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Report suggests low-speed electric vehicles could affect Chinese demand for gasoline and disrupt oil prices worldwide

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Low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) could reduce China’s demand for gasoline and, in turn, impact global oil prices, according to a new issue brief by an expert in the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “

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IEA forecasts global oil demand to reach 101.6 mb/d in 2023; non-OECD countries lead expansion

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The IEA June 2022 Oil Market Report (OMR) forecasts world oil demand to reach 101.6 While higher prices and a weaker economic outlook are moderating consumption increases, a resurgent China will drive gains next year, with growth accelerating from 1.8 mb/d in 2023, according to the forecast. mb/d in 2022 to 2.2

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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

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” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. In DB’s Fall 2009 note, they had forecast 12% growth.

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VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

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The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. Experts, consultants and politicians tumble over one another with forecasts. Saying that “ electric alone is not enough ” Winterkorn said that for the next 15-20 years in Europe, diesel and gasoline engines will dominate.

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