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EIA expects significant increases in US wholesale electricity prices this summer

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that prices in US wholesale electricity markets this summer will significantly increase over last summer’s prices. EIA forecasts summer electricity prices will average $98/MWh in California’s CAISO market and $90/MWh in the ERCOT market in Texas.

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EIA forecasts US fossil fuel production to reach new highs in 2023

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After declining in 2020, the combined production of US fossil fuels (including natural gas, crude oil, and coal) increased by 2% in 2021 to 77.14 Of the total US fossil fuel production in 2021, dry natural gas accounted for 46%, the largest share. In 2020, US coal production had fallen to its lowest level since 1964.

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EIA expects increased US crude oil production, with continued high petroleum prices in 2022

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Despite the increases in production, EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to remain above $100 per barrel this year, according to the agency’s May 2022 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). EIA also published its annual Summer Electricity Industry Outlook , which forecasts that continued US economic growth will increase electricity use by 0.4%

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Rhodium Group estimates US GHG fell 2.1% in 2019, driven by coal decline

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The Rhodium Group, an independent research provider, estimates that, after a sharp uptick in 2018, US greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fell by 2.1% This decline was due almost entirely to a drop in coal consumption. Coal-fired power generation fell by a record 18% year-on-year to its lowest level since 1975. Coal-driven decline.

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EIA expects continued high prices for diesel and home heating oils

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The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that low inventories of distillate fuels, which are primarily consumed as diesel fuel and heating oil, will lead to high prices through early 2023. We expect notable decreases in electricity generation from natural gas and coal next year.

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IEA: global CO2 emissions rebounded to their highest level in history in 2021; largely driven by China

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billion tonnes, their highest ever level, as the world economy rebounded strongly from the COVID-19 crisis and relied heavily on coal to power that growth, according to new IEA analysis. Coal accounted for over 40% of the overall growth in global CO 2 emissions in 2021, reaching an all-time high of 15.3 billion tonnes. billion tonnes.

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EIA: US electricity generation from coal and natural gas both increased with summer heat

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In August 2012, coal produced 39% of US electricity, up from a low of 32% in April 2012, when the natural gas share of generation equaled that of coal. The August coal share of generation is still notably lower than the 50% annual average over the 1990-2010 period. Data for 2011 and 2012 are preliminary.

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