Diesel, Light, Oil Prices and Resource

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 22, 2014

The collapse in world oil prices in the second half of 2014 will have only a moderate impact on the fast-developing low-carbon transition in the world electricity system, according to research firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance. However, the slump in the Brent crude price per barrel from $112.36 on 30 June to $61.60

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Oil Price Carbon

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. Energy consumption for light-duty vehicles grows from 16.7

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

Energy consumption by light-duty vehicles in the United States, AEO2013 and AEO2014, 1995-2040 (quadrillion Btu). While domestic crude oil production is projected to level off and then slowly decline after 2020 in the Reference case, natural gas production grows steadily, with a 56% increase between 2012 and 2040, when production reaches 37.6

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

Sandia study finds meeting RFS2 requirements unlikely without stronger enforcement mechanism; the importance of drop-in biofuels

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 6, 2014

Their model tracks the evolution of the light-duty vehicle parc in the US, its fuel usage, and corresponding demands for energy stocks. million compression ignition (diesel) vehicles. Among their findings were: RFS2 is satisfied at extreme oil prices (at least $215/barrel). million E85 flex-fuel vehicles; 1.8

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Gasoline-Electric Gasoline Oil

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

AEO2015 presents updated projections for US energy markets through 2040 based on six cases (Reference, Low and High Economic Growth, Low and High Oil Price, and High Oil and Gas Resource) that reflect updated scenarios for future crude oil prices. trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the Low Oil Price case to 13.1

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

NETL Report Concludes CTL Plus Carbon Capture Results in Fuel with 5-12% Less Lifecycle GHG Than Petroleum Diesel; Modest Biomass Additions Lower GHG Further

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 7, 2009

Lifecycle GHG emissions of CTL/CBTL/BTL compared to 2005 petroleum diesel baseline. Background colors of the cells represent the crude oil price required for economic feasibility. Diesel produced in a biomass only—i.e. GHG Emissions of CTL/CBTL Plants Compared to Petro-Diesel. Tarka et al. 2009) Click to enlarge.

Carbon

Carbon Diesel Fuel Coal

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles. Biofuels grow at a slower rate due to lower crude oil prices and. than in AEO2012.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Green Car Congress

MARCH 19, 2012

Other findings include: The current cost of ownership for pure electric large vans is more than 50% higher than their diesel-engine equivalents. This is sensitive to assumptions on fuel price inflation and servicing costs.). beyond small-scale trials). The pure electric panel van is expected have negligible market share.

Emissions

Emissions Manufacturer Market Price

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

From the GHG abatement cost perspective, the study found that the most efficient technologies are full deployment of the E10 grade, to reach the 7% energy cap of conventional biofuels; higher advanced ethanol blends for gasoline such as E20; drop-in advanced biofuels for diesel; and hybridized powertrains, such as mild hybrids and full hybrids.

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

MIT/RAND Study Concludes Three Types of Alternative Jet Fuel May Be Available in Commercial Quantities Over the Next Decade

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 25, 2009

The focus of the work was on alternative jet fuels that could be available commercially in the next decade using primarily North American resources. For world crude oil prices in the range of $100 per barrel, this amounts to a price impact of roughly $5 to $13 per barrel. million bpd. Hileman et al. Hileman, David S.

MIT

MIT Oil-Sands Commercial Available

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

The results of a new, comprehensive modeling study characterizing light-duty electric drive vehicle (EDV) deployment in the US over 108 discrete scenarios do not demonstrate a clear and consistent trend toward lower system-wide emissions of CO 2 , SO 2 , and NO x as EDV deployment increases. —Babaee et al.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Iveco step up production of biomethane-powered vehicle

Green Cars News

APRIL 27, 2009

Throughout the trial the Daily 65C14G cage tipper ran exclusively on fuel supplied by Gasrec, the UK’s first commercial producer of Liquid Biomethane (LBM), allowing direct comparisons to be drawn against similar vehicles operating on both diesel and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG). . litres/100km.

Power

Power Powered Production Vehicles

NREL launches new alternative transportation web tools; planning, maps, data

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2012

One of the many charts available from the maps and data library on the AFDC site, this shows the number of light-duty alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs), hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), and diesel models offered by vehicle manufacturers from 1991 through 2012. Click to enlarge.

Transportation

Transportation Alternative Fuels Fleet Fuel Economy

Study details viable pathway to develop sustainable aviation biofuels industry in Pacific Northwest; hydroprocessing of natural oils seen as the most immediate opportunity

Green Car Congress

MAY 25, 2011

Biomass resources of the US, with the Northwest circled. Hydroprocessing produces renewable diesel, and can produce 50-70% jet fuel with an additional cracking step. The remaining product would be mostly renewable diesel, with. renewable diesel. renewable diesel. Source: SAFN report, via NREL. Click to enlarge.

Oil

Oil Industrial Industry Renewable

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 1, 2014

The earlier 2011 Final EIS was developed contemporaneously with the start of strong growth in domestic light crude oil supply from tight oil formations, such as those formations found in North Dakota’s Bakken region. Domestic production of crude oil has increased significantly, from approximately 5.5

Oil-Sands

Oil-Sands Nebraska Oil Montana

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Short-term pressures on oil markets are easing with the economic slowdown and the expected return of Libyan supply. But the average oil price remains high, approaching $120/barrel (in year-2010 dollars) in 2035. Oil and the Transport Sector: Reconfirming the End of Cheap Oil. Passenger light-duty vehicles.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

Startup Siluria Technologies developing novel bio-templated catalysts for economic direct conversion of methane to ethylene; potential for transportation fuels

Green Car Congress

MARCH 7, 2011

You go a mixture of 8 to 10, that’s gasoline, you go a mixture of 16 to 20, that’s diesel, you go a million it becomes polyethylene, you go 50 mil it becomes Kevlar and so on and so forth. For production of liquid transportation fuels, it thus becomes necessary to crack some of the Fischer-Tropsch products. —Alex Tkachenko.

Conversion

Conversion Transportation Fuel Carbon

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

DE (1) Agricultural offsets (1) Always On Going Green (1) Applied Materials (1) Appropedia (1) Aqua Resources Fund (1) Arnold Schwarzenegger (1) BMWG.F (1) DE (1) Agricultural offsets (1) Always On Going Green (1) Applied Materials (1) Appropedia (1) Aqua Resources Fund (1) Arnold Schwarzenegger (1) BMWG.F (1) SZ (1) 6753.T

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

BNEF: Oil price plunge to have only moderate impact on low-carbon electricity development, but likely to slow EV growth

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Sandia study finds meeting RFS2 requirements unlikely without stronger enforcement mechanism; the importance of drop-in biofuels

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

NETL Report Concludes CTL Plus Carbon Capture Results in Fuel with 5-12% Less Lifecycle GHG Than Petroleum Diesel; Modest Biomass Additions Lower GHG Further

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Study finds government and vehicle manufacturers need to introduce long-term incentives and prices cuts to create sustainable market for ultra-low emission vans

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

MIT/RAND Study Concludes Three Types of Alternative Jet Fuel May Be Available in Commercial Quantities Over the Next Decade

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Iveco step up production of biomethane-powered vehicle

NREL launches new alternative transportation web tools; planning, maps, data

Study details viable pathway to develop sustainable aviation biofuels industry in Pacific Northwest; hydroprocessing of natural oils seen as the most immediate opportunity

State Department releases Keystone XL Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Startup Siluria Technologies developing novel bio-templated catalysts for economic direct conversion of methane to ethylene; potential for transportation fuels

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Stay Connected