehicles has lowered demand for gasoline.A per liter ($6.65

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Japan Gasoline Fuel Gasoline-Electric 258

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2011

World energy growth over the next twenty years is expected to be dominated by emerging economies such as China, India, Russia and Brazil while improvements in energy efficiency measures are set to accelerate, according to BP’s latest projection of energy trends, the BP Energy Outlook 2030. Coal will increase by 1.2%

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Energy Economy Global Oil-Sands 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 13, 2010

bank serving both private and public growth companies, forecasts the. the future of the economy and the environment. Rising Oil Prices Lead to Investments in Natural Gas. Oil markets are traditionally sensitive to a pick up in economic activity. Cascadia Capital , a diversified, boutique investment. extraction.

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Congress 2011 Clean Cleaning 170

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 12, 2012

The IEA expects the global oil market to become somewhat less tight over the medium term than it has been through most of the last decade, as a combination of demand and supply factors will cause OPEC spare capacity to return to more comfortable levels. The oil market is at a crossroads.

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Oil Oil-Sands Global Oil Prices 255

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

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2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices 150

Green Car Congress

APRIL 23, 2018

Short-term oil demand is still growing strong and will continue to do so through the end of 2020 despite the market’s increasing focus on electric vehicles and the forecasted future plateau in oil demand, according to new analysis from IHS Markit, a global business information provider. Source: IHS Markit 2018.

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Oil Global 2003 2007 276

Green Car Congress

APRIL 18, 2020

IHS Markit is forecasting that global commercial vehicle production (GVW 4-8) volumes in 2020 compared to 2019 will be down 22% (more than 650,000 units) to 2.6 These forecasts are informed by the latest IHS Markit global economic forecast updates, which reflect a 3.0% million units, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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2020 Commercial Global Production 191

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Compared to the reference case, in which gasoline vehicles (ICEVs) remain dominant through 2050 (BAU), OPT results in 16% and 36% reductions in LDV greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for 2030 and 2050, respectively, corresponding to 5% and 9% reductions in economy-wide emissions. Credit: ACS, Keshavarzmohammadian et al. Click to enlarge.

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Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

This larger resource leads to about double the shale gas production and more than 20% higher total lower-48 natural gas production in 2035, with lower natural gas prices, than was projected in the AEO2010 Reference case. The fuel economy standards are increased through model year 2020 to meet the statutory requirements of EISA2007.

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Gas 2011 Price Energy 199

Green Car Congress

MAY 21, 2010

This would cut US spending on imported oil by $51 to $93 billion per year and, by lowering global oil prices, reduce oil producer revenues by $263 to $436 billion annually by 2030. The Act would establish an economy-wide carbon price starting at $16.47 per ton in 2013 and growing to $55.44

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Oil Climate Change Oil Prices 2005 220

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2018

dollar to go up, which is putting downward pressure on prices,” Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago, told Reuters. There are plenty of factors influencing oil prices right now, and the OPEC+ decision expected in a few days will be the single most important driver in the near-term. But the U.S.

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Oil Prices Oil Price Argentina 150

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. This is, however, less than the 13% share projected in AEO2013 because of the lower prices of competing fuels in AEO2014. per year, from 21.5

Oil 290

Oil Light Energy Vehicles 290

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

new appliance standards and CAFE) and changes in the way energy is used in the US economy. quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. million, or less than one-half the 2.9

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Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 20, 2011

World oil prices remain high in the IEO2011 Reference case, but oil consumption continues to grow; both conventional and unconventional liquid supplies are used to meet rising demand. In the IEO2011 Reference case the price of light sweet crude oil (in real 2009 dollars) remains high, reaching $125 per barrel in 2035.

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Oil-Sands Oil 2008 Oil Prices 220

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

I believe we are on the cusp of the next great tectonic shift in our economy, one that will transform the way we use energy both in our homes and on the road. The Inforum LIFT model is a detailed economic forecasting model, which captures, among other things, the effects of purchases and sales between industries. Global Demand for Oil.

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Grid Vehicles 2008 Oil 186

Green Car Congress

APRIL 7, 2010

EIA projects that world oil consumption will grow by 1.5 million bbl/d in 2011, similar to the forecast of last month. This growth is the result of an expected recovery in the global economy, with world gross domestic product (GDP, on an oil-weighted basis) assumed to rise by more than 3 percent per year.

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2008 2010 Emissions Fuel 186

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

The underlying assumption is that the world will immediately use whatever oil can be pumped from the ground, and that supply is independent of demand—that is, oil exploration investments bear no relation to the current oil price or expectations of future demand. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

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Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation 207

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 27, 2011

Technically feasible levels of energy efficiency and decarbonized energy supply alone will not be sufficient to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 2050, according to a detailed modeling of the California economy performed by a team from Energy and Environmental Economics, the Monterey. Subsequent work has. 875 Mt CO 2 e.

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Climate California Fuel Gas-Electric 262

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

The outlook reflects increased use of LNG in markets outside of North America, strong domestic natural gas production, reduced pipeline imports and increased pipeline exports, and relatively low natural gas prices in the United States compared to other global markets. Use of renewable fuels and natural gas for electric power generation rises.

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Oil 2005 Production 2010 210

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Placing fuels in a market-based system (MBM) will also lead to GHG abatement becoming an economy-wide rather than a sectorial issue based on the lowest cost to society. For the model, the team derived a likely powertrain mix for different vehicle groups until 2030.

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Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 15, 2012

The world is too uncertain and too complex to rely on linear forecasts; therefore, business leaders and policy makers should prepare for the unexpected. Businesses may be vulnerable to water shortages, declines in water quality, water price volatility, and to reputational challenges. billion by 2032.

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Climate Change Water Climate Global 310

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

The cost of fossil-fuel subsidies has been driven up by higher oil prices; they remain most prevalent in the Middle East and North Africa, where momentum towards their reform appears to have been lost. Oil demand reaches 99.7 — WEO-2012. mb/d in 2035, up from 87.4 Renewables.

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Global 2012 Energy Oil 225

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 10, 2014

Liquid fuels production (OPEC crude and lease condensate, non-OPEC crude and lease condensate, and other) and consumption (by OECD and non-OECD regions) under three price cases in 2040. per year, as the mature economies react to sustained high fuel prices. Dashed red line shows 2010 consumption of 87 MMbbl/d. Source: EIA.

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Asia Transportation Oil-Sands Oil Prices 341

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

The total cost of ownership includes the vehicle price, annual fuel and maintenance costs and insurance. AECOM developed an economic model to assess viability and a vehicle choice model to forecast take-up of different engine configurations. Future costs have been discounted at 7%. Source: AECOM. Click to enlarge.

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Australia Market Plug-in Plug 199

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 18, 2015

The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by US producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues. Click to enlarge.

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Oil Oil-Sands Oil Prices 2015 150

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., Automakers could ramp up PEV production if consumer demand proves to be larger than expected.

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Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

High oil prices, persistent differences in gas and electricity prices between regions and rising energy import bills in many countries focus attention on the relationship between energy and the broader economy. However, this does not imply a new era of oil abundance, the report cautions. —WEO-2013.

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Oil 2013 Energy Emissions 275

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 13, 2015

In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market’s swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices. Prices rebounded to $60 for a few months, before falling once again below $50.

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Saudi Arabia Oil Iraq Iran 150