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Navigant forecasts global road transportation energy consumption to increase 25% by 2035; 84% from conventional fuels

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In a new report ( Transportation Forecast: Global Fuel Consumption ), Navigant Research forecasts total road transportation energy consumption will grow from 81.1 Approximately 84% of that will be provided by conventional fuels. Annual road transportation sector energy consumption by fuel type, world markets: 2015-2035.

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Navigant forecasts MHD vehicle market to nearly double by 2035 with declining share of conventional engines; gases win out over electricity

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The number of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles (MHDVs) in use worldwide will nearly double between 2014 and 2035, according to a new forecast report by Navigant Research. Navigant projects that annual MHDV sales will grow throughout the forecast period at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.4%. of the market in 2014 to 11.2%

Market 273
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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2019 projects continued robust growth in US energy production, emergence of the United States as an energy exporter, and a cleaner S electric power generation mix. This growth arises from increases in air transportation outpacing increases in aircraft fuel efficiency.

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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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Transportation sector gasoline demand declines. quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Motor gasoline consumption will be less than previously estimated.

Fuel 225
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EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

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Fuel economy standards and changing driver behavior keep motor gasoline consumption below recent levels through 2040 in the Reference case. Renewables meet much of the growth in electricity demand. Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions stabilize with improvements in energy and carbon intensity of electricity generation.

2020 150
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NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

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Achieving those goals will will be difficult—but not impossible to meet—and will necessitate a combination of more efficient vehicles; the use of alternative fuels such as biofuels, electricity, and hydrogen; and strong government policies to overcome high costs and influence consumer choices.

Hydrogen 244
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Study finds plausibly high volumes of Canadian oil sands crudes in US refineries in 2025 would lead to modest increases in refinery CO2 emissions

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This framework includes electricity and natural gas used in the production of hydrogen. MM Bbl/day of Western Canadian crude oils, corresponding to the optimistic production forecast by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP). and incidental energy losses due to flaring, fugitive emissions, etc.

Oil-Sands 247