Electric Vehicles, Oil Prices, PHEV and Plug

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 2, 2015

The current plunge in oil prices will likely negatively affect plug-in and hybrid vehicle sales in the short term; automakers such as BMW are already warning of lower sales of plug-in vehicles given the market context. Anticipated price of oil and forecast plug-in sales.

Plug-in

Plug-in Oil Cheap Plug

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

JULY 6, 2017

Electric vehicles will make up the majority of new car sales worldwide by 2040, and account for 33% of all the light-duty vehicles on the road, according to a new forecast published by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). BNEF suggested that only in Japan will PHEVs continue to play an important role after 2030.

PHEV

PHEV Sale Lithium Ion Cars

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 29, 2014

The City of Indianapolis will upgrade 425 non-police-pursuit sedans in its muncipal fleet to plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles by early 2016, cut the size of the fleet by 100 vehicles, and save $8.7 The Indy fleet would be the largest municipal fleet of electrified vehicles in the US.

Indianapolis

Indianapolis 2016 Fleet PHEV

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

Modelled vehicle sales per year in Scenario 3. According to a recently published report commissioned by the Victoria (Australia) Department of Transport from AECOM, electric vehicle (EV) technology offers the state of Victoria potentially significant economic benefits by the late 2020s. Source: AECOM. Click to enlarge.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 21, 2015

In a new report, Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts , Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (i.e., vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6

Light

Light Sale Global Oil Prices

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

NRC projections of number of PHEVs in the US light-duty fleet. Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC).

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. Forecasts for vehicle sales in China, the US and Japan have been corrected downward. Plug-in America’s #PIA100K. Source: Roland Berger. Click to enlarge.

South Korea

South Korea Sale France Plug-in

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 14, 2009

Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Questions for the industry, Kurani said, include how do we get from where households currently are to where PHEVs provide the most benefit?

PHEV

PHEV Fuel Economy San Diego Climate Change

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. Projected sales of alternative-fuel vehicles in the AEO2013 Reference case are lower than in AEO2012, with the majority of the reduction reflected in sales of flex-fuel vehicles (FFVs), which in 2035 are about 1.3 Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

A new study sponsored by Indiana University concludes that President Obama’s vision of one million plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on US roads by 2015 will require concentrated efforts action from all stakeholders— the auto industry, federal government, the scientific community, and consumers—to be realized.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Toyota Plug In

Plug In Partners

JUNE 11, 2008

T oyota President Katsuaki Watanabe made his company's intentions clear yesterday about PHEVs. Here's the story from the LA Times: Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle in U.S., Here's the story from the LA Times: Toyota promises plug-in hybrid vehicle in U.S., Event Summary Oil prices are at record highs.

Plug-in

Plug-in Toyota Plug Nickel Metal Hydride

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

According to a new report from Pike Research, the various national-level initiatives and programs to promote the awareness of electric vehicles (EVs) in the Asia-Pacific region will help make the region the largest market worldwide for electrified vehicles, led by strong demand in China, Japan, and Korea. Click to enlarge.

Asia

Asia 2015 China Sale

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 9, 2010

The recall of Toyota’s Prius is causing some observers to question whether the prospects for the entire hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) and electric vehicle (EV) markets are fundamentally hurt. OEMs see the strategic need to develop and offer HEV, PHEV and EV vehicles—above and beyond simply complying with regulations.

Prius

Prius Toyota PHEV Hybrid

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Even until 2030 many alternative powertrain technologies such as PHEV, BEV and FCV lack relative cost competitiveness—but are important cornerstones in vehicle manufacturers’ CO 2 emission compliance strategies. PHEVs fueled with advanced biofuels and low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

An AECOM-led study of plug-in electric vehicle economics for the New South Wales, Australia government concluded that electric vehicles are economically and financially viable in the NSW market today. Economic Viability of Electric Vehicles”. Click to enlarge. minutes per 40 km).

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Electrification and the technologies that are needed for the scale-up of plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) and to enable the opportunities that PHEVs could bring in optimizing generation and transportation resources. Vehicle-to-grid (V2G).

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility. Vehicle technologies. The analogous progression for CO 2 emissions is less clear.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

As one example of factors contributing to that decision, a survey of projected oil prices returned values between $30 and $250 a barrel, he said.). Dividing that forecast in to application segments—micro-, mild-, full-, and plug-in hybrids; mini-electric (e.g., PHEVs and EREVs require $7/gallon.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 21, 2009

million), including hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and hydraulic hybrids. Lithium ion batteries also have dual-use applications in the commercial automotive industry for hybrid electric vehicles. Interest in biofuels is driven by high oil prices, environmental concerns, as well as national security concerns.

Michigan

Michigan Lithium Ion Energy Hybrid

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Electrification is the next greatest opportunity to dramatically reduce or eliminate oil consumption in the light-duty vehicle fleet. DOE’s investment strategy does not preclude the market from selecting mild or strong hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery-electric, or even fuel cell vehicles as the end point for electrification.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

The study, in press in the Journal of Power Sources , examines the efficiency and costs of current and future EVs, as well as their impact on electricity demand and infrastructure for generation and distribution, and thereby on GHG emissions. Compare GHG emissions and costs of PHEV and BPEV with those of regular cars. The team assumed.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. Of course, we need millions of plug-in hybrids, too, so more power to everyone contributing to that market. It’s interesting to speculate regarding the relative market share of the EV in relation to the PHEV.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

The World's First Clean Motocross Race On Electric. High-Speed Rail Unlocks Intermodal Potential Texas Excess Ford Expands Hybrid Success to Electric Vehicles ► March (17) Carbon Capture and Storage: To Be or Not To Be? In the future, utilities will pay you to plug-in your vehicle.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

Lux Research: despite cheap oil, niche plug-in vehicle sales will be resilient; conventional hybrids to be hardest hit

BNEF forecasts EVs to hit 54% of new car sales by 2040; decreasing importance of PHEVs

Indianapolis plans to add 425 PHEVs and BEVs to municipal fleet by 2016

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Roland Berger E-Mobility Index finds government subsidies for and projected sales of xEVs declining worldwide

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Toyota Plug In

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Michigan Energy and Advanced Automotive Research Lined Up for $99.5M in Funding from FY2010 Defense Appropriations Bill

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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