Coal, Oil Prices, Powered and Renewable

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

Rhodium Group estimates US GHG emissions rose 1.3% in 2022

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 11, 2023

Despite efforts to continue stimulating the US economy in the wake of the pandemic, high inflation put a damper on economic growth, which was exacerbated by a spike in oil prices as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Outside of the power sector, emissions increased slightly. Consequently, the US economy grew 1.9%

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices 2005 Coal

BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

Green Car Congress

JUNE 13, 2012

Oil demand grew by less than 1%—the slowest rate amongst fossil fuels—while gas grew by 2.2%, and coal was the only fossil fuel with above average annual consumption growth at 5.4% Fossil fuels still dominated energy consumption with 87% market share, while renewables rose fastest but are still only 2% of the global total.

Coal

Coal Oil Renewable Saudi Arabia

EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 7, 2021

According to the IEO2021 Reference case, which projects future energy trends based on current laws and regulations, renewable energy consumption has the strongest growth among energy sources through 2050. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies.

Global

Global Emissions Energy Asia

CSIRO and partners to test Direct Injection Carbon Engine to reduce brown coal emissions by up to 50%

Green Car Congress

APRIL 28, 2014

DICE involves converting coal or biomass into a water-based slurry (called micronised refined carbon, MRC) that is directly injected into a large, specially adapted diesel engine. The fuel burns to produce intense temperature and pressure in the engine, which provides highly efficient power to turn electrical generators.

Coal

Coal Carbon Engine Emissions

IRENA report finds renewable power costs at parity or below fossil fuels in many parts of world

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 17, 2015

The cost of generating power from renewable energy sources has reached parity or dropped below the cost of fossil fuels for many technologies in many parts of the world, according to a new report released by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA). Size of the diameter of the circle represents the size of the project.

Renewable

Renewable Parts Power Powered

EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

Green Car Congress

APRIL 7, 2021

EIA also forecasts the Brent crude oil price will average $64 per barrel this summer, a 78% increase from last summer’s average of $36 per barrel. That price increase paired with an increase in gasoline and diesel demand will likely increase the cost of regular gasoline and diesel fuel this summer. MMBtu in 2020 to $3.31/MMBtu

2019

2019 Fuel Coal 2020

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

Renewable energy and nuclear power are the world’s fastest-growing energy sources, each increasing 2.5% With prices expected to increase in the long term, however, the world oil price in real 2011 dollars reaches $106 per barrel in 2020 and $163 per barrel in 2040, according to IEO2013.

2010

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy

EIA projects world energy use to increase 53% by 2035; oil sands/bitumen and biofuels account for 70% of the increase in unconventional liquid fuels

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 20, 2011

World oil prices remain high in the IEO2011 Reference case, but oil consumption continues to grow; both conventional and unconventional liquid supplies are used to meet rising demand. In the IEO2011 Reference case the price of light sweet crude oil (in real 2009 dollars) remains high, reaching $125 per barrel in 2035.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil 2008 Oil Prices

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

Green Car Congress

JULY 20, 2012

savings stimulated by high oil prices led to a decrease of 3% in CO 2 emissions in the European Union and of 2% in both the United States and Japan. tonnes per capita, despite a decline due to the recession in 2008-2009, high oil prices and an increased share of natural gas. Coal consumption in China increased by 9.7%

2011

2011 Emissions CO2 Global

Annual Increase in Global CO2 Emissions Halved in 2008; Decrease in Fossil Oil Consumption, Increase in Renewables Share

Green Car Congress

JUNE 26, 2009

In addition to high oil prices and the financial crisis, the increased use of new renewable energy sources, such as biofuels for road transport and wind energy for electricity generation, had a noticeable and mitigating impact on CO 2 emissions. Biofuels and other renewable energy sources start impacting CO 2 trends.

