2010, Coal, Oil Prices and Resource

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

World energy consumption by fuel type, 2010-2040. The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) International Energy Outlook 2013 (IEO2013) projects that world energy consumption will grow by 56% between 2010 and 2040, from 524 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) to 820 quadrillion Btu. Source: IEO2013.

2010

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy

Study finds that dry-feed gasification for coal-to-liquids is more efficient, lower-emitting and cheaper than slurry-feed; CCS cost-effective for reduction of CO2

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 24, 2010

Comparison of coal consumption and CO 2 emissions for co-production and separate production of liquids and power. Conventional CTL plant gasifies coal to produce a syngas which is then converted in a Fischer-Tropsch reactor to products. Even with CCS, the liquid product costs are comparable to recent crude oil prices.

Coal

Coal Oil Prices CO2 Gas-Electric

Syngas Engages Rentech and GE for Clinton Coal and Biomass to Liquids Project in Australia

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 25, 2009

Australia’s Syngas Limited has engaged Rentech to provide Fischer-Tropsch fuels production preliminary engineering services for Syngas’ proposed commercial scale coal and biomass to liquids (CBTL) fuels facility in Southern Australia, known as the Clinton Project. Additionally, the Clinton coal fluidizes well.

Coal

Coal Australia Diesel Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Industrial natural gas demand recovers, reversing recent trend.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

EIA 2035 reference case projects drop in US imports of petroleum due to modest economic growth, increased efficiency, growing domestic oil production, and biofuels

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2012

Net petroleum imports as a share of total US liquid fuels consumed drop from 49% in 2010 to 38% in 2020 and 36% in 2035 in AEO2012. It also assumed implementation of existing regulations that enable the building of new energy infrastructure and resource extraction. million barrels per day in 2010.

Oil

Oil 2005 Production 2010

EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 23, 2017

About two-thirds of China’s methanol feedstock is produced from coal and the remainder from coking gas (a by-product of steel production) and natural gas. China has abundant coal resources, and for more than a decade the country has increased its capacity to manufacture methanol using coal as a feedstock.

2000

2000 2016 Fuel China

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

The team explored other scenarios including different levels of CO 2 and CH 4 fees applied to the BAU and OPT scenarios; different levels of LDV demand; and different oil prices. Electricity generation from natural gas increases over time in both scenarios, whereas generation from existing coal plants declines.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

Researchers Suggest That Although CCS and Other Technologies Could Reduce Oil Sands GHG Emissions to Near Zero, That Strategy May Not Make Sense

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 15, 2010

Debate about the future of oil sands development is so contentious that even the name of the resource is disputed: proponents typically use oil sands while opponents use tar sands. Yet, coal-fired emissions in Alberta receive relatively little attention from environmental organizations and the public.

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil Emissions Coal

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 11, 2010

Base case economics for EVs in North America are very challenging, absent significant disruption in oil price or battery cost. Its growth will be limited to a few regions or countries hat are committed to meeting aggressive carbon-reduction targets but have few other renewable resources. BCG, November 2010).

Solar

Solar Boston Consulting Group Power Powered

KPMG survey finds majority of energy execs see oil over $121/barrel this year; shale expected to have transformative impact, investment in alternatives increasing

Green Car Congress

MAY 12, 2011

The executives also foresee shale oil and gas having a transformative effect on helping to meet the world’s energy needs, according to the results of the 9 th Annual Energy Survey conducted by the KPMG Global Energy Institute. Alternative energy sources. 69% anticipate operating costs will go up over the next 12 months as well.

Oil

Oil Energy Wind 2011

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

The report also finds that by 2035 global energy savings could be equivalent to nearly 20% of global demand in 2010. The WEO finds that the extraordinary growth in oil and natural gas output in the United States will mean a sea-change in global energy flows. Energy demand. — WEO-2012. Renewables.

