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ExxonMobil Outlook: 35% growth in energy demand by 2040; hybrids to account for ~50% of new vehicle sales

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Anticipated population growth will reach nearly 9 billion in 2040 from about 7 billion today, and the global economy is projected to double—at an annual growth rate of nearly 3%—largely in the developing world. billion, as the world’s population grows and more people in developing economies are able to afford cars.

Oil-Sands 309
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ExxonMobil: global GDP up ~140% by 2040, but energy demand ~35% due to efficiency; LDV energy demand to rise only slightly despite doubling parc

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Significant growth in the global middle class, expansion of emerging economies and an additional 2 billion people in the world will contribute to a 35% increase in energy demand by 2040, according to ExxonMobil’s latest Outlook for Energy report. The Outlook for Energy provides ExxonMobil’s long-term view of global energy demand and supply.

Energy 252
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US EIA Projects World Energy Use to Grow 44% Between 2006 and 2030, CO2 Emissions Up by 39%

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With strong economic growth and continued heavy reliance on fossil fuels expected for most of the non-OECD economies, much of the increase in carbon dioxide emissions is projected to occur among the developing, non-OECD nations. World oil prices have fallen sharply from their July 2008 high mark. million barrels per day.

2006 150
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ExxonMobil Outlook projects hybrids and advanced vehicles to account for nearly 50% of cars globally by 2040; fuel demand for for personal vehicles to peak and decline, while commercial transportation demand rises 70%

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Growth is led by developing regions such as China, India, Africa and other emerging economies. Additionally, to achieve proposed fuel-economy targets, personal vehicles will need to be smaller and lighter than they are today. This edition of the annual Outlook marks the first extension of the long-term energy forecast to 2040.

Personal 408
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EIA projects world liquid fuels use to rise 38% by 2040, driven by growth in Asia and Middle East; transportation 92% of demand

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Crude and lease condensate includes tight oil, shale oil, extra-heavy crude oil, field condensate, and bitumen (i.e., oil sands, either diluted or upgraded). oil shale), and refinery gain. per year, as the mature economies react to sustained high fuel prices.

Asia 341
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National Low Carbon Fuel Standard study releases major Technical Analysis and Policy Design reports; providing a scientific basis for policy decisions

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Very broadly, they found that an LCFS would buffer the economy against global oil price spikes, trim demand for petroleum, and lessen upward pressure on gas prices. Regulate the parties responsible for producing, importing, or supplying fuel. Treat all crude oils as part of the overall pool of transportation fuels.

Carbon 247
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Devil in the Details: World Leaders Scramble To Salvage and Shape Copenhagens UNFCCC Climate Summit

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July, 2008 : The Australian government published the Garnaut Report, a comprehensive study of the effects of climate change on the country’s economy ( earlier post ). In particular, Prentice seeks to shield Alberta’s emissions-intensive oil sands operations from the effects of emission reductions.

Climate 236