Alternative Fuels, Forecast, Oil and Renewable

EIA projects US renewable diesel supply to surpass biodiesel in the near term but remain small part of larger diesel market

Green Car Congress

MARCH 25, 2022

In its Annual Energy Outlook 2022 (AEO2022) Reference case, which reflects current laws and regulations, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that renewable diesel supply (domestic production and net imports) will exceed biodiesel supply in the near term. Source: U.S.

Diesel

Diesel Renewable Supplies Parts

DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 29, 2014

Well-to-Propeller GHG emissions results for marine alternative fuels. DNV GL has released a position paper on the future alternative fuel mix for global shipping. The global merchant fleet currently consumes around 330 million tonnes of fuel annually, 80-85 per cent of which is residual fuel with high sulfur content.

Alternative Fuels

Alternative Fuels Fuel Gas-Electric Mariner

Forecast: US biodiesel production to surpass RFS target for second straight year

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 16, 2013

billion liters) set under the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) for this year, according to the latest Downstream Regulatory Quarterly Outlook from research and consulting firm GlobalData. billion gallons of renewable fuel. Kerr, GlobalData’s Managing Analyst for Downstream Oil & Gas. billion gallons (4.8

Production

Production New York City Tax Credit New York

Navigant forecasts US military spending on non-tactical alt drive vehicles to more than double to $926M by 2020 from 2013; 11.4% CAGR

Green Car Congress

JULY 5, 2013

Non-tactical vehicle spending by alternative drive type, US Department of Defense: 2013-2020. Navigant forecasts that annual fuel consumption in the non-tactical fleet will decrease by a 2.5% The US military is the largest consumer of energy and fossil fuels on the planet. Source: Navigant Research. Click to enlarge.

2013

2013 2020 Alternative Fuels Vehicles

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

Green Car Congress

JULY 2, 2013

In contrast to arguments that peak conventional oil production is imminent due to physical resource scarcity, a team from Stanford University and UC Santa Cruz has examined the alternative possibility of reduced oil use due to improved efficiency and oil substitution. 2010, to above 140 $/bbl in constant 2010 dollars).

Oil

Oil Oil-Sands Fuel Economy Transportation

California makes first investments in $100M energy research & development program; also biogas and H2

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 11, 2014

The seven awards approved will fund applied R&D projects that will develop utility-scale renewable energy generation technologies. 1 million to use high-fidelity solar forecasting to predict load impacts on California’s electricity grid and reduce solar integration costs. Alternative Fuel and Vehicles. Itron, Inc.: $1

California

California San Diego Energy Solar

Share of ICE vehicles to fall to 28% by 2031 and 10% by 2040, says Maruti Suzuki’s C V Raman | Autocar Professional

Baua Electric

JANUARY 23, 2024

Speaking on the theme of Sustainable technologies for the next decade as part of the Symposium on International Automotive Technology (SIAT) organised by ARAI in Pune, Raman said, “India needs to have a technology-agnostic approach update ICE, and focus on CNG and alternative fuels including hybridisation.”

Alternative Fuels

Alternative Fuels Suzuki India Vehicles

California Energy Commission awards more than $35M for green transportation in California

Green Car Congress

JUNE 1, 2012

The California Energy Commission unanimously approved funding of $35,031,310 to projects that will accelerate the development of green fuels and technology in California. These awards are provided through the Energy Commission’s Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program. SacPort Biofuels Corp.

California

California Transportation Green Energy

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 28, 2019

This growth arises from increases in air transportation outpacing increases in aircraft fuel efficiency. Motor gasoline and distillate fuel oil’s combined share of total transportation energy consumption decreases from 84% in 2018 to 74% in 2050 as the use of alternative fuels increases. Other findings.

Transportation

Transportation Energy Fuel Economy 2018

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

Green Car Congress

APRIL 14, 2015

The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) released today by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that US energy imports and exports will come into balance—a first since the 1950s—because of continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand. Tcf in the High Oil and Gas Resource case.

