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Study Assesses Product Attribute Trade-offs and Technological Progress; Meeting Proposed Obama Fuel Economy Standards Will Require Downsizing and Change in Fleet Mix

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Changes in the attributes (clockwise from upper left, weight, power, fuel economy and torque) of the Honda Accord over time as an example of fleet trends in the US. In contrast, fuel economy actually increased by 15% during that period. Knittel, 2009. Click to enlarge. Knittel, 2009. Knittel, Christopher R.

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MECA: industry could exceed relaxed US efficiency standards as it has to meet tighter standards elsewhere

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On 31 March, the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) released the final rule for The Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles for Model Years 2021-2026. The final rule requires a 1.5% mpg and 199 g/mile CO 2 in 2026. Earlier post.).

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Center for Automotive Research calls long-run economic risk to auto industry of mandating permanent fuel economy standards very serious; recommends periodic reviews

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Plug-in hybrids dominate market penetration in 2025 under CAR scenario IV (62 mpg CAFE standard). Power and Associates to project the technology segmentation necessary to achieve anticipated fuel economy mandates in 2025. CAR researchers used the four fuel economy scenarios developed by. Source: CAR.

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Former Commerce and Transportation Secretary Norman Mineta urges technology neutral policies in reaching proposed CAFE standards

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those which do not favor one technology over another through consumer incentives, federal subsidies, testing standards or technology-specific credits. Current fuel economy policy clearly demonstrates this fact. —“The Case for Technology Neutral Public Policy in Fuel Economy Debate”.

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EPAs GHG Standards for Light-Duty Vehicles; Special Credits To Encourage PHEVs, BEVs and FCVs

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The footprint-based standard CO 2 curves for cars (left) and trucks (right). mpg if all improvements came from fuel economy) and 34.1 L/100km) fuel economy level, respectively. mpg if all improvements came from fuel economy) and 34.1 L/100km) fuel economy level, respectively.

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GFEI report finds improvements in average new LDV fuel economy lagging pace required to cut 50% fuel use for new cars worldwide by 2030; policy focus should be on emerging markets

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Vehicle size, a key determinant of fuel economy, has shown a reduction in OECD countries, while the non-OECD trend is toward bigger vehicles. The analysis, an update of an earlier work using data from 2010 and 2011, found that the global average for light-duty vehicle fuel economy was 7.2 Source: GFEI. Click to enlarge.

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Honeywell Global Turbo Forecast projects 49M turbocharged vehicle sales, $12B revenue per year by 2019

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Automakers are turning to downsized turbocharged engines to satisfy more stringent global fuel economy and emission regulations and customer demand for better-performing vehicles. In addition to improving fuel efficiency, downsized turbocharged engines also reduce harmful exhaust emissions.

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