2008

2008 Oil Renewable Emissions

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 11, 2010

Advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power (CSP), and solar photovoltaic power (PV) will see accelerating adoption and growth and are on track to change the global energy mix far earlier than is often assumed, according to a new report from The Boston Consulting Group (BCG). By 2020, CSP could provide power at $0.10

Solar

Solar Boston Consulting Group Power Powered

BP Energy Outlook 2030 sees emerging economies leading energy growth to 2030; global CO2 emissions from energy well above IEA 450 scenario

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 19, 2011

According to the base case forecast, diversification of energy sources increases and non-fossil fuels (nuclear, hydro and renewables) are together expected to be the biggest source of growth for the first time. The region’s total demand for oil and other liquids peaked in 2005 and will be back at roughly the level of 1990 by 2030.

Energy

Energy Economy Global Oil-Sands

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

The $32-Trillion Push To Disrupt The Entire Oil Industry

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 28, 2019

The first signs of a green revolution in the shareholder-investors universe are there, as investors have forced Dutch oil and gas major Shell to officially change its strategy, investing in more renewable energy and energy storage. The latter is partly caused by “global warming constraints” and lower oil prices in general.

Oil

Oil Industrial Industry Financing

Surprise Natural Gas Drawdown Signals Higher Prices Ahead

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 9, 2016

The US electric power sector burned through a record amount of natural gas in recent weeks, a sign of the shifting power generation mix and also a signal that natural gas supplies could get tighter than many analysts had previously expected. But the effects are already showing up in the power generation mix.

Gas

Gas Price Gas-Electric Oil

IEA: global map of oil refining and trade to be redrawn over next 5 years

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 12, 2012

The MTOMR is the last in a series of medium-term forecasts that the IEA devotes to each of the four main primary energy sources: oil, gas, coal and renewable energy. But it also highlights elevated supply and demand risks.

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Global Oil Prices

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

Among the more detailed transportation projections in AEO2014 are: LDVs powered by gasoline remain the dominant vehicle type in the AEO2014 Reference case, retaining a 78% share of new LDV sales in 2040, down from their 82% share in 2012. Natural gas overtakes coal as the largest fuel for US electricity generation. Tcf in 2012 to 3.1

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

EIA 2035 reference case projects drop in US imports of petroleum due to modest economic growth, increased efficiency, growing domestic oil production, and biofuels

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

The outlook reflects increased use of LNG in markets outside of North America, strong domestic natural gas production, reduced pipeline imports and increased pipeline exports, and relatively low natural gas prices in the United States compared to other global markets. Use of renewable fuels and natural gas for electric power generation rises.

Oil

Oil 2005 Production 2010

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

barely rises in OECD countries, although there is a pronounced shift away from oil, coal (and, in some countries, nuclear) towards natural gas and renewables. by subsidies that amounted to $523 billion in 2011, up almost 30% on 2010 and six times more than subsidies to renewables. Renewables. Energy demand.

Global

Global 2012 Energy Oil

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Our Reference case projection shows the growing importance of natural gas from domestic shale gas resources in meeting US energy demand and lowering natural gas prices. Energy efficiency improvements and the increased use of renewables are other key factors that moderate the projected growth in energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Sales of battery-powered electric vehicles are 65% lower in the AEO2013 Reference case than the year before, with annual sales in 2035 estimated to be about 119,000. Renewable fuel use grows at a much faster rate than fossil fuel use. The share of electricity generation from renewables grows to 16% in 2040 from 13% in 2011.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

power plants and refineries) and in turn to the transportation, residential, industrial, and commercial end-use sectors. The team explored other scenarios including different levels of CO 2 and CH 4 fees applied to the BAU and OPT scenarios; different levels of LDV demand; and different oil prices.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

Green Car Congress

MAY 27, 2009

World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. As the world’s economies recover, higher world oil prices are assumed to return and to persist through 2030. In the IEO2009 reference case, world oil prices rise to $110 per barrel in 2015 (in real 2007 dollars) and $130 per barrel in 2030.

2006

2006 Emissions Energy Oil-Sands

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Green Car Congress

MAY 11, 2010

TGC produces hydrogen along with synthetic natural gas and delivers it in its utility gas stream, with more than 5% hydrogen content today; it has the capability of producing more H 2 through its renewable biogas initiative. Fuel prices are among the highest in the US. More importantly, Hawaii is the canary in the coal mine.

