Battery, Oil Prices and Reference

EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 7, 2021

According to the IEO2021 Reference case, which projects future energy trends based on current laws and regulations, renewable energy consumption has the strongest growth among energy sources through 2050. Oil and natural gas production will continue to grow, mainly to support increasing energy consumption in developing Asian economies.

Global

Global Energy Emissions Asia

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. million FFV sales in the AEO2012 Reference case. Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

Green Car Congress

APRIL 22, 2013

According to the report, “ Forecast of On-Road Electric Transportation in the US (2010-2035) ”, this figure could increase to as high as 30 million EVs depending on advances in battery technology. These scenarios provide projections based on EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2012 Reference Case, advances in battery technology (e.g.,

Oil Prices

Oil Prices Vehicles 2012 Light

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 16, 2013

LDV energy consumption declines in AEO2014 Reference case from 16.0 quadrillion Btu in 2040 in the AEO2013 Reference case. The rising fuel economy of LDVs more than offsets the modest growth in VMT, resulting in a 25% decline in LDV energy consumption decline between 2012 and 2040 in the AEO2014 Reference case. Source: EIA.

Oil

Oil Light Energy Vehicles

IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

Green Car Congress

APRIL 23, 2018

million barrels per day over the last five years, IHS Markit says in the new report from its oil markets and research team. Current global total liquids oil demand growth is at similar levels to what was recorded during the 2003 to 2007 commodity super-cycle, referred to as the “golden age” of refining. —Spencer Welch.

Oil

Oil Global 2003 2007

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

The study developed a realistic reference case for potential GHG emission reductions under the current regulatory framework with predicted market improvements. For the reference case, the model assumed extension of the existing legislation to 2030. can be removed. Methodology.

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 17, 2010

The Annual Energy Outlook 2011 (AEO2011) Reference case released yesterday by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) more than doubles the technically recoverable US shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010 and added new shale oil resources. quadrillion Btu in 2035 in the AEO2011 Reference case, slightly lower than the 32.5

Gas

Gas 2011 Price Energy

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

Representative battery pack size is below each segment. In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009.

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

Green Car Congress

JUNE 7, 2017

Under their optimistic scenario (OPT)—which is based on the assumption that EVs are market-competitive with gasoline vehicles, in particular after 2025—they find 15% and 47% adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2030 and 2050, respectively.

Emissions

Emissions Economy Gasoline-Electric Coal

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). It has a 40-mile electric range, a larger electric motor, and a much larger battery than the PHEV-10.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Revenge of the Electric Car

JANUARY 21, 2009

After all, it takes someone who refers to his Prius as “the gas guzzler&# and his Culver City, Calif., After all, it takes someone who refers to his Prius as “the gas guzzler&# and his Culver City, Calif., It’s cheaper just to use a battery and electricity than to go and make this whole in-between step of making hydrogen.

EV1

EV1 Los Angeles Hydrogen GM

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 19, 2009

News | Markets | Technology | Personal Finance | Small Business | CNN.com RSS Newsletters Video Home Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Andy Grove on battery power To wean itself from imported oil, the U.S. car industry hinges on cutting-edge battery technology. must create a strong electric car industry.

2009

2009 Industrial Industry Electric Cars

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

All reference car configurations except the diesel use gasoline engines, because the. and cheaper engines and battery packs. They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term. The Li-ion batteries have a specific energy of 86 Wh/kg, assumed to increase to 110 Wh/kg around 2015 and to 150 Wh/kg in the.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

EV Driven

EIA projects increases in global energy consumption and emissions through 2050

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

IEE forecasts electric-drive LDVs could constitute between 2 to 12% of US vehicle stock by 2035

EIA: light duty vehicle energy consumption to drop 25% by 2040; increased oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce US oil and liquid imports

IHS Markit: global oil demand still growing in the short term despite increasing focus on EVs

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

EIA Energy Outlook 2011 more than doubles estimates of US shale gas resources; higher production at lower prices

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Interview with Chris Paine in the Whole Life Times

Andy Grove: The U.S. must create an electric car industry - Apr. 17, 2009

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

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