Global

Global 2012 Energy Oil

IRENA report finds renewable power costs at parity or below fossil fuels in many parts of world

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 17, 2015

The report, “ Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2014 ”, concludes that biomass, hydropower, geothermal and onshore wind are all competitive with or cheaper than coal, oil and gas-fired power stations, even without financial support and despite falling oil prices. Real weighted average cost of capital is 7.5%

Renewable

Renewable Parts Power Powered

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

The MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI) has released a report on the proceedings—and papers that informed those proceedings—of the 8 April 2010 symposium on The Electrification of the Transportation System: Issues and Opportunities. The symposium was sponsored by the MIT Energy Initiative, together with Ormat, Hess, Cummins and Entergy.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 10, 2014

Liquid fuels production (OPEC crude and lease condensate, non-OPEC crude and lease condensate, and other) and consumption (by OECD and non-OECD regions) under three price cases in 2040. Dashed red line shows 2010 consumption of 87 MMbbl/d. oil sands, either diluted or upgraded). oil shale), and refinery gain. Source: EIA.

Asia

Asia Transportation Oil-Sands Oil Prices

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Change in primary oil demand by sector and region in the central New Policies Scenario, 2010-2035. Under the WEO 2011 central scenario, oil demand rises from 87 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2010 to 99 mb/d in 2035, with all the net growth coming from the transport sector in emerging economies. Click to enlarge.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. They used an EV drivetrain with a single 74 kW central motor (CM) that consumes 103±20 Wh/km from 2010 and one with two 29kW wheel motors (WM) that consumes 89±19 Wh/km from 2015. 155 g/km (using electricity from an old coal-based plant). Resources.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

GSI/UNEP conference report finds fossil-fuel subsidy reform complex and challenges sobering; ~1% of global GDP spent on fossil-fuel subsidies

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 23, 2011

Following that announcement, G-20 Leaders agreed to national plans to implement subsidy reform (June 2010) and have asked international organizations to review and assess members’ progress against their commitments (November 2010), according to the conference report. Necessary elements of effective reform strategies.

Fuel

Fuel Global 2008 International

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Renewables That Even Coal-Based Utilities Can Love. The Appraisal 2010 Prius Delivers Record Mileage and Accelerates. Shai Agassi predicts that Israel will have over 100,000 electric vehicles in use by 2010. ► January (13) What Goes Down, Must Go Up? The Three Prongs of the “Green&# Energy Stimulus Pa. SZ (1) 6753.T

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Revenge of the Electric Car

DECEMBER 3, 2008

Clean base load energy is particularly important since that is usually generated by nukes, burning coal or, in the case of Hawaii, oil. As Hawaii taps into more of this clean geothermal energy, they can retire, one by one, their dirty, expensive oil burners. This means it is a “base load&# energy.

Hawaii

Hawaii Renewable Energy San Francisco

EV Driven

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

Study finds that dry-feed gasification for coal-to-liquids is more efficient, lower-emitting and cheaper than slurry-feed; CCS cost-effective for reduction of CO2

Syngas Engages Rentech and GE for Clinton Coal and Biomass to Liquids Project in Australia

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

EIA 2035 reference case projects drop in US imports of petroleum due to modest economic growth, increased efficiency, growing domestic oil production, and biofuels

EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Researchers Suggest That Although CCS and Other Technologies Could Reduce Oil Sands GHG Emissions to Near Zero, That Strategy May Not Make Sense

BCG report finds advanced biofuels, concentrated solar power, and solar photovoltaic tracking to make significant market impact sooner than commonly assumed

KPMG survey finds majority of energy execs see oil over $121/barrel this year; shale expected to have transformative impact, investment in alternatives increasing

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

IRENA report finds renewable power costs at parity or below fossil fuels in many parts of world

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

GSI/UNEP conference report finds fossil-fuel subsidy reform complex and challenges sobering; ~1% of global GDP spent on fossil-fuel subsidies

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Stay Connected