Carbon, Hybrid, Oil Prices and PHEV

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 15, 2009

NRC projections of number of PHEVs in the US light-duty fleet. Costs of light-duty plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are high—largely due to their lithium-ion batteries—and unlikely to drastically decrease in the near future, according to a new report from the National Research Council (NRC). Click to enlarge.

Plug-in

Plug-in Plug PHEV Hybrid

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 5, 2012

Increased sales for hybrids and PHEVs. Reductions in battery electric vehicles are offset by increased sales of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which grow to about 1.3 AEO2013 offers a number of other key findings, including: Crude oil production , especially from tight oil plays, rises sharply over the next decade.

Fuel

Fuel Energy Sale 2013

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Green Car Congress

JULY 12, 2011

For the report, Forecast Uptake and Economic Evaluation of Electric Vehicles in Victoria , AECOM modelled the likely penetration of electric vehicles (including hybrid vehicles, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and. vehicle types (ICEs, EVs, PHEVs and HEVs). The analysis is based on central forecasts of oil price, electricity.

PHEV

PHEV Oil Prices Australia Price

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Green Car Congress

DECEMBER 21, 2015

vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6 It will also be due to the continued drive to reduce carbon emissions and improve vehicle fuel economy in the major developed vehicle markets. million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 million in 2024.

Light

Light Sale Global Oil Prices

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Green Car Congress

APRIL 30, 2016

A new study by consultancy Roland Berger defines an integrated roadmap for European road transport decarbonization to 2030 and beyond; the current regulatory framework for vehicle emissions, carbon intensity of fuels and use of renewable fuels covers only up to 2020/2021. BEVs fueled with low carbon, renewable electricity (for PC).

Transportation

Transportation Emissions Fuel Vehicles

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

Green Car Congress

JUNE 16, 2009

In the near-term (2011), lithium-ion batteries could grow to represent about 21% of the hybrid and EV advanced battery market, according to Dr. Menahem Anderman, President of Advanced Automotive Batteries and the organizer of last week’s Advanced Automotive Battery Conference 2009. By 2015, he suggests, full hybrids (e.g.,

Li-ion

Li-ion 2011 Market Hybrid

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 13, 2011

of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in the US. Electrification will reduce emissions, with the scale determined by the carbon intensity of the power sector. Electrification will also reduce oil dependence, providing foreign policy benefits and the potential to reduce real oil prices and oil price volatility.

Transportation

Transportation MIT Oil Prices Oil

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 10, 2009

Will be competitive at an oil price of $45 to $90 at their commercial date. Getting more miles per gallon out of conventional vehicles achieves the same end-goals of lowering carbon emissions and increasing energy security as the movement toward the electrification of transport. Marine scrubbers. The game changer.

Transportation

Transportation Supplies Emissions Fuel

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Green Car Congress

NOVEMBER 16, 2010

Two key drivers of EV adoption include climate concerns and oil prices. The potential for reducing carbon emissions by electrifying transportation has caught the attention of local and national government officials across Asia-Pacific due to concerns about the contribution of transportation emissions to climate change.

Asia

Asia 2015 China Sale

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Green Car Congress

SEPTEMBER 28, 2011

Furthermore, DOE will only support technologies that emit less carbon than incumbents—in keeping with our national energy goals. DOE’s investment strategy does not preclude the market from selecting mild or strong hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery-electric, or even fuel cell vehicles as the end point for electrification.

Transportation

Transportation Fuel Economy Light Fuel

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Green Car Congress

FEBRUARY 4, 2011

However, consumer demand for PEVs is quite uncertain and, barring another global spike in oil prices, may be limited to a minor percentage of new vehicle purchasers (e.g., BEVs vs. PHEVS. However, the obstacles to mass commercialization of BEVs are even greater than the obstacles for PHEVs. Recharging Infrastructure.

Plug-in

Plug-in 2015 Plug Recharge

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Green Car Congress

JANUARY 15, 2014

Second, PHEVs with smaller battery packs are more likely to deliver emissions benefits and reduced gasoline consumption at lower lifetime cost compared to those with large battery packs in the short term. No EDV deployment occurs with high battery costs, low oil prices, and no CO 2 policy.

Emissions

Emissions Oil Prices Vehicles Oil

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Green Car Congress

OCTOBER 18, 2010

Compare GHG emissions and costs of PHEV and BPEV with those of regular cars. Focus, Renault Megane, Toyota Corolla and Opel Astra—in their analysis, and compared EV configurations to a regular gasoline car, diesel car, parallel hybrid car and series HEV (SHEV). They assumed an oil price of US$80/bbl, close to the short-term.

Plug-in

Plug-in Charging PHEV Gasoline-Electric

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

Tony Karrer Delicious EVdriven

APRIL 16, 2009

Cleantech Blog Cleantechblog.com, the premier cleantech site for commentary on news and technology relating to clean tech, greentech, energy, climate change and carbon, and the environment. Cleantech Crunched Top 10 Low Carbon Footprint Cars (and one SUV) for. Tree Planting as Carbon Offsets – Does Latitude Ma.

Grid

Grid Electric Vehicles Vehicles Oil-Sands

EV Driven

US National Research Council Report Finds Plug-in Hybrid Costs Likely to Remain High; Fleet Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions Benefits Will Be Modest for Decades

EIA Energy Outlook 2013 reference case sees drop in fossil fuel consumption as use of petroleum-based liquid fuels falls; projects 20% higher sales of hybrids and PHEVs than AEO2012

AECOM study finds EV adoption in Victoria can offer significant economic benefits by late 2020s; PHEVs initially lead uptake

Navigant forecasts global light duty electrified vehicle sales to exceed 6.0M in 2024; PEVs to account for roughly half

Roland Berger study outlines integrated vehicle and fuels roadmap for further abating transport GHG emissions 2030+ at lowest societal cost

Near-Term Prospects for Automotive Li-ion Batteries: 21% of Hybrid and EV Market by 2011

MITEI releases report on Electrification of the Transportation System

Accenture Reports Identifies 12 Disruptive Technologies Most Likely to Transform Supply and Demand of Transport Fuels and Cut Emissions Within Next 10 Years

Pike forecasts Asia-Pacific to be largest PEV market, with more than 1.2M units by 2015; China to represent 53% of total sales

Inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report concludes DOE is underinvested in transport; greatest efforts to go to electrification

Expert panel report finds achieving 1M plug-in vehicles in US by 2015 would require concentrated action to overcome barriers

Comprehensive modeling study finds electric drive vehicle deployment has little observed effect on US system-wide emissions

Study Finds Coordinated Off-peak Charging Can Support Large Scale Plug-in Use Without Additional Generation Capacity; TCO and GHG Abatement Costs for BEVs Projected to Remain High

Cleantech Blog: Smart Grids and Electric Vehicles

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