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EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

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LDV energy consumption declines in AEO2014 Reference case from 16.0 quadrillion Btu in 2040 in the AEO2013 Reference case. The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. Source: EIA.

Oil 290
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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. Tcf in the High Oil and Gas Resource case.

2020 150
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$10-Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC

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OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion.

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Biofuels Power to build small-scale gas-to-liquids plant in Houston

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to build a small-scale gas-to-liquid demonstration facility in Houston. The parties have established a non-binding target date to complete installation and commissioning of the GTL Pilot Plant on or before 31 December 2014. BFLS originally intended to develop biofuel-fired power projects. The company is switching its focus to GTL.

Houston 247
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EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

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Natural gas is the fastest-growing fossil fuel, as global supplies of tight gas, shale gas, and coalbed methane increase. The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $112 per barrel in 2012, and EIA’s July 2013 Short-Term Energy Outlook projects averages of $105 per barrel in 2013 and $100 per barrel in 2014.

2010 317
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U of I study: synthetic fuels via CO2 conversion and FT not currently economically & environmentally competitive

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However, they noted, that with the right combination of high FT fuel yield and low electricity and hydrogen price, the synthetic fuel system could produce fuels at a cost range similar to the reference year 2014 petroleum-based fuel prices. —Li et al. Stubbins, and Paul J. 6b00665.

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Study concludes abundant shale gas is neither climate hero nor villain; need for targeted GHG reduction policy

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While natural gas can reduce greenhouse emissions when it is substituted for higher-emission energy sources, abundant shale gas is not likely to substantially alter total emissions without policies targeted at greenhouse gas reduction, according to a new study by two researchers at Duke University. —Newell and Raimi.

Climate 199