Hawaii

Hawaii Hydrogen GM Gas

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

The underlying assumption is that the world will immediately use whatever oil can be pumped from the ground, and that supply is independent of demand—that is, oil exploration investments bear no relation to the current oil price or expectations of future demand. Historical scenario. (A)

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. Volkswagen is partnering with a number of companies, including Sanyo and Toshiba, on batteries, power electronics and electric machines. Does it ever make sense ecologically to operate a car with power from a coal-fired plant?

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

In their analysis, the authors examined the effect of 5 factors on EDV deployment: crude oil and natural gas prices; a federal CO 2 policy; a federal renewable portfolio standard (RPS); and EDV battery cost. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

China is about to become the largest oil-importing country and India becomes the largest importer of coal by the early 2020s. Low-carbon energy sources (renewables and nuclear) meet around 40% of the growth in primary energy demand. Nearly half of the net increase in electricity generation comes from renewables.

Oil

Oil 2013 Energy Emissions

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Renewables increase from 13% of the mix today to 18% in 2035; the growth in renewables is underpinned by subsidies that rise from $64 billion in 2010 to $250 billion in 2035, support that in some cases cannot be taken for granted in an age of increasing fiscal austerity. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Energy

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

The study, in press in the Journal of Power Sources , examines the efficiency and costs of current and future EVs, as well as their impact on electricity demand and infrastructure for generation and distribution, and thereby on GHG emissions. They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. This cost gap.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging Gasoline-Electric PHEV

RAND study concludes use of alternative fuels by US military would convey no direct military benefit; recommends energy efficiency instead

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 25, 2011

If the US military increases its use of alternative jet and naval fuels that can be produced from coal or various renewable resources, including seed oils, waste oils and algae, there will be no direct benefit to the nation’s armed forces, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

Alternative Fuels

Alternative Fuels Fuel Energy Coal

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Revenge of the Electric Car

DECEMBER 3, 2008

This 30 MW represents around 20% of the island’s demand for power. The rest of Hawaii’s electricity is generated by burning oil. Yes, tankers of dirty, expensive oil are brought in and boatloads of money are shipped back to the oil companies. Hawaii's 30 MW geothermal power plant.

Hawaii

Hawaii Renewable Energy San Francisco

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Renewables That Even Coal-Based Utilities Can Love. Several early models of passenger vehicles have enough energy stored in advanced batteries to power several homes for hours. Hybrid electric buses and heavy trucks could power many homes or a school or a hospital in an emergency.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

Buffett's Chinese electric car company

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

BYD’s conventional gas-powered cars are selling well these days in China, and his electric plug-in electric model looks like it will come to market with a longer range and a lower sticker price than the new Toyota Prius much-hyped Chevy Volt. I’m going to blog about Sokol later this week—he is a big believer in renewable energy.)

Chinese

Chinese Companies Electric Cars BYD

EV Driven

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Rhodium Group estimates US GHG emissions rose 1.3% in 2022

BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

CSIRO and partners to test Direct Injection Carbon Engine to reduce brown coal emissions by up to 50%

IRENA report finds renewable power costs at parity or below fossil fuels in many parts of world

EIA expects US motor fuel consumption to increase this summer, but remain below 2019 levels

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

EIA projects world energy use to increase 53% by 2035; oil sands/bitumen and biofuels account for 70% of the increase in unconventional liquid fuels

Global CO2 emissions up 3% in 2011; per capita CO2 emissions in China reach EU levels

Annual Increase in Global CO2 Emissions Halved in 2008; Decrease in Fossil Oil Consumption, Increase in Renewables Share

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

BP Energy Outlook 2030 sees emerging economies leading energy growth to 2030; global CO2 emissions from energy well above IEA 450 scenario

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

The $32-Trillion Push To Disrupt The Entire Oil Industry

Surprise Natural Gas Drawdown Signals Higher Prices Ahead

IEA: global map of oil refining and trade to be redrawn over next 5 years

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

EIA 2035 reference case projects drop in US imports of petroleum due to modest economic growth, increased efficiency, growing domestic oil production, and biofuels

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

GM and Hawaii Gas Company to Collaborate on Hydrogen Infrastructure Pilot; Different Approach to Provisioning Fueling Stations

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

RAND study concludes use of alternative fuels by US military would convey no direct military benefit; recommends energy efficiency instead

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Buffett's Chinese electric car company

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