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Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

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Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oil prices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “ million of them—roughly 30% more units than conventional electric vehicle makers did.

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IEA forecasts global oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023; non-OECD countries lead expansion

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The IEA June 2022 Oil Market Report (OMR) forecasts world oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023, according to the forecast. While diesel cracks eased month-on-month in May, both jet fuel and gasoline cracks surged as demand picked up seasonally. mb/d this year, world oil demand is forecast to expand by 2.2 mb/d to 101.6

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Frost & Sullivan forecasts electric powertrain production market share in China to reach 4.2% by 2020

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Frost & Sullivan forecasts that with the Chinese Government’s push and pull strategy of new energy vehicle development, gasoline powertrains’ unit production market share is expected to slightly reduce to 94.9%, while the electric vehicle (EV) powertrain segment’s share will expand to 4.2% by 2020, up from 0.1%

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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Key developments in the transportation sector that they note include: Positive for gasoline demand: Strong Chinese car growth in 2010, particularly in the first half of the year, with vehicle sales up 30% year-on-year (YoY) through the first eleven months of 2010. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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China to expand production and use of ethanol; 2020 E10 mandate would make China 3rd largest ethanol consumer

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Years of government support for corn farmers—paying Chinese corn producers more than twice the international price level until 2016—have left China with a substantial stockpile. To help make use of the excess stock, China in September 2017 announced a plan for nationwide use of E10 gasoline by 2020, up from 11 trial provinces.

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Volvo Cars aiming for 50% of sales to be fully electric by 2025

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The Chinese government plans to have new-energy vehicles account for more than 20% of the country’s annual car sales by 2025—equating to more than seven million vehicles, based on Chinese government forecasts. Last year we made a commitment to electrification in preparation for an era beyond the internal combustion engine.

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Since 2018, Bosch has won electromobility orders amounting to ~€13 billion

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Bosch is aiming to achieve a leading position in the market with its 48-volt battery, and recently concluded a long-term cooperation agreement with the Chinese company Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. For this reason, Bosch is working to improve the efficiency of both gasoline and diesel engines. Earlier post.).

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