2012, Gas, Oil Prices and Supplies

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

Oxford Catalysts to supply 1,000 bpd commercial GTL plant

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 7, 2012

Oxford Catalysts Group PLC has been selected to supply Calumet Specialty Product Partners, L.P. with a commercial, 1,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) plant to be located at its Karns City, Pennsylvania facility. —Roy Lipski, CEO of Oxford Catalysts Group.

Supplies

Supplies Commercial North America Pennsylvania

Surprise Natural Gas Drawdown Signals Higher Prices Ahead

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 9, 2016

The US electric power sector burned through a record amount of natural gas in recent weeks, a sign of the shifting power generation mix and also a signal that natural gas supplies could get tighter than many analysts had previously expected. Natural gas consumption patterns are much more seasonal than for oil.

Gas

Gas Price Gas-Electric Oil

IHS Markit: US poised to be world’s largest LNG exporter in 2022 as China becomes top LNG importer

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 6, 2022

The world’s two largest economies—the United States and China—are poised to be the world’s top export and import markets for liquefied natural gas (LNG), respectively, in 2022, according to a new report by IHS Markit. —Michael Stoppard, chief strategist, global gas, IHS Markit.

Qatar

Qatar China United States Brazil

The $32-Trillion Push To Disrupt The Entire Oil Industry

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 28, 2019

Global oil and gas companies are increasingly facing an uphill battle as global warming policies are taking their toll. Most analysts and market watchers are focusing on peak oil demand scenarios, but the reality could be much darker. The latter is partly caused by “global warming constraints” and lower oil prices in general.

Oil

Oil Industrial Industry Financing

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 12, 2012

The global energy map is changing significantly, according to the 2012 edition of the Internal Energy Agency’s (IEA) World Energy Outlook ( WEO-2012 ). The WEO finds that the extraordinary growth in oil and natural gas output in the United States will mean a sea-change in global energy flows. — WEO-2012.

Global

Global 2012 Energy Oil

BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

Green Car Congress

JUNE 13, 2012

seen in 2010, according to the newly released BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2012. Oil demand grew by less than 1%—the slowest rate amongst fossil fuels—while gas grew by 2.2%, and coal was the only fossil fuel with above average annual consumption growth at 5.4% Global energy consumption grew by 2.5%

Coal

Coal Oil Renewable Saudi Arabia

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

quadrillion Btu in 2012 to 12.1 from 2012 to 2040, compared to 1.2% The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2 l/100 km) in 2012 to 37.2

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

Opinion: Could WTI Trade At A Premium To Brent By Next Year?

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 6, 2015

A flood of bearish news has pushed down oil prices to their lowest levels in months, with WTI nearing $45 per barrel and Brent flirting with sub-$50 territory. With a bear market back, there is pessimism throughout the oil markets. However, the WTI/Brent spread has shrunk more dramatically since the collapse in oil prices.

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil United States North America

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

Green Car Congress

JULY 25, 2013

However, fossil fuels continue to supply nearly 80% of world energy use through 2040. Natural gas is the fastest-growing fossil fuel, as global supplies of tight gas, shale gas, and coalbed methane increase. Renewable energy and nuclear power are the world’s fastest-growing energy sources, each increasing 2.5%

2010

2010 Transportation Fuel Energy

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

Shale gas offsets declines in other US supply to meet. The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Source: EIA.

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Harvard Kennedy School researcher forecasts sharp increase in world oil production capacity and risk of price collapse

Green Car Congress

JUNE 27, 2012

World oil production capacity to 2020 (crude oil and NGLs, excluding biofuels). Source: Maugeri 2012. Oil production capacity is surging in the United States and several other countries at such a fast pace that global oil output capacity could grow by nearly 20% from the current 93 million barrels per day to 110.6

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Price Production

RAND reports suggest US DoD use less petroleum fuel to deal with high prices, not count on alternatives

Green Car Congress

JUNE 20, 2012

Considering that the United States produces over 8 million barrels of oil per day domestically and imports an additional 3 million bpd from secure supplies in Canada and Mexico, we can find no credible scenario in which the military would be unable to access the 340,000 bpd of fuel it needs to defend the nation. —Bartis 2012.

Price

Price Oil-Sands Turkey Fuel

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Growth in diesel fuel consumption will be moderated by the increased use of natural gas in heavy-duty vehicles. The United States becomes a net exporter of natural gas earlier than estimated a year ago. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. Biomass and biofuels growth is slower.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

Green Car Congress

APRIL 10, 2009

A new study by the French institute Enerdata, commissioned by the European Federation for Transport & Environment (T&E), suggests that the European CO 2 standards for new vehicles due to come into effect in 2012 will lead not only to a European savings on oil (mainly via lower oil import volumes) but also to slightly lower global oil prices.

