Alternative Fuels, Cost Of, Forecast and Light

MITEI releases report on 3-year study of future mobility; technological innovation, policies, and behavioral changes all needed; “car pride” an issue

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 24, 2019

In all scenarios, they used an enhanced version of the MIT Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model to explore changes in LDV fleet composition, fuel consumption, electricity production, CO 2 emissions, and macroeconomic impacts (including the cost of avoided CO 2 emissions). From Insights into Future Mobility.

Future

Future MIT Climate Change Alternative Fuels

Lux forecasts micro-hybrids to grow to 39M vehicles in 2017, creating a $6.9B battery market

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 31, 2012

billion market for energy storage devices, according to a Lux Research report titled, “Every Last Drop: Micro- And Mild Hybrids Drive a Huge Market for Fuel-Efficient Vehicles.”. Micro-hybrids will grow nearly eight-fold to 39 million vehicles in 2017 and create a $6.9 Simultaneously, mild hybrids will rise from near-zero to 1.5

2017

2017 Market Hybrid Li-ion

MEEF funds 100 Tesla Model 3s for vehicle-as-a-service provider Breathe

Green Car Congress

MARCH 29, 2022

Forecasts predict that the Breathe fleet will save 338 tonnes of CO 2 being released into the atmosphere per annum and will also achieve an annual average reduction in CO 2 emissions equivalent to £5,137 in cost per tonne of CO 2. This is MEEF’s fourth investment in the low carbon mobility sector.

London

London Vehicles Gasoline-Electric Tesla

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 19, 2011

DOE conducted a preliminary analysis for several fuel/vehicle pathways for present day (2011) and future (2016 and 2030) mid-size cars to examine the potential for technology improvement to reduce the total costs of ownership of advanced powertrain vehicles and fuels to levels comparable to conventional powertrain vehicles and fuels.

Cost Of

Cost Of Future Fuel Economy Vehicles

Three Major Sources of Funding for EV Charging at Convenience Stores and Truck Stops

Blink Charging

AUGUST 22, 2023

Furthermore, by 2035, EVs are projected to account for 45% of the market , up from a forecast of 32% in 2030. 5 billion is allocated for the NEVI program, which will be used by the states for the establishment of an interconnected national network of direct current fast chargers (DCFCs) along designated Alternative Fuel Corridors.

Store

Store Charging Alternative Fuels Tax Credit

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

Motor gasoline and distillate fuel oil’s combined share of total transportation energy consumption decreases from 84% in 2018 to 74% in 2050 as the use of alternative fuels increases. Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9 trillion miles in 2018 to 3.5

Transportation

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018

California Energy Roadmap Targets Outlines Activities to Support Electrified Transportation; Sufficient Charging Stations to Support 1M Plug-ins by 2020

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 22, 2010

Because of this, the Roadmap includes several activities that promote alternative fuel transportation. It will be important for the results of these activities to be reflected in demand forecasts and resource planning activities in the future. Alternative Fuel-Vehicle Rulemaking.

Plug-in

Plug-in California 2020 Transportation

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

Optimized internal combustion engines are the major contributor to the reduction of passenger car GHG emissions with significant improvements until 2020 and the subsequent penetration of more effective alternative technologies into the fleet. GHG abatement in road transport sector will cost approx. 34 Mton CO 2 e (WTW).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Further, the fossil fuel share of primary energy consumption falls from 82% in 2011 to 78% in 2040 as consumption of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls, largely because of the incorporation of new fuel efficiency standards for light-duty vehicles. quadrillion Btu in 2011 to 14.0 million, or less than one-half the 2.9

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 23, 2011

Given the median biofuels forecast of 13 billion gallons of gasoline equivalent (GGE) in 2050, it is necessary to place a high priority on electrification of the transportation sector, if large reductions are to be attained by 2050. The first is that the cost of batteries for larger vehicle sizes (i.e. —Yang et al.

2005

2005 Transportation California Energy

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Projected rates of fuel consumption improvement under different scenarios relative to past experience and the 2016 and 2025 CAFE standards. In addition, alternative fuels to petroleum must be readily available, cost-effective and produced with low emissions of greenhouse gases. Source: NRC. Click to enlarge.

Hydrogen

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

Fuel economy standards and changing driver behavior keep motor gasoline consumption below recent levels through 2040 in the Reference case. quadrillion Btu—as a result of increases in demand for personal travel and movement of goods that outstripped gains in fuel efficiency. Renewables meet much of the growth in electricity demand.

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 19, 2010

billion worldwide—by 2050, this may not be achievable through improvements to the traditional internal combustion engine or alternative fuels: the traditional combustion engine is expected to improve by 30%, so achieving full decarbonisation is not possible through efficiency alone.

Plug-in

Plug-in PHEV Transportation Plug

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

The outlook for oil demand differs sharply between the three scenarios, primarily as a result of the different assumptions about government policies, such as fuel efficiency standards, removal of end-user subsidies and support for alternative fuels, and the extent to which they succeed in curbing oil demand. —WEO 2011.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

Green Car Congress

MARCH 16, 2016

According to the report, “On the Road Toward 2050: Potential for Substantial Reductions in Light-Duty Vehicle Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions,” each element is separately important, but must collectively be pursued aggressively to achieve necessary emissions reductions.

MIT

MIT Transportation Climate Energy

EV Driven

MITEI releases report on 3-year study of future mobility; technological innovation, policies, and behavioral changes all needed; “car pride” an issue

Lux forecasts micro-hybrids to grow to 39M vehicles in 2017, creating a $6.9B battery market

MEEF funds 100 Tesla Model 3s for vehicle-as-a-service provider Breathe

DOE seeking input on analysis methodology and assumption for estimating total cost of ownership of future advanced vehicle technologies

Three Major Sources of Funding for EV Charging at Convenience Stores and Truck Stops

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

California Energy Roadmap Targets Outlines Activities to Support Electrified Transportation; Sufficient Charging Stations to Support 1M Plug-ins by 2020

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Report finds that total transportation energy demand in California in 2050 could be reduced 30% relative to 2005

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

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