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EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

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According to the IEO2021 Reference case, which projects future energy trends based on current laws and regulations, renewable energy consumption has the strongest growth among energy sources through 2050. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies.

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Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

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A new study by consultancy Roland Berger defines an integrated roadmap for European road transport decarbonization to 2030 and beyond; the current regulatory framework for vehicle emissions, carbon intensity of fuels and use of renewable fuels covers only up to 2020/2021. BEVs fueled with low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Reductions in battery electric vehicles are offset by increased sales of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which grow to about 1.3 million, or less than one-half the 2.9

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Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

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None of the subsidy programs that ended at the end of 2012 were renewed. Extracting oil by fracking could stabilize the oil price over the next few years. Battery safety a key area of technology. Batteries Electric (Battery) Forecasts Infrastructure Plug-ins'

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DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

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While LNG is expected to be an early success, the picture becomes more diversified over time, as more than 20% of shipping could adopt hybrid propulsion solutions featuring batteries or other energy storage technologies, according to the paper. Ship electrification and renewables.

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BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

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Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost. Electric vehicles (EVs) will become economically attractive for lead market segments by 2020, but broader adoption will require major declines in battery costs. Click to enlarge.

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