Oil

Oil Standards Price Oil Prices

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Green Car Congress

MARCH 2, 2013

The US Department of State (DOS) has released its Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (SEIS) in response to TransCanada’s May 2012 application for the Keystone XL pipeline that would run from Canada’s oils sands in Alberta to Nebraska. Greenhouse gas LCA analysis. Source: Draft SEIS. Click to enlarge. Earlier post.)

Climate Change

Climate Change Oil-Sands Nebraska Climate

Syncrude to Expand Its Oil Sands Synthetic Crude Output to 425,000 Barrels per Day by 2020

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 25, 2010

The expanded upgrader capacity would be supplied by bitumen from the undeveloped Aurora South mine. Syncrude plans to begin constructing a mining train on Aurora South around 2012 with production expected by the end of 2016. Nexen Oil Sands Partnership, and Petro-Canada Oil and Gas (Suncor).

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Oil 2020 Canada

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 10, 2014

Crude and lease condensate includes tight oil, shale oil, extra-heavy crude oil, field condensate, and bitumen (i.e., oil sands, either diluted or upgraded). Other liquids refer to natural gas plant liquids (NGPL), biofuels (including biomass-to-liquids [BTL]), gas-to-liquids (GTL), coal-to-liquids (CTL), kerogen (i.e.,

Asia

Asia Transportation Oil-Sands Oil Prices

Opinion: This Is What Needs To Happen For Oil Prices To Stabilize

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 21, 2015

On September 10 th , the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48—essentially shale production—of 208,000 BOPD (barrels of oil per day). That is a staggeringly enormous number, approximately 10 percent of the estimated global over-supply. And markets won’t wait to adjust pricing until we hit a balance.

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Oil-Sands

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2013

The Middle East becomes the world’s second-largest gas consumer by 2020 and third-largest oil consumer by 2030, redefining its role in global energy markets. As the source of two-thirds of global greenhouse-gas emissions, the energy sector will be pivotal in determining whether or not climate change goals are achieved. …

Oil

Oil 2013 Energy Emissions

IHS-CERA concludes “no material impact” on US GHG from Keystone XL; heavy crude from Venezuela most likely replacement

Green Car Congress

AUGUST 9, 2013

The proposed Keystone XL pipeline for transporting oilsands-derived crude to Gulf Coast refineries would have “ no material impact ” on US greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, according to a new Insight report by IHS CERA. Even considering new capacity from rail, the balance between western Canadian supply and export capacity remains tight.

Venezuela

Venezuela Oil-Sands Oil Canada

United Airlines invests $30M in Fulcrum BioEnergy; renewable jet fuel offtake agreement, potential joint development of production

Green Car Congress

JUNE 30, 2015

United has also negotiated a long-term supply agreement with Fulcrum and, subject to availability, will have the opportunity to purchase at least 90 million gallons of sustainable aviation fuel a year for a minimum of 10 years at a cost that is competitive with conventional jet fuel.

Renewable

Renewable Fuel Alternative Fuels Los Angeles

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

Green Car Congress

JULY 19, 2012

Very broadly, they found that an LCFS would buffer the economy against global oil price spikes, trim demand for petroleum, and lessen upward pressure on gas prices. Regulate the parties responsible for producing, importing, or supplying fuel. Create separate fuel pools for gasoline and diesel.

Carbon

Carbon Oil-Sands Standards Design

EV Driven

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Oxford Catalysts to supply 1,000 bpd commercial GTL plant

Surprise Natural Gas Drawdown Signals Higher Prices Ahead

IHS Markit: US poised to be world’s largest LNG exporter in 2022 as China becomes top LNG importer

The $32-Trillion Push To Disrupt The Entire Oil Industry

IEA WEO-2012 finds major shift in global energy balance but not onto a more sustainable path; identifies potential for transformative shift in global energy efficiency

BP Statistical Review finds global oil share down for 12th year in a row, coal share up to highest level since 1969; renewables at 2%

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Opinion: Could WTI Trade At A Premium To Brent By Next Year?

EIA: world energy consumption to grow 56% 2010-2040, CO2 up 46%; use of liquid fuels in transportation up 38%

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Harvard Kennedy School researcher forecasts sharp increase in world oil production capacity and risk of price collapse

RAND reports suggest US DoD use less petroleum fuel to deal with high prices, not count on alternatives

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Study Finds That CO2 Standards for Vehicles Can Reduce Price of Oil

State Department issues Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement on Keystone XL Pipeline: climate change impacts

Syncrude to Expand Its Oil Sands Synthetic Crude Output to 425,000 Barrels per Day by 2020

EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

Opinion: This Is What Needs To Happen For Oil Prices To Stabilize

IEA World Energy Outlook 2013 sees CO2 emissions rising by 20% to 2035; oil use on upward trend

IHS-CERA concludes “no material impact” on US GHG from Keystone XL; heavy crude from Venezuela most likely replacement

United Airlines invests $30M in Fulcrum BioEnergy; renewable jet fuel offtake agreement, potential joint development of production

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

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