Green Car Congress

MAY 22, 2013

Overall, worldwide sales forecasts—and hence the related production forecasts for EVs and PHEVs—are more conservative than in the preceding survey period. Forecasts for vehicle sales in China, the US and Japan have been corrected downward. Source: Roland Berger. Click to enlarge.

South Korea 239

South Korea Sale France Plug-in 239

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 6, 2011

An analysis of future vehicle total costs of ownership (TCO) in the UK found that low carbon cars can make substantial progress in bridging the current cost gap by 2030. It examined how the total cost of owning a car can be expected to change to 2030 with the introduction of lower carbon technologies. Click to enlarge.

Carbon 210

Carbon PHEV Vehicles Plug-in 210

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. annual average refiners' acquisition cost of imported crude oil, which is more representative of the average cost of all crude oils used by domestic refiners. Updated handling of the representation of purchase decisions for alternative fuels for heavy-duty vehicles. mpg in 2025.

Fuel 225

Fuel Energy Sale 2013 225

Push EVs

MARCH 9, 2023

plugin hybrids (PHEVs). This suggests that we could expect a given country’s monthly volumes to approximately double compared to last year — so long as purchasing power can keep up. France’s central bank forecast last month that the country will emerge from the winter having escaped a recession , unlike several neighbouring countries.

Market 69

Market Plugin Supplies Affordable 69

Green Car Congress

JUNE 14, 2011

Based on the results of the study, CAR believes the economic risk to the auto industry connected to mandating permanent fuel economy standards in the long run is “ very serious ” The group recommends periodic review to assess the rate of technology development and cost reduction of advanced technologies leading up to 2025.

Fuel Economy 199

Fuel Economy Economy Auto Industry Standards 199

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2011

Given the median biofuels forecast of 13 billion gallons of gasoline equivalent (GGE) in 2050, it is necessary to place a high priority on electrification of the transportation sector, if large reductions are to be attained by 2050. Battery costs will fall, and the market will move well beyond early adopters. —Yang et al.

2005 250

2005 Transportation California Energy 250

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 18, 2010

The study found that for small and medium passenger vehicles, expected lifetime cost per kilometer for EVs is already lower than that of conventional ICE. The total cost of ownership includes the vehicle price, annual fuel and maintenance costs and insurance. Future costs have been discounted at 7%. Source: AECOM.

Australia 199

Australia Market Plug-in Plug 199

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 8, 2009

Expressed interest in PHEV40 purchases. According to a new survey from Pike Research, 48% of prospective US consumers would be “extremely” or “very” interested in purchasing a PHEV with a 40-mile range on a single charge (PHEV40), given electricity cost equivalent of $0.75 Click to enlarge. Click to enlarge.

Purchase 357

Purchase PHEV Re-Charge Gasoline-Electric 357

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., BEVs vs. PHEVS. However, the obstacles to mass commercialization of BEVs are even greater than the obstacles for PHEVs. Market Drivers.

Plug-in 218

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge 218

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 1, 2010

The technology pathways are intended to show the different cost impacts of achieving different levels of stringency, if the industry were to place more or less emphasis on hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and electric vehicles as compared to advanced gasoline technologies and vehicle mass reduction. A common theme across the.

Fuel Economy 199

Fuel Economy EPA 2017 Economy 199

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

The committee then analyzed the performance and cost impacts of the various options in different scenarios. Vehicle and fuel data were then used to forecast future LDV fleet energy use and GHG emissions using two models, as well comparing different policy-driven scenarios. —Douglas M. l/100 km) for the midrange case.

Hydrogen 244

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy 244

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 24, 2011

A new report from Pike Research forecasts that by 2017 more than 1.5 The firm had earlier forecast more than 5.1 EVSE prices will fall by 37% through 2017 as costs are driven lower by competition from large electronics companies as well as volume production. Source: Pike Research. Click to enlarge. million locations worldwide.

2017 294

2017 Installation Electric Vehicles Charging 294

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 17, 2010

of global light duty vehicle fleet sales in 2015, according to the Pike forecast. For plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), Pike Research anticipates that passenger cars will be even more prominent, representing more than 80% of the fleet market in 2015, due to automakers’ focus on consumer markets for PHEV model launches.

2015 225

2015 Fleet Light 2010 225

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 19, 2010

The study focused on a portfolio of powertrains: BEVs, FCEVs, PHEVs and ICEs, taking into account significant advances in ICE technology between now and 2020. Click to enlarge. There is also uncertainty as to whether large amounts of (sustainably produced) biofuels—i.e.

Plug-in 244

Plug-in PHEV Transportation Plug 244

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 18, 2012

Sales of e-bikes in North America will grow by more than 50% in 2013 to more than 158,000 bikes, Pike forecasts. Since then, the cost has come down and reliability of converters has improved. A lease option reduces the upfront cost of the vehicle, while also reducing the uncertainty of real-world battery performance.

2013 378

2013 Electric Vehicles Vehicles Plug-in 378

Green Car Congress

MARCH 16, 2016

From our studies of vehicle electrification, we have concluded that PHEVs offer the most viable path toward powering more vehicle miles with electricity. However, BEVs do appeal because their propulsion system is simpler than an ICE, and they do not dilute their “electric miles” with “gasoline miles,” as does a PHEV.

MIT 150

MIT Transportation Climate Energy 150