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The Next Oil Price Spike May Cripple The Industry

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Two diametrically opposed views dominate the current debate about where the oil price is heading. On the other hand, however, there is the view that the price of oil is set to explode, primarily due to underinvestment in the upkeep of brownfields , development of greenfields , and exploration for new resources.

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EIA: US Permian Basin oil production and resource assessments continue to increase

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Crude oil production in the US Permian Basin is expected to increase to an estimated 2.4 Between January 2016 and March 2017, oil production in the Permian Basin increased in all but three months, even as domestic crude oil prices fell. million b/d) in that month. billion barrels of hydrocarbon gas liquids.

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IEA: Global oil discoveries and new projects fell to historic lows in 2016 while US shale surged; “two-speed” market

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Global oil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4

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EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

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The report estimates consumption to have been more than 500,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2016. China has abundant coal resources, and for more than a decade the country has increased its capacity to manufacture methanol using coal as a feedstock. Consumption of MTBE and other derivatives in China was estimated at 230,000 b/d in 2016.

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GlobalData: best performing wells in Permian break-even at as low as US$22 per barrel

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Well lateral lengths in the Permian have increased in average by more than 1,500 feet (ft) since 2016 to approximately 7,500 ft by the end of 2017, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company. For instance, QEP Resources has an average lateral length of around 7,200 ft, but an IP rate of around 730 boed.

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US Shale Is Now Cash Flow Neutral

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Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production. The IEA says that in the third quarter of 2016, the US shale industry became cash flow neutral for the first time ever. Even when US oil production hit a peak at 9.7 by Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com. That isn’t a typo.

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Huge Backlog Could Trigger New Wave Of Shale Oil

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That figure is also up sharply from the 5,271 from the same month in 2016, a 60 percent increase. The latest crash in oil prices once again raises this prospect. That may lead them to decide to complete wells they already drilled as a way of keeping production aloft while husbanding scarce resources.

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