2009, Batteries and Oil Prices

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 1, 2011

DB has lowered its advanced lithium-ion battery cost projection by about 30% for 2012. ” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region.

Transportation

Transportation Gasoline Lithium Ion Gasoline-Electric

Heard At The Show: Snippets from SAE 2009 World Congress

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2009

Major factors contributing to Li-ion battery aging. shared their data on lithium-ion battery aging. Crane also mentioned that one-quarter to one-third of the cost of a battery system is the packaging, integration and electronics. How did the high fuel prices impact customer behavior in 2008? and Continental Corp.

Congress

Congress 2009 Cash For Clunkers Li-ion

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Green Car Congress

JULY 14, 2009

EV penetration with a battery swap model in three scenarios. Becker (2009). In two other scenarios considered, a high oil price scenario (using EIA projections) and a battery swap operator-subsidzied scenario, EV new vehicle sales penetration reaches 85% and 86% respectively by 2030. Becker (2009).

Electric Cars

Electric Cars Batteries Battery Market

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Representative battery pack size is below each segment. In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Green Car Congress

APRIL 10, 2009

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

Oil

Oil Standards Price Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. quadrillion Btu in 2009 to 31.8 quadrillion Btu in 2009 to 18.4

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Green Car Congress

APRIL 9, 2010

The Electrification Coalition (EC) has released a long-term macroeconomic analysis of the policy proposals put forward in its November 2009 Electrification Roadmap ( earlier post ). Global Demand for Oil. World demand for oil would fall, leading to lower world oil prices. Resilience to Future Price Shocks.

Grid

Grid 2008 Vehicles Oil

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

The report, Economic Viability of Electric Vehicles , was originally published in September 2009, and has been made available online. Lifecycle Considerations : The lifecycle of batteries and associated electric-drive components will clearly be a determining factor for the overall sustainability of the plug-in vehicle industry.

Australia

Australia Market Plug-in Plug

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 19, 2009

News | Markets | Technology | Personal Finance | Small Business | CNN.com RSS Newsletters Video Home Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Andy Grove on battery power To wean itself from imported oil, the U.S. car industry hinges on cutting-edge battery technology. must create a strong electric car industry.

2009

2009 Industrial Industry Electric Cars

Syngas Engages Rentech and GE for Clinton Coal and Biomass to Liquids Project in Australia

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 25, 2009

This work builds on the Clinton Project Pre-Feasibility Study outcomes released in April 2009 by Syngas. Projected output of the Clinton Project is a maximum 13,000 barrels of diesel per day (15,800 barrels of oil equivalent per day or 5.3 Budget Level Cost Estimates for the FT Unit.

Coal

Coal Australia Diesel Oil Prices

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 9, 2010

Management consultancy PRTM was a contributor to the “Electrification Roadmap” released in November 2009 by the Electrification Coalition. Oil price and supply dependencies will continue the search for alternative fuel sources, and battery powered vehicles can have a significant impact on that equation. Earlier post.].

Prius

Prius Toyota PHEV Hybrid

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Green Car Congress

JULY 4, 2009

Volkswagen is Europe’s largest automaker, and saw its global new vehicle market share increase to 11% during the first quarter of 2009. The perspective of rising oil prices is a turboboost for a change in customer behavior, he said. Although Volkswagen sales were down 5.1% for the first half, in June unit sales rose 6%.

2013

2013 Companies Gas-Electric Recharge

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 14, 2009

Bubble chart of plausible mainstream PHEV buyers’ battery requirements (light and dark gray circles) and experts’s requirements overlaid on a Ragone plot of NiMH and Li-ion batteries. Based on the game results, battery pack requirements would be equal to or less than 2 kWh. Source: Ken Kurani. Click to enlarge.

PHEV

PHEV Fuel Economy San Diego Climate Change

Intel Founder: Look to Silicon Valley for Electric Car Development - GoodCleanTech

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 22, 2009

In a guest editorial in Fortune , Grove writes that just as how power and efficiency of the internal-combustion engine were at the coreof the development of the automobile, batteries willbe a competitive advantage for the automakers of the future. The 2009 ExtremeTech Case Mod Contest, sponsored by Newegg, is now accepting submissions.

