Hybrid, Oil Prices, PHEV and Plug

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 2, 2015

The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales. Source: Lux Research.

Plug-in

Plug-in Oil Cheap Plug

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 29, 2014

The City of Indianapolis will upgrade 425 non-police-pursuit sedans in its muncipal fleet to plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles by early 2016, cut the size of the fleet by 100 vehicles, and save $8.7 million over ten years. The Indy fleet would be the largest municipal fleet of electrified vehicles in the US.

Indianapolis

Indianapolis 2016 Fleet PHEV

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2017

The forecasters said that while plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales will play a role in EV adoption from now to 2025, puer battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) will subsequently take over and account for the vast majority of EV sales.

PHEV

PHEV Sale Lithium Ion Cars

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

NRC projections of number of PHEVs in the US light-duty fleet. Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Click to enlarge.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 21, 2015

vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6 These include the dive in oil prices that began in mid-2014, as well as the phasing out of some local government purchase incentives. million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0

Light

Light Sale Global Oil Prices

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

For the report, Forecast Uptake and Economic Evaluation of Electric Vehicles in Victoria , AECOM modelled the likely penetration of electric vehicles (including hybrid vehicles, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and. vehicle types (ICEs, EVs, PHEVs and HEVs). range and higher fuel prices make EVs more competitive.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. Reductions in battery electric vehicles are offset by increased sales of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which grow to about 1.3 Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. Overall findings. Biomass and biofuels growth is slower.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 14, 2009

Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Questions for the industry, Kurani said, include how do we get from where households currently are to where PHEVs provide the most benefit?

PHEV

PHEV Fuel Economy San Diego Climate Change

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. Plug-in America’s #PIA100K. Introduction of the latest generation of highway-capable plug-in vehicles began just over two years ago. Source: Roland Berger.

South Korea

South Korea Sale France Plug-in

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Even until 2030 many alternative powertrain technologies such as PHEV, BEV and FCV lack relative cost competitiveness—but are important cornerstones in vehicle manufacturers’ CO 2 emission compliance strategies. PHEVs fueled with advanced biofuels and low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Toyota Plug In

Plug In Partners

JUNE 11, 2008

T oyota President Katsuaki Watanabe made his company's intentions clear yesterday about PHEVs. Here's the story from the LA Times: Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle in U.S., Here's the story from the LA Times: Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle in U.S., Event Summary Oil prices are at record highs.

Plug-in

Plug-in Toyota Plug Nickel Metal Hydride

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 9, 2010

The recall of Toyota’s Prius is causing some observers to question whether the prospects for the entire hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) and electric vehicle (EV) markets are fundamentally hurt. OEMs see the strategic need to develop and offer HEV, PHEV and EV vehicles—above and beyond simply complying with regulations. Earlier post.].

Prius

Prius Toyota PHEV Hybrid

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009. By 2015, he suggests, full hybrids (e.g.,

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

A new study sponsored by Indiana University concludes that President Obama’s vision of one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on US roads by 2015 will require concentrated efforts action from all stakeholders— the auto industry, federal government, the scientific community, and consumers—to be realized. BEVs vs. PHEVS.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

Two key drivers of EV adoption include climate concerns and oil prices. In contrast, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) will be the largest category in Japan, which is expected to be the region’s second-largest market for all PEVs. Tags: China Electric (Battery) Forecasts Japan Other Asia Plug-ins.

Asia

Asia 2015 China Sale

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Electrification and the technologies that are needed for the scale-up of plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) and to enable the opportunities that PHEVs could bring in optimizing generation and transportation resources. The game changer.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 21, 2009

million), including hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and hydraulic hybrids. Lithium ion batteries also have dual-use applications in the commercial automotive industry for hybrid electric vehicles. Advanced batteries are also recognized as a critical component of developing military hybrid vehicles. $8

Michigan

Michigan Lithium Ion Energy Hybrid

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

An AECOM-led study of plug-in electric vehicle economics for the New South Wales, Australia government concluded that electric vehicles are economically and financially viable in the NSW market today. The move towards a plug-in electric vehicle market also generates large savings in greenhouse gas and air pollution emissions.

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility. Vehicle technologies.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Electrification is the next greatest opportunity to dramatically reduce or eliminate oil consumption in the light-duty vehicle fleet. DOE’s investment strategy does not preclude the market from selecting mild or strong hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery-electric, or even fuel cell vehicles as the end point for electrification.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

Compare GHG emissions and costs of PHEV and BPEV with those of regular cars. Focus, Renault Megane, Toyota Corolla and Opel Astra—in their analysis, and compared EV configurations to a regular gasoline car, diesel car, parallel hybrid car and series HEV (SHEV). They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

They own the hybrid market and are doing quite well, thank you, so why adopt a whole new technology that’s untried on a large scale? Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. – BMW AG’s Mini brand is testing a plug-in model in the United States.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

High-Speed Rail Unlocks Intermodal Potential Texas Excess Ford Expands Hybrid Success to Electric Vehicles ► March (17) Carbon Capture and Storage: To Be or Not To Be? In the future, utilities will pay you to plug-in your vehicle. The World's First Clean Motocross Race On Electric.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Toyota Plug In

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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