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Study finds behavior-influencing policies remain critical for mass market success of low-carbon vehicles

Green Car Congress

Our analysis shows that a diverse set of measures targeting vehicle buyers is necessary to drive widespread adoption of clean technologies. Making conventional gasoline and diesel vehicles more expensive to run—through increased fuel or carbon taxes—is not enough to incentivize the majority of consumers to change.

Carbon 231
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Belfer Center Study Concludes Reducing Car and Truck GHG Emissions Will Require Substantially Higher Fuel Prices; Income Tax Credits for Advanced Alt Fuel Vehicles Are Essentially Ineffective at Reducing Sector Emissions

Green Car Congress

Direct transportation (fuel) taxes generate the greatest reductions in CO 2 emission from transportation, achieving CO 2 emissions at 86% of 2005 levels by about 2025. While CO 2 prices are equivalent to fuel taxes, CO 2 prices at their projected levels are far too small to create a significant incentive to drive less.

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BCG study finds conventional automotive technologies have high CO2 reduction potential at lower cost; stiff competition for electric cars

Green Car Congress

Based on our current projections, the well-to-wheel emissions advantage of EVs over ICE-propelled vehicles, currently estimated at 40 to 60 percent, will fall to 30 to 50 percent in 2020 as advances in ICE technologies narrow the gap and power generation from clean non-fossil fuels continues to grow slowly in most regions. Source: BCG.

CO2 246
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California ARB mods to ZEV regulations for IVMs would result in ~1.9% drop in total ZEV/TZEV units 2018-2025; no impact on air quality requirements

Green Car Congress

The ZEV regulations, which are now part of California’s comprehensive Advanced Clean Cars (ACC) program which also includes the LEV III tailpipe emissions standard, is the “technology-forcing piece” of the state’s regulatory package for light-duty vehicles. Could another policy have accomplished the same at less cost with less conflict?

2018 257
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UC report to CalEPA outlines policy options to decarbonize California transportation by 2045

Green Car Congress

This is because many of the external costs1 of transportation—such as congestion, pollution, and GHG emissions—are not paid for by the businesses or individuals that make key decisions, and because individuals and even many businesses do not make purchase decisions based on the total cost of ownership (TCO). Active transportation.

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MIT Energy Initiative report on transforming the US transportation system by 2050 to address climate challenges

Green Car Congress

Average on-road fuel consumptions (tank to wheels) of the different propulsion systems in an average light-duty vehicle: 2010, 2030, and 2050. Values normalized to standard naturally-aspirated gasoline engine vehicle. Includes vehicle weight reduction: at constant acceleration capability.

MIT 150