Davis

Davis Electric Cars Cars 2009

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Revenge of the Electric Car

JANUARY 21, 2009

January 2009 | Conversations The Electric Car Returns (and This Time It’s Personal). It’s cheaper just to use a battery and electricity than to go and make this whole in-between step of making hydrogen. Q: When gas prices went up, people started driving less, and interest in EVs soared. Is this discouraging?

EV1

EV1 Los Angeles Hydrogen GM

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 30, 2009

policy shifts to favor battery-powered autos. Honda has yet to announce plans to sell one, citing highcosts for the lithium-ion batteries needed to power them andpoor range. “We Honda, Japan’s second-largest carmaker, last week beganbuilding a lithium-ion battery factory with joint-venturepartner GS Yuasa Corp.

Obama

Obama Honda Plug-in Plug

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

and cheaper engines and battery packs. They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. projections in the World Energy Outlook 2009. They used Li-ion batteries with a cost of €960/kWh in 2010, and assumed this reduces to €800 /kWh around 2015, and to €400/kWh in the more distant future.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Although the recovery in the world economy since 2009 has been uneven, and future economic prospects remain uncertain, global primary energy demand rebounded by a remarkable 5% in 2010, pushing CO 2 emissions to a new high. Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Revenge of the Electric Car

JULY 14, 2009

Those who make the decisions to forgo battery EVs in favor of plug- in hybrids only ignore a sizable market. Hans Greimel Automotive News July 6, 2009 - 12:01 am ET. That bet takes shape at a new lithium ion battery plant and at an electric-vehicle assembly line that Nissan will build at its Smyrna, Tenn., Oil vs. electrons.

Nissan

Nissan Japan United States Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Blog Archive ▼ 2009 (52) ▼ April (6) Waxman-Markey and REDD BlogRoll Review: Space Beams, Leaded Batteries, an. Several early models of passenger vehicles have enough energy stored in advanced batteries to power several homes for hours. Project Better Place plans to deploy a massive network of battery charging spots.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Revenge of the Electric Car

DECEMBER 3, 2008

SAN FRANCISCO — The State of Hawaii and the Hawaiian Electric Company on Tuesday endorsed an effort to build an alternative transportation system based on electric vehicles with swappable batteries and an “intelligent” battery recharging network. The company plans test deployments of vehicles in 2009 and broad commercial sales in 2012.

Hawaii

Hawaii Renewable Energy San Francisco

Buffett's Chinese electric car company

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

3) TED 2009 (+2) Anti-Nuclear Effectively Means Pro-Fossil Fuel (+2) Consumption dwarfs population as main global warming threat (+2) If youve already signed up for TEC, you dont need to register again. Within a few years, BYD’s batteries were cheaper and just as reliable as those made by industry giants ony and Sanyo.

Chinese

Chinese Companies Electric Cars BYD

EV Driven

Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Heard At The Show: Snippets from SAE 2009 World Congress

UC Berkeley Study Concludes Battery Switching Model Would Accelerate Mass-Market Adoption of Electric Cars; Baseline Scenario Projects EVs Reaching 64% of New LDV Sales in 2030

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Economic Impact Study Finds Grid-Enabled Vehicle Policies in Electrification Coalition Roadmap Would Result in Substantial Economic Benefit for US

Study Finds EVs Economically and Financially Viable in New South Wales, Australia Market Today

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Syngas Engages Rentech and GE for Clinton Coal and Biomass to Liquids Project in Australia

Perspective: Toyota Prius Recall Is Only a Bump in the Road in the Move Toward Electrification

VW Chief Executive Says Company Will Introduce EVs Based on the Up! New Small Family in 2013; Cautions Against Electro-Hype

Mixed Outlook for Mainstream Consumer Adoption of PHEVs

Intel Founder: Look to Silicon Valley for Electric Car Development - GoodCleanTech

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Honda May Develop Plug-In as Obama Alters U.S. Policy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Nissan’s Big Gamble

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Hawaii opts for EVs and renewable energy

Buffett's Chinese electric car company

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