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Opinion: The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits

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Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. That has sparked a renewed sense of optimism among oil traders.

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EIA: China’s use of methanol in liquid fuels has grown rapidly since 2000; >500K bpd in 2016

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The report estimates consumption to have been more than 500,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2016. Beginning with its February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA incorporated revisions to historical international liquids consumption data into the STEO’s international liquid fuels market balances. Click to enlarge. Background.

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IEA: Global oil discoveries and new projects fell to historic lows in 2016 while US shale surged; “two-speed” market

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Global oil discoveries fell to a record low in 2016 as companies continued to cut spending and conventional oil projects sanctioned were at the lowest level in more than 70 years, according to the International Energy Agency, which warned that both trends could continue this year. Oil discoveries declined to 2.4

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Supply Crunch Or Oil Glut: Investment Banks Can’t Agree

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This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oil price forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks. According to the IEA, supply could lag demand in a few years, which could lead to a surge in oil prices. “

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IEA: global energy efficiency progress drops to slowest rate since start of decade

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Energy efficiency has tremendous potential to boost economic growth and avoid greenhouse gas emissions, but the global rate of progress is slowing, according to a new report by the International Energy Agency. Of the increase in final demand in 2018, growth was strongest in gas (5.7%) and electricity (4.1%).

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Opinion: Could WTI Trade At A Premium To Brent By Next Year?

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A flood of bearish news has pushed down oil prices to their lowest levels in months, with WTI nearing $45 per barrel and Brent flirting with sub-$50 territory. With a bear market back, there is pessimism throughout the oil markets. However, the WTI/Brent spread has shrunk more dramatically since the collapse in oil prices.

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Survey finds LNG-fueled ship orders up 26% in six months

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High oil prices, impending emissions regulations and technical advancements are propelling the market faster than we expected. A key factor is International Maritime Organization Tier III emissions standards, which are slated to take effect in 2015-2016. What surprised us is the rate. —Tom Campbell.