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Deutsche Bank Forecast sees slower transportation electrification and greater gasoline demand near-term; increased confidence in the pace and breadth of long-term shift to efficient transportation systems

Green Car Congress

” Their analysis is in the context of the “ surprising [oil] demand strength of 2010 “; 2010 saw absolute incremental demand at around 2.2mb/d of growth—the second highest in 30 years, despite oil prices in the $90/bbl region. In the US hybrids fell from about 3% of total sales in 2008-09 to 2.2%

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Virent Receives Presidential Green Chemistry Challenge Award for BioForming Process to Produce Biohydrocarbon Fuels

Green Car Congress

Preliminary analysis suggests that Virent’s BioForming process can compete economically with petroleum-based fuels and chemicals at crude oil prices of $60 a barrel. The BioForming platform is near commercialization. Also in 2008, Shell and Virent announced their collaboration.

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New UC Davis market-based sustainability forecasting approach concludes supplanting gasoline and diesel with renewable fuels could take 131 years

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We would expect that new reserves of conventional and unconventional oil may become available for exploration due to geological exploration and advances in oil extraction techniques or that extraction from less feasible oil fields becomes more economically attractive. All of these factors would change our predicted outcome.

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Perspective: Government Leadership Needed for Electric Vehicles to Succeed

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That’s where government comes in.only the government can help influence [change] by having a price for carbon and technical incentives. ”. Mr. Immelt’s point is that the spike in oil prices to $147/barrel in 2008 is not enough on its own to get automakers to make electric vehicles. It didn’t work very well at first.

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Syncrude to Expand Its Oil Sands Synthetic Crude Output to 425,000 Barrels per Day by 2020

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Syncrude’s earlier commercial-scale pilot of wet crushing demonstrated positive results and the technology has been vetted through ExxonMobil’s TQM (Total Quality Management) process. Decisions regarding further upgrading capacity will be considered in the future in the context of evolving heavy/light crude oil price spreads.

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US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

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At this point, however, it is not clear what sorts of breakthroughs might become commercially viable. Gasoline use for PHEV-10s and PHEV-40s introduced at the Maximum Practical rate and the Efficiency Case from the 2008 Hydrogen Report. It is possible that breakthroughs in battery technology will greatly lower the cost.

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US Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions Declined by 2.8% in 2008; Transportation-Related Emissions Down 5.2%

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in 2008 to 5,802 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (MMTCO 2 ), down from 5,967 MMTCO 2 in 2007, according to preliminary estimates released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Only one other year in the 1990 to 2008 time period experienced a decline: 1.2% Energy-related CO 2 emissions declined by 2.8% Source: EIA.

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