Alternative Fuels, Forecast, Fuel Economy and Light

Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

Green Car Congress

JULY 28, 2014

In a new report ( Transportation Forecast: Global Fuel Consumption ), Navigant Research forecasts total road transportation energy consumption will grow from 81.1 Approximately 84% of that will be provided by conventional fuels. Annual road transportation sector energy consumption by fuel type, world markets: 2015-2035.

Transportation

Transportation Global Fuel Alternative Fuels

Navigant Research forecasts plug-ins will be 2.4% of global new vehicle sales by 2023; luxury brands to represent about 50% of that

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 23, 2014

Navigant Research forecasts that plug-in EVs (which include plug-in hybrids and battery EVs), will represent 2.4% of total worldwide light-duty vehicle sales by 2023, or about 2.5 Furthermore, the market for vehicles that reduce fuel consumption is becoming more competitive due to other fuel efficient and alternative fuel technologies.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug Global Sale

Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

Green Car Congress

JULY 7, 2014

The number of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs) in use worldwide will nearly double between 2014 and 2035, according to a new forecast report by Navigant Research. Navigant projects that annual MHDV sales will grow throughout the forecast period at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.4%. of the market in 2014 to 11.2%

Market

Market Alternative Fuels Engine Gas-Electric

NPC report to Energy Secretary finds light-, medium- and heavy-duty vehicles could reduce per-mile GHG at least 40% by 2050; additional strategies required for further reductions

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 2, 2012

Projected range of impact of demand, fuel efficiency improvements, and alternative fuel-vehicle systems on light-duty fleet GHG emissions. On a stand-alone basis, all light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles have the potential to reduce per-mile GHG emissions by at least 40% in 2050, relative to 2005 average fleet levels.

Light

Light Miles Energy Lithium Ion

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

For the Transportation sector, EIA projects that energy consumption will decline between 2019 and 2037 (in the Reference case) because increases in fuel economy more than offset growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT). Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9

Transportation

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles. quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0 million, or less than one-half the 2.9

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

We consider three indicative scenarios that vary the rate of technological improvement and changes in fuel economy regulations. The Efficiency Policy scenario takes account of recent adopted or proposed fuel economy goals. particular, the speed of transition to alternative liquids is of key importance.

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 19, 2011

Fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles. Alternative fuels from biomass. Year 2030 cost range for major vehicle subsystems: batteries for PHEVs and BEVs: $125, $220 and $300 per kWh; fuel cell: $25, $30 and $40 per kW; on-board hydrogen storage: $6, $11 and $16 per kWh. Hybrid electric vehicles. Battery electric vehicles.

Cost Of

Cost Of Future Fuel Economy Vehicles

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

Fuel economy standards and changing driver behavior keep motor gasoline consumption below recent levels through 2040 in the Reference case. quadrillion Btu—as a result of increases in demand for personal travel and movement of goods that outstripped gains in fuel efficiency. quadrillion Btu (13.8 million bbl/d) in 2013 to 26.4

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Projected rates of fuel consumption improvement under different scenarios relative to past experience and the 2016 and 2025 CAFE standards. In addition, alternative fuels to petroleum must be readily available, cost-effective and produced with low emissions of greenhouse gases. Source: NRC. Click to enlarge.

Hydrogen

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy

Study finds plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to modest increases in refinery CO2 emissions

Green Car Congress

MARCH 17, 2012

It does not include energy used in the production and transport of biofuels; energy used in the production and supply of purchased blendstocks; electricity used in non-process or off-site activities (such as oil movements, product blending, lighting, etc.), MM Bbl/day (51%) were light and medium crudes and 2.5

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions CO2

Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2011

Given the median biofuels forecast of 13 billion gallons of gasoline equivalent (GGE) in 2050, it is necessary to place a high priority on electrification of the transportation sector, if large reductions are to be attained by 2050. —Yang et al. Realistic case for PEVs. passenger cars and trucks) by 2050.

2005

2005 Transportation California Energy

Is A Tax On Electricity (kWh) Consumed The Best Way to Supplement the Fuel Tax for Electric Vehicles?

EV Adoption

JULY 4, 2022

And light trucks saw MPG increase 8 miles (38.8%) to 28.6 Not so coincidentally, the US government’s Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, had almost the exact same increases during this period. In the 20 year period of 1997-2017, the average miles per gallon (MPG) of new passenger cars increased to 39.4

Fuel Tax

Fuel Tax Tax Electric Vehicles Fuel

MIT study: higher octane standard fuel in US could lower fleet fuel consumption & GHG an extra 4.5-6% by 2040

Green Car Congress

APRIL 24, 2014

Ultimately, multiple complementary pathways focused on reducing US LDV flet fuel consumption will be needed to meet the increasingly more stringent fuel economy regulations. 2014) “Benefits of a Higher Octane Standard Gasoline for the US Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet,” SAE Technical Paper 2014-01-1961 doi: 10.4271/2014-01-1961.

MIT

MIT Fleet Fuel Standards

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

The outlook for oil demand differs sharply between the three scenarios, primarily as a result of the different assumptions about government policies, such as fuel efficiency standards, removal of end-user subsidies and support for alternative fuels, and the extent to which they succeed in curbing oil demand.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 19, 2010

billion worldwide—by 2050, this may not be achievable through improvements to the traditional internal combustion engine or alternative fuels: the traditional combustion engine is expected to improve by 30%, so achieving full decarbonisation is not possible through efficiency alone. Resources.

Plug-in

Plug-in PHEV Transportation Plug

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

Green Car Congress

MARCH 16, 2016

According to the report, “On the Road Toward 2050: Potential for Substantial Reductions in Light-Duty Vehicle Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions,” each element is separately important, but must collectively be pursued aggressively to achieve necessary emissions reductions.

MIT

MIT Transportation Climate Energy

EV Driven

Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

Navigant Research forecasts plug-ins will be 2.4% of global new vehicle sales by 2023; luxury brands to represent about 50% of that

Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

NPC report to Energy Secretary finds light-, medium- and heavy-duty vehicles could reduce per-mile GHG at least 40% by 2050; additional strategies required for further reductions

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Study finds plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to modest increases in refinery CO2 emissions

Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

Is A Tax On Electricity (kWh) Consumed The Best Way to Supplement the Fuel Tax for Electric Vehicles?

MIT study: higher octane standard fuel in US could lower fleet fuel consumption & GHG an extra 4.5-6% by 2040

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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