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Baker Institute report: China has positioned itself as a gatekeeper to the energy transition; nickel case study

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While Russia holds significant leverage in influencing oil and gas prices, it pales in comparison to China’s position in several strategic industries critical to the energy transition, says report author Michelle Michot Foss, fellow in energy and materials at the Baker Institute. —Baker Institute report Need Nickel?

China 416
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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

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A new study from the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs finds that reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transportation will be a much bigger challenge than many assume, and will require substantially higher fuel prices combined with more stringent regulations. —Morrow et al.

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Study finds behavior-influencing policies remain critical for mass market success of low-carbon vehicles

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Carbon pricing alone is insufficient to bring low-carbon vehicles to the mass market, though it may have a supporting role in ensuring a decarbonized energy supply. More than 90% of such vehicles are powered by internal combustion engines burning oil-derived fuels. —McCollum et al. McCollum et al. Click to enlarge.

Carbon 231
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Congressional Budget Office estimates US federal policies promoting EVs and other fuel-efficient vehicles will cost $7.5B through 2019; little or no impact on gasoline use and GHG in the short term

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Tax credits and gasoline prices necessary for various electric vehicles to be cost-competitive with conventional vehicles at 2011 vehicle prices. That finding takes into account both the higher purchase price of an electric vehicle and the lower fuel costs over the vehicle’s life. Source: CBO. EDTA response.

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UK Government Pre-Budget Report Offers Tax Exemptions for EVs, £30M in Additional Support for Low-Carbon Vehicles; Annual Fuel Tax Increases and End of Duty Differential for Biofuels

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In the Pre-Budget Report (PBR) released on 9 December, UK Chancellor Alistair Darling announced that all electric cars will be exempt from Company Car Tax (CCT) for 5 years and electric vans will be exempt from Van Benefit Charge (VBC) for the same period. The PBR also has news of an additional £30 million (US$48.5 Earlier post.).

Tax 186
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BCG study finds conventional automotive technologies have high CO2 reduction potential at lower cost; stiff competition for electric cars

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Total cost of ownership economics for electric cars will also be significantly influenced by government incentives and fuel and electricity prices. A combination of peak oil with incentives or lower battery costs could increase EV penetration by 6%. BCG expects pack costs for OEMs will fall to ~$360-440 per kWh by 2020.

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Study concludes significant additional transport policy interventions will be required for Europe to meet its GHG reduction goal

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They estimated the number of new vehicles required and the adoption of new technologies and fuels based on their availability and cost effectiveness under projected scenario variables such as fuel price. R&D as above plus carbon tax applied from 2015, and increased over 10 years to a maximum value of €100/t (US$131) CO 2.