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EIA projects decline in transportation sector energy consumption through 2037 despite increase in VMT, followed by increase

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For the Transportation sector, EIA projects that energy consumption will decline between 2019 and 2037 (in the Reference case) because increases in fuel economy more than offset growth in vehicle miles traveled (VMT). Light-duty vehicle miles traveled increases by 20% in the Reference case, growing from 2.9

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EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

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The US Energy Information Administration released its Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) Reference case (the Early Release ), which highlights a growth in total US energy production that exceeds growth in total US energy consumption through 2040. million FFV sales in the AEO2012 Reference case. Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs.

Fuel 225
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Swiss WTW study finds important role for alternative fuels as well as alt drivetrains in move to low-emissions vehicles

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The reference vehicle has a mass of 1,350 kg (2,976 lbs), with 70 kW (94 hp) equivalent ICE power. Total lifetime driven distance is 150,000 km (93,206 miles). EV electrification using photovoltaic power resulted in the lowest solar energy pathway WTW energy demand and GHG emissions. Click to enlarge.

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DOE reports progress on development of low-carbon and renewable sources of hydrogen production

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The objective of the Hydrogen Production sub-program is to reduce the cost of hydrogen dispensed at the pump to a cost that is competitive on a cents-per-mile basis with competing vehicle technologies. Based on current analysis, this translates to a hydrogen threshold cost of. Source: DOE. Click to enlarge.

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Study projects emission impacts of inexpensive, efficient EVs: 36% further reduction in LDV GHG by 2050, or 9% economy-wide

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Compared to the reference case, in which gasoline vehicles (ICEVs) remain dominant through 2050 (BAU), OPT results in 16% and 36% reductions in LDV greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for 2030 and 2050, respectively, corresponding to 5% and 9% reductions in economy-wide emissions.

Emissions 150
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Study: even with high LDV electrification, low-carbon biofuels will be necessary to meet 80% GHG reduction target; “daunting” policy implications

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They found that with high rates of electrification (40% of miles traveled) the petroleum-reduction benchmark could be satisfied, even with high travel demand growth. The researchers also considered intermediate (20% electric-powered miles) electrification—halfway between the high and low.

Carbon 150
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Using the PHEV (Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle) to Transition Society Seamlessly and Profitably From Fossil Fuel to 100% Renewable Energy

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In this paper PHEV refers solely to the long-range PHEV of 60 miles (100 km) electric-only range.) It solves the storage problems faced by the electric utility companies in absorbing and adapting to the highly variable power and energy generated by solar and wind. Distributed Solar and Wind with the PHEV. References.

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