2020

2020 Energy Transportation Oil Prices

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

quadrillion Btu in 2035, as a result of fuel economy improvements achieved through stock turnover as older, less efficient vehicles are replaced by newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Beyond 2035, LDV energy demand begins to level off as increases in travel demand begin to exceed fuel economy improvements in the vehicle stock.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Green Car Congress

MARCH 18, 2013

Achieving those goals will will be difficult—but not impossible to meet—and will necessitate a combination of more efficient vehicles; the use of alternative fuels such as biofuels, electricity, and hydrogen; and strong government policies to overcome high costs and influence consumer choices.

Hydrogen

Hydrogen Oil Plug-in Fuel Economy

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

A new study by consultancy Roland Berger defines an integrated roadmap for European road transport decarbonization to 2030 and beyond; the current regulatory framework for vehicle emissions, carbon intensity of fuels and use of renewable fuels covers only up to 2020/2021. FCVs fueled with low carbon, renewable hydrogen (for PC).

Emissions

Emissions Transportation Fuel Vehicles

Report Finds that GHG Reductions of More Than 50% from Projected BAU Levels by 2050 from Aviation and Marine Transportation Sectors Are Possible

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 5, 2010

Under business-as-usual forecasts, CO 2 emissions from global aviation are estimated to grow 3.1% This could particularly be an issue with marine shipping, where the industry currently consumes the lowest-cost fuels available, namely residual fuel oil. —McCollum et al.

Mariner

Mariner Transportation Emissions Alternative Fuels

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 13, 2011

Change in primary oil demand by sector and region in the central New Policies Scenario, 2010-2035. Under the WEO 2011 central scenario, oil demand rises from 87 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2010 to 99 mb/d in 2035, with all the net growth coming from the transport sector in emerging economies. Click to enlarge. billion in 2035.

Oil

Oil Transportation Cheap Fleet

BP outlook: Energy demand grows as fuel mix continues to diversify; EVs in global car parc at 15% by 2040, but electric share of VMT at 30%

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 21, 2018

The global energy mix is the most diverse the world has ever seen by 2040, with oil, gas, coal and non-fossil fuels each contributing around a quarter. Renewables are by far the fastest-growing fuel source, increasing five-fold and providing around 14% of primary energy. Fuel analysis. Sector analysis.

Global

Global Energy Coal Fuel

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 19, 2010

billion worldwide—by 2050, this may not be achievable through improvements to the traditional internal combustion engine or alternative fuels: the traditional combustion engine is expected to improve by 30%, so achieving full decarbonisation is not possible through efficiency alone. Total Raffinage Marketing.

Plug-in

Plug-in PHEV Transportation Plug

EV Driven

EIA projects US renewable diesel supply to surpass biodiesel in the near term but remain small part of larger diesel market

DNV GL paper suggests near-term success for LNG in shipping; alternative fuel mix to diversify over time

Forecast: US biodiesel production to surpass RFS target for second straight year

Navigant forecasts US military spending on non-tactical alt drive vehicles to more than double to $926M by 2020 from 2013; 11.4% CAGR

Stanford, UC Santa Cruz study explores ramifications of demand-driven peak to conventional oil

California makes first investments in $100M energy research & development program; also biogas and H2

Share of ICE vehicles to fall to 28% by 2031 and 10% by 2040, says Maruti Suzuki’s C V Raman | Autocar Professional

California Energy Commission awards more than $35M for green transportation in California

EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

EIA AEO2015 projects elimination of net US energy imports in 2020-2030 timeframe; transportation energy consumption drops

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

NRC report concludes US LDVs could cut oil consumption and GHGs by 80% by 2050; reliance on plug-ins, biofuels and hydrogen; strong policies mandatory

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Report Finds that GHG Reductions of More Than 50% from Projected BAU Levels by 2050 from Aviation and Marine Transportation Sectors Are Possible

IEA World Energy Outlook view on the transport sector to 2035; passenger car fleet doubling to almost 1.7B units, driving oil demand up to 99 mb/d; reconfirming the end of cheap oil

BP outlook: Energy demand grows as fuel mix continues to diversify; EVs in global car parc at 15% by 2040, but electric share of VMT at 30%

Major study concludes achieving EU 2050 transport decarbonization goals will require portfolio of advanced powertrains; fuel cells, battery-electric and plug-in hybrids

Stay Connected